Wed, Apr 8, 2026·Madison Square Garden, New York
Buffalo Sabres 5, New York Rangers 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 80% of the time.
13%
73%
NYR winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 24:30 | 0.19 | 85.0% | +13.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 22:18 | 0.43 | 45.8% | +33.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 22:07 | 0.05 | 56.2% | +13.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:39 | 0.01 | 59.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:09 | 0.02 | 17.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 19:24 | 0.31 | 72.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:05 | 0.10 | 46.9% | +33.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 18:14 | 0.82 | 72.8% | +38.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 17:10 | 0.08 | 62.6% | +38.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 16:26 | 0.00 | 45.3% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:04 | 0.06 | 45.8% | +33.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 14:46 | 0.37 | 63.3% | +7.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:08 | 0.18 | 59.8% | +7.1 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 12:59 | 1.19 | 59.4% | +20.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:50 | 0.00 | 8.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 10:37 | 0.04 | 38.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:15 | 0.01 | 5.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:52 | 0.00 | 5.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 20 | 17 | 3 | .850 | 2.10 | −0.9 | 60:00 |
New York Rangers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 24:41 | 0.07 | 63.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 1 | 23:20 | 0.09 | 73.6% | +37.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 22:35 | 0.06 | 23.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 20:51 | 0.30 | 67.0% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 18:48 | 0.00 | 54.1% | +24.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 2 | 18:44 | 0.35 | 31.3% | +24.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:07 | 0.20 | 62.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:52 | 0.00 | 51.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 15:46 | 0.35 | 23.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:24 | 0.00 | 59.4% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | −2 | 2 | 15:07 | 0.17 | 55.0% | +30.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 13:34 | 0.01 | 30.2% | +16.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:33 | 0.09 | 52.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:28 | 0.00 | 62.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:09 | 0.09 | 61.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:03 | 0.17 | 30.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:16 | 0.13 | 52.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:15 | 0.00 | 52.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 26 | 22 | 4 | .846 | 3.06 | −0.9 | 58:27 |