Thu, Apr 9, 2026·United Center, Chicago
Carolina Hurricanes 7, Chicago Blackhawks 2
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 59% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAR | 27 | 28 | 37 | 722 |
| CHI | 17 | 09 | 19 | 225 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:19CARSean WalkerAssists: Nikolaj Ehlers · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–0
- P1 10:48CHIAnton FrondellAssists: Louis Crevier · Wrist, 0.26 xG1–1
- P1 17:10CARLogan StankovenUnassisted · Wrist, 0.13 xG2–1
- P2 4:08CARLogan StankovenGWGAssists: Taylor Hall, Jackson Blake · Backhand, 0.19 xG3–1
- P2 14:50CARMark JankowskiAssists: Alexander Nikishin, William Carrier · Tip-in, 0.08 xG4–1
- P3 5:47CARK'Andre MillerAssists: William Carrier · Snap, 0.09 xG5–1
- P3 6:09CHIAnton FrondellAssists: Louis Crevier, Alex Vlasic · Tip-in, 0.08 xG5–2
- P3 8:13CARTaylor HallAssists: Shayne Gostisbehere, Logan Stankoven · Wrist, 0.10 xG6–2
- P3 12:51CARMark JankowskiAssists: William Carrier, Nicolas Deslauriers · Snap, 0.12 xG7–2
Penalties (7)
- P2 9:50CARJosiah Slavin: Slashing2 min
- P2 17:07CHITyler Bertuzzi: Slashing2 min
- P2 18:03CARBradly Nadeau: Hooking2 min
- P3 3:42CARK'Andre Miller: Tripping2 min
- P3 16:31CARAlexander Nikishin: Slashing2 min
- P3 18:47CARMike Reilly: Roughing2 min
- P3 18:47CHIRyan Donato: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bedard won the faceoff against Kotkaniemi
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Carolina Hurricanes
Forward lines
- bestDeslauriers – Jankowski – Carrier7:06
xG 0.50–0.14 (79%)attempts 7–8goals 2–0
- Brind'Amour – Robinson – Slavin10:45
xG 0.41–0.27 (60%)attempts 12–5goals 0–0
- Hall – Stankoven – Blake14:25
xG 0.92–0.81 (53%)attempts 19–12goals 3–2
- Ehlers – Kotkaniemi – Nadeau10:47
xG 0.29–0.19 (61%)attempts 9–6goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestWalker – Nikishin16:31
xG 0.73–0.33 (69%)attempts 21–9goals 3–0
- Gostisbehere – Miller16:38
xG 1.00–0.82 (55%)attempts 16–17goals 3–1
- Reilly – Legault11:52
xG 0.46–0.32 (59%)attempts 11–9goals 0–1
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestMangiapane – Slaggert – Greene7:11
xG 0.21–0.14 (60%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- Bertuzzi – Mikheyev – Frondell12:37
xG 0.42–0.67 (39%)attempts 6–15goals 1–0
- Burakovsky – Donato – Nazar10:13
xG 0.16–0.43 (27%)attempts 7–11goals 0–2
- Teravainen – Bedard – Lardis11:07
xG 0.43–0.74 (37%)attempts 11–15goals 0–3
Defence pairs
- Vlasic – Crevier14:38
xG 0.50–0.55 (48%)attempts 11–11goals 2–2
- Del Mastro – Korchinski13:21
xG 0.53–0.66 (44%)attempts 10–13goals 0–1
- Kaiser – Rinzel15:42
xG 0.43–0.82 (34%)attempts 11–22goals 0–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it CAR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 59% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − CAR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).