Tue, Apr 7, 2026·Prudential Center, Newark
Philadelphia Flyers 5, New Jersey Devils 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 68% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 27 | 29 | 14 | 520 |
| NJD | 110 | 09 | 05 | 124 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:56PHITrevor ZegrasAssists: Travis Sanheim, Owen Tippett · Wrist, 0.09 xG1–0
- P1 3:38PHITrevor ZegrasPPGWGAssists: Porter Martone, Jamie Drysdale · Tip-in, 0.10 xG2–0
- P1 12:12NJDCody GlassAssists: Jonas Siegenthaler, Lenni Hameenaho · Deflected, 0.13 xG2–1
- P2 2:46PHITyson FoersterAssists: Matvei Michkov · Snap, 0.12 xG3–1
- P2 4:58PHITyson FoersterAssists: Trevor Zegras, Matvei Michkov · Wrist, 0.11 xG4–1
- P3 17:09PHINick SeelerENUnassisted · Wrist, 0.24 xG5–1
Penalties (5)
- P1 2:21NJDJack Hughes: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 0:31PHIMatvei Michkov: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 12:38PHINoah Cates: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 8:20PHIDenver Barkey: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 10:47NJDBrian Halonen: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Glendening won the faceoff against Glass
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestTippett – Zegras – Foerster7:31
xG 0.28–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–3goals 1–0
- Couturier – Glendening – Barkey9:32
xG 0.14–0.10 (59%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
- Cates – Bump – Michkov7:59
xG 0.25–0.47 (34%)attempts 5–9goals 0–1
- Dvorak – Konecny – Martone10:49
xG 0.16–0.54 (23%)attempts 8–17goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSeeler – Andrae10:56
xG 0.28–0.22 (56%)attempts 4–9goals 0–1
- Sanheim – York2:28
xG 0.00–0.21 (0%)attempts 0–4goals 0–0
- York – Drysdale14:49
xG 0.17–0.44 (28%)attempts 6–15goals 1–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestBrown – Bratt – Hughes11:40
xG 0.71–0.38 (65%)attempts 11–6goals 0–1
- Bjugstad – Glass – Hameenaho7:25
xG 0.20–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–2goals 1–0
- Cotter – McLaughlin – Halonen7:12
xG 0.27–0.09 (76%)attempts 9–3goals 0–0
- Meier – Hischier – Mercer10:10
xG 0.20–0.12 (62%)attempts 12–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKovacevic – Hughes16:56
xG 0.79–0.21 (79%)attempts 21–3goals 0–1
- Dillon – Nemec11:33
xG 0.41–0.14 (74%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
- Hamilton – Siegenthaler12:37
xG 0.36–0.34 (51%)attempts 14–7goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it PHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 68% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − PHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).