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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 30, 2026·UBS Arena, Elmont

Pittsburgh Penguins 8, New York Islanders 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 79% of the time.

NYI winsPIT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:31Shot by Karlsson, saved by Sorokin
  3. P1 1:36Shot by Pulock, saved by Silovs
  4. P1 3:33Shot by Horvat, saved by Silovs
  5. P1 3:34Shot by Horvat, saved by Silovs
  6. P1 6:02Shot by Acciari, saved by Sorokin
  7. P1 6:14Shot by Dewar, saved by Sorokin
  8. P1 6:59Shot by Cizikas, saved by Silovs
  9. P1 8:14Shot by Palat, saved by Silovs
  10. P1 12:27Shot by MacLean, saved by Silovs
  11. P1 12:44Shot by Gatcomb, saved by Silovs
  12. P1 13:28Shot by Crosby, saved by Sorokin
  13. P1 13:29Shot by Crosby, saved by Sorokin
  14. P1 13:35Shot by Chinakhov, saved by Sorokin
  15. P1 14:27Shot by Brazeau, saved by Sorokin
  16. P1 15:19Shot by Karlsson, saved by Sorokin
  17. P1 15:33Shot by Chinakhov, saved by Sorokin
  18. P1 15:39Shot by Wotherspoon, saved by Sorokin
  19. P1 16:45Girard: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Schenn, Mayfield, Barzal, Boqvist, Ritchie · PIT Letang, Acciari, Girard, Dewar, Soderblom

  20. P1 16:45Barzal: Embellishment (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Schenn, Mayfield, Barzal, Boqvist, Ritchie · PIT Letang, Acciari, Girard, Dewar, Soderblom

  21. P1 17:02Shot by Rakell, saved by Sorokin4v4
  22. P1 19:03Pageau: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Pageau, Pelech, Pulock, Barzal, Holmstrom · PIT Letang, Shea, Girard, Chinakhov, Kindel

  23. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:42Shot by Horvat, saved by Silovs4v5
  26. P2 0:45Rakell: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NYI Cizikas, Mayfield, Soucy, Horvat · PIT Crosby, Karlsson, Rust, Rakell, Mantha

  27. P2 0:48Shot by Boqvist, saved by Silovs4v4
  28. P2 1:27Goal by Lee (Boqvist, Pageau)5v4+21 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Lee, Pageau, Barzal, Boqvist, Heineman · PIT Letang, Acciari, Girard, Dewar

  29. P2 2:29Shot by Clifton, saved by Sorokin
  30. P2 2:56Goal by Barzal (Ritchie, Boqvist)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Schenn, Mayfield, Barzal, Boqvist, Ritchie · PIT Crosby, Karlsson, Rust, Wotherspoon, Chinakhov

  31. P2 4:13Shot by Pelech, saved by Silovs
  32. P2 6:37Shot by Acciari, saved by Sorokin
  33. P2 6:41Goal by Soderblom (Dewar, Acciari)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Schenn, Mayfield, Barzal, Ritchie, Schaefer · PIT Karlsson, Wotherspoon, Acciari, Dewar, Soderblom

  34. P2 9:15Shot by Barzal, saved by Silovs
  35. P2 9:17Goal by Schenn (Barzal, Ritchie)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Schenn, Mayfield, Soucy, Barzal, Ritchie · PIT Karlsson, Rust, Shea, Dewar, Soderblom

  36. P2 9:41Acciari: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Cizikas, Mayfield, Boqvist, MacLean, Gatcomb · PIT Clifton, Acciari, Shea, Dewar, Soderblom

  37. P2 11:01Goal by Rakell (Rust, Wotherspoon)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Lee, Pageau, Barzal, Boqvist, Heineman · PIT Karlsson, Rust, Rakell, Wotherspoon

  38. P2 11:44Shot by Kindel, saved by Sorokin
  39. P2 13:29Goal by Shea (Mantha, Crosby)+26 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Lee, Soucy, Horvat, Heineman, Schaefer · PIT Crosby, Rust, Clifton, Mantha, Shea

  40. P2 14:06Shot by Chinakhov, saved by Sorokin
  41. P2 14:35Goal by Mantha (Brazeau, Wotherspoon)+19 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Schenn, Palat, Pelech, Pulock, Holmstrom · PIT Karlsson, Rakell, Mantha, Wotherspoon, Brazeau

  42. P2 16:18Shot by Wotherspoon, saved by Sorokin
  43. P2 16:43Shot by Brazeau, saved by Sorokin
  44. P2 16:44Shot by Mantha, saved by Sorokin
  45. P2 17:18Goal by Mantha (Brazeau, Letang)+17 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Palat, Pageau, Pelech, Soucy, Holmstrom · PIT Letang, Mantha, Girard, Brazeau, Kindel

  46. P2 18:13Shot by Soderblom, saved by Sorokin
  47. P2 19:57Shot by Cizikas, saved by Silovs
  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 0:24Shot by Schaefer, saved by Silovs
  51. P3 2:43Shot by Schaefer, saved by Silovs
  52. P3 4:35Soderblom: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NYI Schenn, Mayfield, Barzal, Boqvist, Holmstrom · PIT Clifton, Shea, Brazeau, Dewar, Soderblom

  53. P3 4:35Mayfield: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NYI Schenn, Mayfield, Barzal, Boqvist, Holmstrom · PIT Clifton, Shea, Brazeau, Dewar, Soderblom

  54. P3 6:02Shot by Kindel, saved by Sorokin
  55. P3 6:02Shot by Kindel, saved by Sorokin
  56. P3 6:06Goal by Hayes (Kindel, Novak)+6 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Schenn, Horvat, Barzal, Boqvist, Holmstrom · PIT Clifton, Novak, Shea, Hayes, Kindel

  57. P3 7:08Shot by Schaefer, saved by Silovs
  58. P3 7:52Shot by Brazeau, saved by Sorokin
  59. P3 7:54Goal by Rakell (Brazeau, Girard)+1 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Cizikas, Pelech, Soucy, MacLean, Gatcomb · PIT Letang, Rakell, Mantha, Girard, Brazeau

  60. P3 9:55Shot by Barzal, saved by Silovs
  61. P3 10:56Shot by Schaefer, saved by Silovs
  62. P3 13:16Shot by Crosby, saved by Rittich
  63. P3 13:38Shot by Mayfield, saved by Silovs
  64. P3 16:16Goal by Rust (Crosby, Letang)0 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Schenn, Mayfield, Barzal, Boqvist, Ritchie · PIT Crosby, Letang, Rust, Wotherspoon, Chinakhov

  65. P3 16:45Shot by Pulock, saved by Silovs
  66. P3 18:22Shot by Mantha, saved by Rittich
  67. P3 19:38Shot by Soucy, saved by Silovs
  68. P3 0:00Period end
  69. P3 0:00Final