Tue, Apr 14, 2026·TD Garden, Boston
New Jersey Devils 0, Boston Bruins 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 64% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 010 | 05 | 06 | 021 |
| BOS | 412 | 09 | 05 | 426 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:53BOSMorgan GeekieGWGAssists: David Pastrnak, Fraser Minten · Wrist, 0.15 xG0–1
- P1 6:14BOSMark KastelicAssists: Tanner Jeannot, Sean Kuraly · Snap, 0.21 xG0–2
- P1 17:42BOSMark KastelicAssists: Sean Kuraly, Mason Lohrei · Wrist, 0.12 xG0–3
- P1 19:52BOSViktor ArvidssonAssists: Pavel Zacha, Hampus Lindholm · Snap, 0.16 xG0–4
Penalties (1)
- P3 13:16BOSNikita Zadorov: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Glass won the faceoff against Minten
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestMeier – Hischier – Mercer14:32
xG 0.48–0.29 (62%)attempts 20–10goals 0–0
- Dadonov – McLaughlin – Tsyplakov3:16
xG 0.11–0.02 (87%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
- Bjugstad – Glass – Cotter4:28
xG 0.33–0.28 (54%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
- Bjugstad – Glass – Tsyplakov6:38
xG 0.18–0.22 (45%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDillon – Nemec17:48
xG 1.10–0.82 (57%)attempts 27–14goals 0–1
- Kovacevic – Vilen16:34
xG 0.18–0.60 (23%)attempts 12–12goals 0–0
- Hamilton – Siegenthaler17:33
xG 0.50–1.10 (31%)attempts 17–20goals 0–3
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestKuraly – Jeannot – Kastelic10:41
xG 0.84–0.38 (69%)attempts 12–13goals 2–0
- Khusnutdinov – Minten – Hagens12:31
xG 0.38–0.16 (70%)attempts 9–11goals 0–0
- Kuraly – Arvidsson – Eyssimont3:02
xG 0.12–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Arvidsson – Zacha – Eyssimont3:57
xG 0.20–0.19 (51%)attempts 7–5goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestLindholm – Lohrei17:44
xG 1.07–0.52 (68%)attempts 12–16goals 4–0
- Zadorov – Peeke17:00
xG 0.41–0.48 (46%)attempts 14–16goals 0–0
- McAvoy – Aspirot16:37
xG 0.39–0.80 (33%)attempts 10–23goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 64% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).