Tue, Apr 14, 2026·UBS Arena, Elmont
Carolina Hurricanes 2, New York Islanders 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 51% of the time.
42%
9%
9%
40%
NYI winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 23:40 | 0.01 | 52.3% | +30.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:10 | 0.03 | 49.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:01 | 0.03 | 49.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:17 | 0.00 | 49.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:44 | 0.01 | 37.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:34 | 0.11 | 43.9% | +30.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:29 | 0.38 | 66.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:40 | 0.35 | 57.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:51 | 0.00 | 66.0% | +30.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:41 | 0.02 | 38.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:12 | 0.00 | 59.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 15:02 | 0.21 | 43.6% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:35 | 0.19 | 42.1% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 14:07 | 0.24 | 68.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12:58 | 0.61 | 68.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:51 | 0.21 | 62.3% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:28 | 0.32 | 41.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:40 | 0.00 | 64.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 30 | 29 | 1 | .967 | 2.73 | +1.7 | 60:00 |
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 24:13 | 0.37 | 68.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:18 | 0.39 | 50.0% | +18.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:55 | 0.20 | 54.0% | +18.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:38 | 0.11 | 40.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:09 | 0.08 | 47.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:45 | 0.00 | 27.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:30 | 0.03 | 57.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:37 | 0.03 | 50.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:33 | 0.05 | 28.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:31 | 0.36 | 58.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:55 | 0.28 | 43.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:47 | 0.30 | 55.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:44 | 0.27 | 35.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:30 | 0.09 | 50.0% | +18.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:56 | 0.00 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:25 | 0.10 | 26.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:48 | 0.00 | 10.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:17 | 0.06 | 12.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 21 | 19 | 2 | .905 | 2.42 | +0.4 | 56:29 |