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Ice Lab

Wed, Apr 8, 2026·Madison Square Garden, New York

Buffalo Sabres 5, New York Rangers 3

Away

Buffalo Sabres

5

Final

Home

New York Rangers

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 80% of the time.

NYR winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:25Shot by Krebs, saved by Shesterkin
  3. P1 1:47Shot by Schneider, saved by Luukkonen
  4. P1 1:49Shot by Cuylle, saved by Luukkonen
  5. P1 2:04Shot by Schneider, saved by Luukkonen
  6. P1 3:28Shot by Thompson, saved by Shesterkin
  7. P1 4:40Goal by McLeod (Zucker, Timmins)+15 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Schneider, Lafrenière, Fortescue, Perreault · BUF Zucker, Timmins, McLeod, Dahlin, Quinn

  8. P1 4:50Shot by Norris, saved by Shesterkin
  9. P1 5:04Shot by Cuylle, saved by Luukkonen
  10. P1 6:12Shot by Laba, saved by Luukkonen
  11. P1 6:40Shot by Gavrikov, saved by Luukkonen
  12. P1 7:31Shot by Kesselring, saved by Shesterkin
  13. P1 7:37Shot by Zucker, saved by Shesterkin
  14. P1 8:01Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Luukkonen
  15. P1 8:50Shot by Doan, saved by Shesterkin
  16. P1 8:50Shot by Benson, saved by Shesterkin
  17. P1 8:58Goal by Benson (Dahlin, Byram)+13 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Brodzinski, Schneider, Cuylle, Fortescue · BUF Norris, Dahlin, Byram, Doan, Benson

  18. P1 10:14Shot by Kesselring, saved by Shesterkin
  19. P1 10:28Shot by Kesselring, saved by Shesterkin
  20. P1 15:42Shot by Robertson, saved by Luukkonen
  21. P1 16:50Shot by Kartye, saved by Luukkonen
  22. P1 17:11Shot by Miller, saved by Luukkonen
  23. P1 18:07Shot by Schneider, saved by Luukkonen
  24. P1 18:24McLeod: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Schneider, Chmelar, Sykora, Laba, Fortescue · BUF Zucker, McLeod, Samuelsson, Kesselring, Quinn

  25. P1 19:21Goal by Lafrenière (Fox, Miller)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Zibanejad, Miller, Fox, Lafrenière · BUF Samuelsson, Power, Kozak, Benson

  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:23Fox: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Miller, Sheary, Gavrikov, Fox, Kartye · BUF Tuch, Thompson, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Krebs

  29. P2 0:29Shot by Quinn, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  30. P2 0:30Shot by Zucker, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  31. P2 1:59Shot by Dahlin, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  32. P2 2:24Shot by Byram, saved by Shesterkin
  33. P2 2:57Goal by Lafrenière (Fortescue)+17 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Fox, Lafrenière, Fortescue, Perreault · BUF McLeod, Byram, Doan, Power, Benson

  34. P2 3:18Shot by Timmins, saved by Shesterkin
  35. P2 5:00Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Luukkonen
  36. P2 6:04Shot by Sykora, saved by Luukkonen
  37. P2 7:52Shot by Miller, saved by Luukkonen
  38. P2 9:04Shot by Power, saved by Shesterkin
  39. P2 9:10Shot by Dahlin, saved by Shesterkin
  40. P2 14:10Shot by Brodzinski, saved by Luukkonen6v5
  41. P2 14:14Krebs: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Zibanejad, Brodzinski, Fox, Lafrenière, Cuylle · BUF Zucker, McLeod, Byram, Quinn, Power

  42. P2 14:44Goal by Fox (Trocheck, Zibanejad)5v4+24 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Zibanejad, Miller, Fox, Lafrenière · BUF Tuch, Malenstyn, Timmins, Samuelsson

  43. P2 16:31Trocheck: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Brodzinski, Schneider, Fortescue, Perreault · BUF Tuch, Thompson, Krebs, Byram, Power

  44. P2 17:35Gavrikov: Cross checking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NYR Miller, Gavrikov, Kartye, Schneider · BUF Zucker, Thompson, Norris, Dahlin, Quinn

  45. P2 18:08Shot by Zucker, saved by Shesterkin3v5
  46. P2 19:00Shot by Cuylle, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 4:48Shot by Byram, saved by Shesterkin
  50. P3 5:41Shot by Krebs, saved by Shesterkin
  51. P3 5:51Goal by Tuch (Krebs, Thompson)+34 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Gavrikov, Fox, Chmelar, Sykora, Laba · BUF Tuch, Thompson, Kesselring, Krebs, Power

  52. P3 7:10Shot by McLeod, saved by Shesterkin
  53. P3 7:14Goal by Zucker (McLeod)+24 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Borgen, Robertson, Lafrenière, Perreault · BUF Zucker, Timmins, McLeod, Byram, Quinn

  54. P3 7:25Shot by Norris, saved by Shesterkin
  55. P3 10:00Borgen: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Borgen, Robertson, Chmelar, Sykora, Laba · BUF Zucker, McLeod, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Quinn

  56. P3 10:44Norris: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NYR Miller, Gavrikov, Kartye, Schneider · BUF Zucker, Thompson, Norris, Dahlin, Quinn

  57. P3 15:52Shot by Thompson, saved by Shesterkin
  58. P3 18:25Shot by Miller, saved by Luukkonen6v5
  59. P3 18:45Goal by Benson (Doan, Norris)6v5+7 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Zibanejad, Miller, Fox, Lafrenière, Cuylle · BUF Norris, Samuelsson, Doan, Power, Benson

  60. P3 0:00Period end
  61. P3 0:00Final