Wed, Apr 1, 2026·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Anaheim Ducks 3, San Jose Sharks 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 60% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 113 | 19 | 19 | 331 |
| SJS | 17 | 07 | 37 | 421 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:37SJSWill SmithPPAssists: Macklin Celebrini · Slap, 0.19 xG0–1
- P1 17:47ANARyan PoehlingAssists: Drew Helleson, Lukas Dostal · Wrist, 0.11 xG1–1
- P2 14:59ANAAlex KillornAssists: Drew Helleson, Jackson LaCombe · Wrist, 0.09 xG2–1
- P3 0:27SJSMacklin CelebriniAssists: Will Smith, Collin Graf · Snap, 0.12 xG2–2
- P3 4:04ANATroy TerryUnassisted · Wrist, 0.08 xG3–2
- P3 18:21SJSMacklin CelebriniAssists: Dmitry Orlov, Will Smith · Wrist, 0.04 xG3–3
- P3 19:29SJSAlexander WennbergGWGAssists: Macklin Celebrini, Sam Dickinson · Snap, 0.09 xG3–4
Penalties (9)
- P1 2:17SJSTy Dellandrea: High sticking2 min
- P1 3:57ANAAlex Killorn: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P1 7:29SJSMichael Misa: Hooking2 min
- P1 9:43SJSDmitry Orlov: Slashing2 min
- P1 14:04ANATim Washe: Tripping2 min
- P2 16:13SJSVincent Desharnais: Cross checking2 min
- P2 16:13ANAFrank Vatrano: Roughing2 min
- P3 4:47ANAJeffrey Viel: Fighting5 min
- P3 4:47SJSZack Ostapchuk: Fighting5 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Washe won the faceoff against Celebrini
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestKreider – Terry – Carlsson11:21
xG 1.44–0.74 (66%)attempts 14–11goals 1–0
- Vatrano – McTavish – Gaucher5:07
xG 0.23–0.12 (66%)attempts 8–6goals 0–0
- Killorn – Granlund – Washe11:06
xG 0.33–0.42 (44%)attempts 8–7goals 1–2
- Viel – Poehling – Sennecke9:03
xG 0.13–0.44 (23%)attempts 5–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHelleson – Zellweger10:02
xG 0.43–0.27 (61%)attempts 5–7goals 0–0
- Carlson – Moore16:21
xG 0.79–0.75 (51%)attempts 17–12goals 1–2
- Trouba – LaCombe16:51
xG 0.84–0.91 (48%)attempts 14–16goals 0–0
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestToffoli – Dellandrea – Misa6:49
xG 0.67–0.17 (79%)attempts 9–4goals 0–0
- Smith – Celebrini – Graf13:55
xG 0.46–0.14 (77%)attempts 6–15goals 1–0
- Goodrow – Gaudette – Ostapchuk5:04
xG 0.12–0.10 (53%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- Wennberg – Sherwood – Eklund9:59
xG 0.34–1.14 (23%)attempts 10–9goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestFerraro – Mukhamadullin11:36
xG 0.85–0.58 (60%)attempts 9–9goals 0–0
- Desharnais – Ferraro3:05
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–0goals 0–0
- Leddy – Dickinson16:32
xG 0.50–0.50 (50%)attempts 13–18goals 2–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 60% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).