Thu, Apr 16, 2026·Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg
San Jose Sharks 6, Winnipeg Jets 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 66% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 27 | 316 | 110 | 633 |
| WPG | 113 | 07 | 07 | 127 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:28WPGCole KoepkeUnassisted · Snap, 0.14 xG0–1
- P1 6:26SJSIgor ChernyshovPPAssists: William Eklund, Macklin Celebrini · Wrist, 0.14 xG1–1
- P1 16:54SJSWill SmithGWGAssists: Macklin Celebrini, John Klingberg · Snap, 0.13 xG2–1
- P2 5:51SJSCollin GrafUnassisted · Wrist, 0.12 xG3–1
- P2 18:01SJSMichael MisaAssists: William Eklund, John Klingberg · Snap, 0.14 xG4–1
- P2 19:55SJSWilliam EklundAssists: Mario Ferraro, Kiefer Sherwood · Wrist, 0.18 xG5–1
- P3 1:14SJSMacklin CelebriniAssists: John Klingberg, Will Smith · Snap, 0.15 xG6–1
Penalties (8)
- P1 5:27WPGNino Niederreiter: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P1 13:40SJSSam Dickinson: Tripping2 min
- P2 10:23SJSWill Smith: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P3 5:08SJSShakir Mukhamadullin: Holding2 min
- P3 14:53WPGJosh Morrissey: Roughing2 min
- P3 14:53SJSTy Dellandrea: Roughing2 min
- P3 14:53SJSPavol Regenda: Misconduct10 min
- P3 18:04WPGVille Heinola: High sticking double minor4 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Toews won the faceoff against Celebrini
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestSherwood – Eklund – Misa10:26
xG 1.08–0.11 (91%)attempts 16–6goals 1–0
- Smith – Celebrini – Chernyshov12:01
xG 0.79–0.17 (82%)attempts 17–2goals 2–0
- Goodrow – Ostapchuk – Regenda8:03
xG 0.11–0.56 (16%)attempts 5–11goals 0–1
- Kurashev – Dellandrea – Graf11:12
xG 0.03–0.88 (3%)attempts 2–17goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKlingberg – Dickinson12:54
xG 1.70–0.65 (72%)attempts 17–10goals 2–0
- Orlov – Mukhamadullin11:47
xG 0.76–0.59 (56%)attempts 11–14goals 0–0
- Klingberg – Cagnoni3:05
xG 0.13–0.11 (54%)attempts 1–2goals 1–0
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- bestKoepke – Chibrikov – Yager7:21
xG 0.44–0.00 (100%)attempts 7–3goals 1–0
- Niederreiter – Lowry – Perfetti11:40
xG 0.56–0.19 (75%)attempts 14–5goals 0–0
- Toews – Rosen – Lambert9:39
xG 0.48–0.74 (40%)attempts 12–13goals 0–2
- Scheifele – Connor – Vilardi10:50
xG 0.47–2.03 (19%)attempts 7–17goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestMiller – Fleury4:55
xG 0.18–0.07 (71%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Samberg – Heinola4:14
xG 0.19–0.10 (66%)attempts 7–3goals 0–0
- Fleury – Heinola9:49
xG 0.41–0.52 (44%)attempts 7–7goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
WPG's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line WPG is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 66% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (WPG − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).