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Ice Lab

Sat, Apr 11, 2026·Delta Center, Salt Lake City

Carolina Hurricanes 4, Utah Mammoth 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 70% of the time.

UTA winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:19Shot by Staal, saved by Vejmelka
  3. P1 2:59Shot by Yamamoto, saved by Andersen
  4. P1 3:27Sergachev: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: UTA Weegar, Sergachev, Yamamoto, Guenther, Cooley · CAR Gostisbehere, Slavin, Aho, Svechnikov, Jarvis

  5. P1 4:23Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Vejmelka4v5
  6. P1 4:25Goal by Svechnikov (Ehlers, Gostisbehere)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: UTA Weegar, Schmaltz, Stenlund, Durzi · CAR Gostisbehere, Ehlers, Aho, Svechnikov, Jarvis

  7. P1 4:38Shot by Robinson, saved by Vejmelka
  8. P1 7:24Shot by Staal, saved by Vejmelka
  9. P1 7:35Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Vejmelka
  10. P1 7:40Shot by Reilly, saved by Vejmelka
  11. P1 8:14Shot by Tanev, saved by Andersen
  12. P1 9:01Shot by Walker, saved by Vejmelka
  13. P1 9:14Shot by Cole, saved by Andersen
  14. P1 9:43Shot by Sergachev, saved by Andersen
  15. P1 10:28Shot by Simashev, saved by Andersen
  16. P1 10:37Shot by Yamamoto, saved by Andersen
  17. P1 11:34Shot by Brind'Amour, saved by Vejmelka
  18. P1 13:23Goal by Staal (Ehlers, Martinook)+14 pts WP

    On ice: UTA Schmidt, Yamamoto, Guenther, Cooley, Simashev · CAR Staal, Martinook, Ehlers, Walker, Nikishin

  19. P1 13:26Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Vejmelka
  20. P1 16:27Shot by Schmaltz, saved by Andersen
  21. P1 16:34Aho: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: UTA Cole, Schmaltz, Crouse, Keller, Durzi, Guenther · CAR Aho, Walker, Svechnikov, Jarvis, Nikishin

  22. P1 16:46Shot by Slavin, saved by Vejmelka5v4
  23. P1 18:37Shot by Weegar, saved by Andersen6v5
  24. P1 18:41Brind'Amour: High sticking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: UTA Kerfoot, Weegar, Crouse, Keller, Carcone, Peterka · CAR Reilly, Aho, Brind'Amour, Slavin, Legault

  25. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:43Shot by Schmaltz, saved by Andersen
  28. P2 2:43Shot by Schmaltz, saved by Andersen
  29. P2 3:22Shot by Kotkaniemi, saved by Vejmelka
  30. P2 5:08Shot by O'Brien, saved by Andersen
  31. P2 5:32Gostisbehere: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: UTA O'Brien, Schmidt, Crouse, Stenlund, Sergachev · CAR Gostisbehere, Brind'Amour, Walker, Slavin, Nadeau

  32. P2 6:50Shot by Jarvis, saved by Vejmelka5v4
  33. P2 9:38Shot by Yamamoto, saved by Andersen
  34. P2 10:57Shot by Tanev, saved by Andersen
  35. P2 11:08Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Vejmelka
  36. P2 11:32Shot by Aho, saved by Vejmelka
  37. P2 13:24Shot by Simashev, saved by Andersen
  38. P2 13:41Schmaltz: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: UTA Cole, Schmaltz, Crouse, Keller, Durzi · CAR Staal, Gostisbehere, Martinook, Slavin, Ehlers

  39. P2 15:08Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Vejmelka4v5
  40. P2 17:44Shot by O'Brien, saved by Andersen
  41. P2 0:00Period end
  42. P3 0:00Period start
  43. P3 2:01Aho: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: UTA Kerfoot, Schmidt, Carcone, Peterka, Simashev · CAR Aho, Walker, Svechnikov, Jarvis, Nikishin

  44. P3 2:26Shot by Guenther, saved by Andersen5v4
  45. P3 2:35Shot by Guenther, saved by Andersen5v4
  46. P3 2:42Goal by Guenther (Keller, Sergachev)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: UTA Schmaltz, Keller, Sergachev, Guenther, Cooley · CAR Staal, Martinook, Slavin, Walker

  47. P3 3:08Shot by Reilly, saved by Vejmelka
  48. P3 3:41Svechnikov: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: UTA Weegar, Schmaltz, Crouse, Keller, Sergachev · CAR Aho, Walker, Svechnikov, Jarvis, Nikishin

  49. P3 4:32Shot by Jarvis, saved by Vejmelka5v4
  50. P3 4:58Shot by Crouse, saved by Andersen5v4
  51. P3 5:00Shot by Crouse, saved by Andersen5v4
  52. P3 5:45Shot by Aho, saved by Vejmelka
  53. P3 5:47Weegar: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: UTA Kerfoot, Weegar, Crouse, Carcone, Peterka · CAR Slavin, Aho, Svechnikov, Jarvis, Nikishin

  54. P3 6:23Shot by Aho, saved by Vejmelka4v5
  55. P3 6:48Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Vejmelka4v5
  56. P3 7:10Shot by Aho, saved by Vejmelka4v5
  57. P3 8:18Shot by Guenther, saved by Andersen
  58. P3 9:34Shot by Staal, saved by Vejmelka
  59. P3 10:08Shot by Carcone, saved by Andersen
  60. P3 11:30Shot by Yamamoto, saved by Andersen
  61. P3 12:35Shot by Ehlers, saved by Vejmelka
  62. P3 14:48Simashev: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: UTA Weegar, Carcone, Guenther, Cooley, Simashev · CAR Reilly, Brind'Amour, Robinson, Slavin, Legault

  63. P3 14:48Legault: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: UTA Weegar, Carcone, Guenther, Cooley, Simashev · CAR Reilly, Brind'Amour, Robinson, Slavin, Legault

  64. P3 15:07Shot by Ehlers, saved by Vejmelka
  65. P3 15:31Goal by Aho (Gostisbehere, Slavin)+12 pts WP

    On ice: UTA Kerfoot, Schmidt, Weegar, Stenlund, Carcone · CAR Gostisbehere, Slavin, Aho, Svechnikov, Jarvis

  66. P3 16:06Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Vejmelka
  67. P3 16:56Shot by Cooley, saved by Andersen6v5
  68. P3 17:18Shot by Crouse, saved by Andersen6v5
  69. P3 18:50Shot by Sergachev, saved by Andersen6v5
  70. P3 19:08Shot by Cooley, saved by Andersen6v5
  71. P3 19:37Goal by Walker (Martinook, Staal)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: UTA Schmaltz, Keller, Durzi, Peterka, Guenther, Cooley · CAR Staal, Martinook, Slavin, Walker, Slavin

  72. P3 0:00Period end
  73. P3 0:00Final