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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 26, 2026·UBS Arena, Elmont

Dallas Stars 1, New York Islanders 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 61% of the time.

NYI winsDAL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:53Shot by Heineman, saved by Oettinger
  3. P1 0:54Shot by Heineman, saved by Oettinger
  4. P1 4:48Goal by Horvat (Heineman, Schaefer)+13 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Lee, Soucy, Horvat, Heineman, Schaefer · DAL Benn, Duchene, Lindell, Steel, Heiskanen

  5. P1 5:44Shot by Pageau, saved by Oettinger
  6. P1 6:32Shot by Lindell, saved by Sorokin
  7. P1 8:36Erne: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Cizikas, Boqvist, MacLean, Gatcomb, Schaefer · DAL Blackwell, Erne, Lundkvist, Harley, Hryckowian

  8. P1 8:44Shot by Schaefer, saved by Oettinger5v4
  9. P1 8:54Shot by Ritchie, saved by Oettinger5v4
  10. P1 8:55Shot by Barzal, saved by Oettinger5v4
  11. P1 10:25Shot by Steel, saved by Sorokin5v4
  12. P1 11:38Shot by Lindell, saved by Sorokin
  13. P1 13:19Shot by Myers, saved by Sorokin
  14. P1 13:41Shot by Horvat, saved by Oettinger
  15. P1 14:40Shot by Schaefer, saved by Oettinger
  16. P1 15:12Shot by Erne, saved by Sorokin
  17. P1 16:15Shot by Pageau, saved by Oettinger
  18. P1 17:49Shot by Johnston, saved by Sorokin
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 3:47Shot by Lundkvist, saved by Sorokin
  22. P2 7:51Shot by Lundkvist, saved by Sorokin
  23. P2 8:37Cizikas: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Cizikas, Lee, Pulock, Heineman, Schaefer · DAL Lindell, Robertson, Heiskanen, Bourque, Johnston

  24. P2 8:53Shot by Duchene, saved by Sorokin4v5
  25. P2 9:07Shot by Robertson, saved by Sorokin4v5
  26. P2 9:14Shot by Heiskanen, saved by Sorokin4v5
  27. P2 10:07Shot by Robertson, saved by Sorokin4v5
  28. P2 11:07Shot by Bichsel, saved by Sorokin
  29. P2 12:09Shot by Horvat, saved by Oettinger
  30. P2 12:44Shot by Pelech, saved by Oettinger
  31. P2 12:45Shot by Heineman, saved by Oettinger
  32. P2 13:11Shot by Schaefer, saved by Oettinger
  33. P2 13:27Johnston: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Palat, Pageau, Pulock, Holmstrom, Schaefer · DAL Bastian, Bäck, Lundkvist, Harley, Johnston

  34. P2 16:23Shot by Gatcomb, saved by Oettinger
  35. P2 17:22Shot by Heiskanen, saved by Sorokin
  36. P2 17:57Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Oettinger
  37. P2 18:31Shot by Robertson, saved by Sorokin
  38. P2 18:36Shot by Bourque, saved by Sorokin
  39. P2 19:58Shot by Bourque, saved by Sorokin
  40. P2 0:00Period end
  41. P3 0:00Period start
  42. P3 0:14Shot by Lee, saved by Oettinger
  43. P3 1:31Shot by Heiskanen, saved by Sorokin
  44. P3 2:19Goal by Ritchie (Schaefer, Pulock)+13 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Schenn, Pulock, Barzal, Ritchie, Schaefer · DAL Myers, Blackwell, Erne, Bichsel, Hryckowian

  45. P3 3:03Harley: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Schenn, Mayfield, Barzal, Boqvist, Ritchie · DAL Blackwell, Erne, Lundkvist, Harley, Hryckowian

  46. P3 4:33Shot by Bäck, saved by Sorokin5v4
  47. P3 5:07Shot by Boqvist, saved by Oettinger
  48. P3 5:29Shot by MacLean, saved by Oettinger
  49. P3 5:48Shot by Hryckowian, saved by Sorokin
  50. P3 6:23Shot by Heiskanen, saved by Sorokin
  51. P3 8:08Shot by Pulock, saved by Oettinger
  52. P3 9:17Boqvist: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NYI Cizikas, Mayfield, Boqvist, MacLean, Gatcomb · DAL Duchene, Blackwell, Erne, Robertson, Lundkvist, Harley

  53. P3 9:37Shot by Benn, saved by Sorokin4v5
  54. P3 10:57Shot by Robertson, saved by Sorokin4v5
  55. P3 11:06Shot by Johnston, saved by Sorokin4v5
  56. P3 13:37Shot by Heineman, saved by Oettinger
  57. P3 13:40Shot by MacLean, saved by Oettinger
  58. P3 13:53Shot by Cizikas, saved by Oettinger
  59. P3 15:45Shot by Bastian, saved by Sorokin
  60. P3 15:46Shot by Bastian, saved by Sorokin
  61. P3 17:01Goal by Duchene (Benn, Harley)5v6+7 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Lee, Horvat, Pulock, Heineman, Schaefer · DAL Benn, Duchene, Robertson, Heiskanen, Harley, Johnston

  62. P3 17:28Shot by Schenn, saved by Oettinger
  63. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  64. P3 0:00Final5v6