Sun, Apr 12, 2026·Honda Center, Anaheim
Vancouver Canucks 4, Anaheim Ducks 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 67% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 210 | 06 | 13 | 17 | 426 |
| ANA | 19 | 010 | 27 | 01 | 327 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:41ANACutter GauthierAssists: Chris Kreider, Alex Killorn · Snap, 0.15 xG0–1
- P1 10:49VANCurtis DouglasAssists: Aatu Räty, Kirill Kudryavtsev · Wrist, 0.21 xG1–1
- P1 14:37VANJake DeBruskPPAssists: Marco Rossi, Filip Hronek · Tip-in, 0.06 xG2–1
- P3 4:28VANBrock BoeserSHUnassisted · Snap, 0.29 xG3–1
- P3 5:05ANACutter GauthierPPAssists: Jackson LaCombe, Mason McTavish · Slap, 0.06 xG3–2
- P3 6:56ANALeo CarlssonAssists: Chris Kreider · Backhand, 0.05 xG3–3
- OT 4:50VANMarco RossiPPGWGAssists: Zeev Buium, Brock Boeser · Slap, 0.07 xG4–3
Penalties (9)
- P1 1:36VANTeddy Blueger: Cross checking2 min
- P1 11:53VANTeddy Blueger: Fighting5 min
- P1 11:53ANARadko Gudas: Fighting5 min · PPG
- P1 13:34ANABeckett Sennecke: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P1 14:44VANCurtis Douglas: Fighting5 min
- P1 14:44ANAJeffrey Viel: Fighting5 min
- P1 19:18ANATyson Hinds: Tripping2 min
- P3 3:45VANDrew O'Connor: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
- OT 2:53ANAChris Kreider: Slashing2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Carlsson won the faceoff against Pettersson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestDouglas – Räty – Mueller4:43
xG 0.41–0.14 (75%)attempts 5–3goals 1–0
- Blueger – Boeser – Ohgren10:15
xG 0.19–0.50 (27%)attempts 6–8goals 0–0
- Karlsson – O'Connor – Rossi10:00
xG 0.16–0.48 (25%)attempts 5–8goals 0–0
- DeBrusk – Pettersson – Hoglander11:50
xG 0.21–0.55 (27%)attempts 4–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKudryavtsev – Pettersson9:14
xG 0.41–0.06 (88%)attempts 5–4goals 1–0
- Pettersson – Kudryavtsev3:52
xG 0.17–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Pettersson – Willander3:11
xG 0.11–0.07 (63%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestKillorn – Granlund – Sennecke14:42
xG 1.12–0.32 (78%)attempts 14–9goals 0–0
- Kreider – Terry – Carlsson12:47
xG 0.66–0.07 (91%)attempts 10–5goals 1–0
- Poehling – McTavish – Gauthier3:49
xG 0.24–0.06 (79%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Viel – McTavish – Gauthier5:39
xG 0.31–0.38 (45%)attempts 5–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestTrouba – Hinds2:39
xG 0.59–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Carlson – Mintyukov13:11
xG 0.78–0.46 (63%)attempts 9–12goals 0–0
- Carlson – LaCombe3:16
xG 0.27–0.11 (72%)attempts 5–1goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 67% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).