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Ice Lab

Wed, Sep 30, 2026·Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia

Pittsburgh Penguins 7, Philadelphia Flyers 0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 89% of the time.

PHI winsPIT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:16Shot by Rakell, saved by Vladar
  3. P1 1:34Shot by Chinakhov, saved by Vladar
  4. P1 1:35Shot by Lizotte, saved by Vladar
  5. P1 1:36Shot by Lizotte, saved by Vladar
  6. P1 3:20Shot by Sanheim, saved by Silovs
  7. P1 4:20Shot by Konecny, saved by Silovs
  8. P1 4:58Shot by Bump, saved by Silovs
  9. P1 6:27Shot by Acciari, saved by Silovs
  10. P1 7:26Goal by Robertson (Letang, Crosby)+15 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Ristolainen, Sanheim, Dvorak, Acciari, Grundstrom · PIT Crosby, Letang, Rakell, van Riemsdyk, Robertson

  11. P1 7:35Shot by Dvorak, saved by Silovs
  12. P1 10:42Drysdale: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Dvorak, Konecny, York, Drysdale, Foerster · PIT Karlsson, Hallander, Lapierre, Koivunen, Carlile

  13. P1 12:44Shot by Koivunen, saved by Vladar
  14. P1 13:15Shot by Robertson, saved by Vladar
  15. P1 13:28Shot by Malkin, saved by Vladar
  16. P1 15:44Goal by Koivunen (Girard, Korczak)+14 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Sanheim, Konecny, Zegras, York, Foerster · PIT Girard, Hallander, Korczak, Lapierre, Koivunen

  17. P1 17:45Shot by Lizotte, saved by Vladar
  18. P1 19:27Shot by Chinakhov, saved by Vladar
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 3:21Shot by Hallander, saved by Vladar
  22. P2 3:23Martone: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Ristolainen, Sanheim, Grundstrom, Zegras, Martone · PIT Karlsson, Hallander, Lapierre, Koivunen, Carlile

  23. P2 4:19Shot by Karlsson, saved by Vladar4v5
  24. P2 4:35Shot by Foerster, saved by Silovs4v5
  25. P2 4:39Shot by Sanheim, saved by Silovs4v5
  26. P2 5:03Goal by Malkin (Lapierre, Novak)4v5+9 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Sanheim, Dvorak, Konecny, York · PIT Malkin, Letang, Novak, Girard, Lapierre

  27. P2 5:57Shot by Tippett, saved by Silovs
  28. P2 6:04Shot by Crosby, saved by Vladar
  29. P2 7:26Goal by Lapierre (Hallander, Carlile)+4 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Couturier, Acciari, Grundstrom, York, Drysdale · PIT Karlsson, Hallander, Lapierre, Koivunen, Carlile

  30. P2 8:23Shot by Sanheim, saved by Silovs
  31. P2 10:18Shot by Korczak, saved by Vladar
  32. P2 10:23Goal by Hallander (Korczak, Girard)+2 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Acciari, Tippett, Cates, Benoit, Drysdale · PIT Girard, Hallander, Korczak, Lapierre, Koivunen

  33. P2 11:24Shot by Hallander, saved by Vladar
  34. P2 11:46Shot by Letang, saved by Vladar
  35. P2 12:37Robertson: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Seeler, Dvorak, Benoit, Foerster, Michkov · PIT Crosby, Karlsson, Rakell, Robertson, Carlile

  36. P2 12:37Benoit: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Seeler, Dvorak, Benoit, Foerster, Michkov · PIT Crosby, Karlsson, Rakell, Robertson, Carlile

  37. P2 12:37Carlile: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Seeler, Dvorak, Benoit, Foerster, Michkov · PIT Crosby, Karlsson, Rakell, Robertson, Carlile

  38. P2 13:24Shot by Michkov, saved by Silovs5v4
  39. P2 13:29Shot by Zegras, saved by Silovs5v4
  40. P2 14:44Shot by Carlile, saved by Vladar
  41. P2 14:49Shot by Letang, saved by Vladar
  42. P2 14:53Shot by Rakell, saved by Vladar
  43. P2 14:59Shot by Robertson, saved by Vladar
  44. P2 18:00Shot by Carlile, saved by Vladar
  45. P2 18:15Shot by Tippett, saved by Silovs
  46. P2 19:38Shot by Crosby, saved by Vladar
  47. P2 19:42Seeler: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Seeler, Couturier, Grundstrom, Benoit, Martone · PIT Crosby, Letang, Rakell, van Riemsdyk, Robertson

  48. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 0:58Shot by Crosby, saved by Vladar4v5
  51. P3 1:42Shot by Letang, saved by Vladar4v5
  52. P3 2:19Shot by Girard, saved by Vladar
  53. P3 2:49Shot by Letang, saved by Vladar
  54. P3 4:26Carlile: Interference (2 min)6v5

    On ice: PHI Acciari, Cates, York, Drysdale, Bump, Michkov · PIT Crosby, Karlsson, Rakell, Robertson, Carlile

  55. P3 6:06Shot by Tippett, saved by Silovs5v4
  56. P3 6:11Shot by Konecny, saved by Silovs5v4
  57. P3 7:13Shot by Cates, saved by Silovs
  58. P3 7:36Shot by Karlsson, saved by Vladar
  59. P3 8:47Shot by Korczak, saved by Vladar
  60. P3 10:25Dewar: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Seeler, Acciari, Cates, Benoit, Bump · PIT Letang, Novak, Dewar, Soderblom, Carlile

  61. P3 10:27Shot by York, saved by Silovs5v4
  62. P3 11:01Shot by Tippett, saved by Silovs5v4
  63. P3 11:52Goal by Robertson (Hallander)5v40 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Zegras, Drysdale, Foerster, Michkov, Martone · PIT Girard, Hallander, Korczak, Robertson

  64. P3 13:03Shot by Grundstrom, saved by Silovs
  65. P3 13:56Shot by Korczak, saved by Vladar
  66. P3 14:11Shot by Dvorak, saved by Silovs
  67. P3 15:24Shot by Girard, saved by Vladar
  68. P3 15:27Konecny: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Seeler, Konecny, Tippett, Benoit, Zegras · PIT Crosby, Rakell, Girard, Korczak, Robertson

  69. P3 15:43Shot by Karlsson, saved by Vladar4v5
  70. P3 16:37Goal by Chinakhov (Karlsson, Rakell)4v50 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Couturier, Sanheim, Cates, York · PIT Crosby, Karlsson, Rakell, Novak, Chinakhov

  71. P3 17:12Shot by Lizotte, saved by Vladar
  72. P3 0:00Period end
  73. P3 0:00Final