Sat, Apr 11, 2026·United Center, Chicago
St. Louis Blues 5, Chicago Blackhawks 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 60% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | 113 | 310 | 15 | 528 |
| CHI | 19 | 111 | 114 | 334 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 9:26STLJimmy SnuggerudAssists: Tyler Tucker, Dylan Holloway · Tip-in, 0.11 xG1–0
- P1 15:07CHIRyan GreeneAssists: Connor Bedard · Snap, 0.09 xG1–1
- P2 3:04CHIIlya MikheyevAssists: Sacha Boisvert · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–2
- P2 4:10STLAlexey ToropchenkoAssists: Pius Suter, Oskar Sundqvist · Backhand, 0.13 xG2–2
- P2 12:06STLJordan KyrouPPAssists: Logan Mailloux, Pavel Buchnevich · Wrist, 0.10 xG3–2
- P2 17:20STLCam FowlerGWGAssists: Jonatan Berggren, Tyler Tucker · Wrist, 0.16 xG4–2
- P3 7:04STLDalibor DvorskyAssists: Jake Neighbours, Jonatan Berggren · Snap, 0.10 xG5–2
- P3 13:35CHIIlya MikheyevAssists: Tyler Bertuzzi, Anton Frondell · Wrist, 0.12 xG5–3
Penalties (3)
- P1 0:37STLOskar Sundqvist: Tripping2 min
- P1 19:46STLRobert Thomas: Holding2 min
- P2 10:30CHITyler Bertuzzi: Tripping2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Suter won the faceoff against Boisvert
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestThomas – Holloway – Snuggerud12:57
xG 1.28–0.77 (63%)attempts 17–14goals 1–2
- Berggren – Neighbours – Dvorsky10:11
xG 0.79–0.43 (65%)attempts 11–6goals 2–1
- Buchnevich – Kyrou – Stenberg9:46
xG 0.44–0.45 (50%)attempts 7–11goals 0–0
- Sundqvist – Toropchenko – Suter9:56
xG 0.13–0.21 (37%)attempts 4–8goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestBroberg – Mailloux14:33
xG 1.03–0.37 (74%)attempts 13–10goals 2–2
- Fowler – Tucker14:10
xG 0.75–0.55 (58%)attempts 12–9goals 2–0
- Parayko – Lindstein15:41
xG 0.20–0.78 (20%)attempts 11–19goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestBurakovsky – Donato – Nazar2:18
xG 0.18–0.03 (85%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Burakovsky – Donato – Bedard4:57
xG 0.12–0.28 (31%)attempts 3–8goals 0–1
- Teravainen – Mangiapane – Boisvert3:53
xG 0.08–0.32 (20%)attempts 3–3goals 0–1
- Greene – Bedard – Lardis7:16
xG 0.29–0.54 (35%)attempts 6–7goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestVlasic – Rinzel3:49
xG 0.53–0.04 (93%)attempts 7–1goals 0–0
- Vlasic – Crevier12:38
xG 0.53–0.11 (84%)attempts 15–5goals 0–0
- Kaiser – Korchinski4:37
xG 0.32–0.02 (94%)attempts 6–1goals 2–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it STL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 60% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − STL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).