Tue, Mar 31, 2026·United Center, Chicago
Winnipeg Jets 4, Chicago Blackhawks 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 60% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPG | 06 | 315 | 02 | 11 | 424 |
| CHI | 19 | 12 | 110 | 00 | 321 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:42CHIAnton FrondellAssists: Ilya Mikheyev, Louis Crevier · Snap, 0.15 xG0–1
- P2 1:06WPGJosh MorrisseyAssists: Kyle Connor, Mark Scheifele · Backhand, 0.16 xG1–1
- P2 11:19WPGCole PerfettiPPAssists: Alex Iafallo, Mark Scheifele · Snap, 0.20 xG2–1
- P2 11:57WPGIsak RosenAssists: Danil Zhilkin, Neal Pionk · Wrist, 0.13 xG3–1
- P2 13:26CHITyler BertuzziUnassisted · Backhand, 0.07 xG3–2
- P3 9:46CHITyler BertuzziAssists: Ilya Mikheyev, Louis Crevier · Wrist, 0.11 xG3–3
- OT 0:33WPGKyle ConnorGWGAssists: Mark Scheifele, Josh Morrissey · Wrist, 0.19 xG4–3
Penalties (3)
- P2 9:32CHIEthan Del Mastro: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 4:20WPGCole Perfetti: Holding2 min
- P3 5:17WPGCole Koepke: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Lowry won the faceoff against Frondell
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- bestToews – Koepke – Lambert10:52
xG 0.61–0.14 (82%)attempts 12–3goals 0–0
- Lowry – Vilardi – Perfetti13:52
xG 0.43–0.20 (69%)attempts 15–10goals 0–0
- Rosen – Zhilkin – Ford4:52
xG 0.17–0.15 (53%)attempts 4–2goals 1–0
- Scheifele – Connor – Iafallo13:34
xG 0.38–0.64 (37%)attempts 10–11goals 1–3
Defence pairs
- bestDeMelo – Morrissey18:04
xG 0.73–0.43 (63%)attempts 15–11goals 1–0
- Samberg – Pionk17:52
xG 0.47–0.26 (64%)attempts 12–12goals 1–0
- Bryson – Salomonsson8:50
xG 0.47–0.38 (55%)attempts 13–6goals 0–2
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestBertuzzi – Mikheyev – Frondell11:59
xG 0.59–0.35 (62%)attempts 13–7goals 3–1
- Greene – Bedard – Lardis11:53
xG 0.23–0.23 (50%)attempts 5–5goals 0–1
- Burakovsky – Donato – Nazar10:45
xG 0.32–0.38 (46%)attempts 8–12goals 0–0
- Teravainen – Lafferty – Slaggert6:38
xG 0.05–0.17 (22%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Del Mastro – Korchinski12:22
xG 0.17–0.32 (35%)attempts 3–9goals 0–0
- Vlasic – Crevier17:23
xG 0.72–0.87 (45%)attempts 20–16goals 3–1
- Kaiser – Rinzel21:01
xG 0.46–0.80 (37%)attempts 10–20goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it WPG. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 60% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − WPG), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).