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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 3, 2026·Nationwide Arena, Columbus

Utah Mammoth 4, Columbus Blue Jackets 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Utah Mammoth win this game 63% of the time.

CBJ winsUTA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:02Shot by Schmaltz, saved by Greaves
  3. P1 1:40Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Cossa
  4. P1 2:18Shot by Carcone, saved by Greaves
  5. P1 2:22Mateychuk: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Heinen, Werenski, Garland, Lomberg, Mateychuk · UTA Stenlund, Peeke, Carcone, Simashev, But

  6. P1 4:34Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Cossa
  7. P1 6:59Shot by Schmaltz, saved by Greaves
  8. P1 7:50Shot by Coyle, saved by Cossa
  9. P1 8:06Shot by Crouse, saved by Greaves
  10. P1 10:25Shot by Carcone, saved by Greaves
  11. P1 10:39Shot by Crouse, saved by Greaves
  12. P1 10:45Voronkov: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Gudbranson, Monahan, Nichushkin, Christiansen, Voronkov · UTA Weegar, Crouse, Sergachev, Hayton, McBain

  13. P1 11:17Shot by Guenther, saved by Greaves4v5
  14. P1 11:19Shot by Schmaltz, saved by Greaves4v5
  15. P1 11:55Goal by Sergachev (Guenther, Keller)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Soucy, Heinen, Olivier, Mateychuk · UTA Schmaltz, Keller, Sergachev, Guenther, Cooley

  16. P1 14:59Shot by Mateychuk, saved by Cossa
  17. P1 16:31Goal by Schmaltz (Keller, Marino)+14 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Gudbranson, Soucy, Monahan, Nichushkin, Voronkov · UTA Trocheck, Schmidt, Schmaltz, Marino, Keller

  18. P1 16:42Shot by Sergachev, saved by Greaves
  19. P1 17:36Shot by Johnson, saved by Cossa
  20. P1 17:49Shot by Stenlund, saved by Greaves
  21. P1 18:00Shot by Carcone, saved by Greaves
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 1:14Shot by Keller, saved by Greaves
  25. P2 1:30Goal by Johnson (Knies)+15 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Soucy, Andrae, Johnson, Knies, Fantilli · UTA Trocheck, Weegar, Schmaltz, Keller, Sergachev

  26. P2 4:07Shot by Guenther, saved by Greaves
  27. P2 5:29Shot by Werenski, saved by Cossa
  28. P2 6:43Shot by Lomberg, saved by Cossa
  29. P2 6:45Shot by Johnson, saved by Cossa
  30. P2 8:30Shot by Monahan, saved by Cossa
  31. P2 8:44Shot by Peeke, saved by Greaves
  32. P2 9:49Shot by Keller, saved by Greaves
  33. P2 13:36Shot by Sillinger, saved by Cossa
  34. P2 13:39Shot by Sillinger, saved by Cossa
  35. P2 14:52Shot by Peeke, saved by Greaves
  36. P2 16:58Shot by Sergachev, saved by Greaves
  37. P2 19:16Shot by Cooley, saved by Greaves
  38. P2 0:00Period end
  39. P3 0:00Period start
  40. P3 0:07Shot by Sergachev, saved by Greaves
  41. P3 0:25Shot by Guenther, saved by Greaves
  42. P3 0:59Shot by Knies, saved by Cossa
  43. P3 1:01Sergachev: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Gudbranson, Werenski, Johnson, Knies, Fantilli · UTA Lee, Weegar, Sergachev, Guenther, Cooley

  44. P3 1:12Shot by Johnson, saved by Cossa5v4
  45. P3 2:07Shot by Schmaltz, saved by Greaves5v4
  46. P3 2:47Shot by Voronkov, saved by Cossa5v4
  47. P3 5:43Mateychuk: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Nichushkin, Andrae, Knies, Mateychuk, Fantilli · UTA Trocheck, Schmaltz, Marino, Keller, Simashev

  48. P3 5:49Shot by Guenther, saved by Greaves4v5
  49. P3 5:51Shot by Schmaltz, saved by Greaves4v5
  50. P3 5:59Goal by Guenther (Cooley, Sergachev)4v5+17 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Coyle, Gudbranson, Werenski, Fantilli · UTA Schmaltz, Sergachev, Carcone, Guenther, Cooley

  51. P3 7:43Marino: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Coyle, Werenski, Olivier, Sillinger, Mateychuk · UTA Trocheck, Schmidt, Schmaltz, Marino, Keller

  52. P3 10:37Shot by Stenlund, saved by Greaves
  53. P3 13:07Shot by Lee, saved by Greaves
  54. P3 13:19Shot by Weegar, saved by Greaves
  55. P3 13:23Andrae: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Coyle, Soucy, Olivier, Andrae, Sillinger · UTA Lee, Weegar, Sergachev, Guenther, Cooley

  56. P3 14:03Shot by Schmaltz, saved by Greaves4v5
  57. P3 14:13Goal by Schmaltz (Cooley, Guenther)4v5+2 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Coyle, Gudbranson, Werenski, Olivier · UTA Schmaltz, Keller, Sergachev, Guenther, Cooley

  58. P3 14:26Shot by Lomberg, saved by Cossa
  59. P3 16:17Shot by Johnson, saved by Cossa
  60. P3 16:22Shot by Olivier, saved by Cossa
  61. P3 19:15Shot by Fantilli, saved by Cossa
  62. P3 0:00Period end
  63. P3 0:00Final