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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 3, 2026·UBS Arena, Elmont

New Jersey Devils 0, New York Islanders 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 56% of the time.

NYI winsNJD wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:29Shot by Noesen, saved by Sorokin
  3. P1 2:37Shot by Pesce, saved by Sorokin
  4. P1 4:32Shot by Hughes, saved by Sorokin
  5. P1 6:01Shot by Cizikas, saved by Daws
  6. P1 6:35Lombardi: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Palat, Horvat, DeAngelo, Romanov, Maccelli · NJD Dillon, Noesen, Glass, Chisholm, Lombardi

  7. P1 6:58Shot by Mercer, saved by Sorokin5v4
  8. P1 9:13Shot by Palat, saved by Daws
  9. P1 10:00Shot by Pageau, saved by Daws
  10. P1 11:04Shot by Schaefer, saved by Daws
  11. P1 11:38Shot by Stanley, saved by Daws
  12. P1 12:10Lombardi: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Pageau, Pelech, Duclair, Holmstrom, Schaefer · NJD Dillon, Bratt, Chisholm, Hughes, Lombardi

  13. P1 12:25Shot by Schenn, saved by Daws5v4
  14. P1 13:24Shot by Schenn, saved by Daws5v4
  15. P1 13:56Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Daws5v4
  16. P1 14:17Shot by Hughes, saved by Sorokin
  17. P1 15:54Stanley: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Palmieri, Horvat, Stanley, Heineman, Schaefer · NJD Hamilton, Siegenthaler, Meier, Hischier, Evangelista

  18. P1 17:14Shot by Meier, saved by Sorokin4v5
  19. P1 17:41Shot by Hamilton, saved by Sorokin4v5
  20. P1 19:00Eklund: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NYI Schenn, DeAngelo, Ritchie, Schaefer, Eklund · NJD Dillon, Noesen, Glass, Chisholm, Hughes, Gritsyuk

  21. P1 19:59Shot by Cizikas, saved by Daws4v5
  22. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:27Shot by Hischier, saved by Sorokin4v5
  25. P2 3:32Goal by Holmstrom (Pageau, Pelech)+22 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Pageau, Pelech, Duclair, Romanov, Holmstrom · NJD Hamilton, Mantha, Siegenthaler, Meier, Bratt

  26. P2 3:40Shot by Horvat, saved by Daws
  27. P2 4:06Shot by Hischier, saved by Sorokin
  28. P2 4:56Shot by Schaefer, saved by Daws
  29. P2 5:00Goal by Schenn (Eklund, Schaefer)+13 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Schenn, Pelech, Ritchie, Schaefer, Eklund · NJD Hamilton, Noesen, Glass, Chisholm, Lombardi

  30. P2 5:32Shot by Maccelli, saved by Daws
  31. P2 6:38Shot by Horvat, saved by Daws
  32. P2 6:40Shot by Palmieri, saved by Daws
  33. P2 7:09Shot by Hamilton, saved by Sorokin
  34. P2 7:10Shot by Meier, saved by Sorokin
  35. P2 8:03Shot by Meier, saved by Sorokin
  36. P2 8:09Shot by Meier, saved by Sorokin
  37. P2 9:15Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Sorokin
  38. P2 10:08Shot by Bratt, saved by Sorokin
  39. P2 11:23Hughes: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Palmieri, Horvat, Stanley, Maccelli, Heineman · NJD Pesce, Meier, Rodrigues, Evangelista, Hughes

  40. P2 11:26Shot by Palmieri, saved by Daws5v4
  41. P2 11:40Shot by Horvat, saved by Daws5v4
  42. P2 11:41Shot by Mercer, saved by Sorokin5v4
  43. P2 12:08Goal by Horvat (Schaefer)5v4+6 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Palmieri, Schenn, Horvat, Maccelli, Schaefer · NJD Dillon, Pesce, Glass, Mercer

  44. P2 13:25Shot by Schenn, saved by Daws
  45. P2 13:32Shot by Evangelista, saved by Sorokin
  46. P2 13:50Shot by Hughes, saved by Sorokin
  47. P2 15:03Shot by Noesen, saved by Sorokin
  48. P2 15:05Palmieri: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Palmieri, Horvat, DeAngelo, Stanley, Heineman · NJD Dillon, Noesen, Glass, Chisholm, Lombardi

  49. P2 15:59Shot by Pageau, saved by Daws4v5
  50. P2 16:41Shot by Hughes, saved by Sorokin4v5
  51. P2 17:11Shot by Hughes, saved by Sorokin
  52. P2 17:12Shot by Evangelista, saved by Sorokin
  53. P2 17:36Shot by Glass, saved by Sorokin
  54. P2 17:49Shot by Lombardi, saved by Sorokin
  55. P2 17:58Shot by Siegenthaler, saved by Sorokin
  56. P2 19:46Shot by Hughes, saved by Sorokin
  57. P2 0:00Period end
  58. P3 0:00Period start
  59. P3 0:47Shot by Gritsyuk, saved by Sorokin
  60. P3 3:02Shot by Maccelli, saved by Daws
  61. P3 3:10Shot by Bratt, saved by Sorokin
  62. P3 4:35Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Daws
  63. P3 7:07Horvat: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Duclair, Horvat, Pulock, Romanov, Heineman · NJD Hamilton, Mantha, Siegenthaler, Bratt, Hughes

  64. P3 9:05Shot by Meier, saved by Sorokin4v5
  65. P3 10:03Shot by Palat, saved by Daws
  66. P3 10:07Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Daws
  67. P3 10:48Shot by Heineman, saved by Daws
  68. P3 11:20Shot by Ritchie, saved by Daws
  69. P3 11:32Goal by Eklund (Ritchie, Schenn)+1 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Schenn, DeAngelo, Stanley, Ritchie, Eklund · NJD Dillon, Rodrigues, Chisholm, Gritsyuk, Mercer

  70. P3 11:44Shot by Palat, saved by Daws
  71. P3 12:14Goal by Palat (Cizikas, Stanley)0 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Cizikas, Palat, Pelech, Maccelli, Schaefer · NJD Noesen, Pesce, Siegenthaler, Hughes, Lombardi

  72. P3 13:03Shot by Meier, saved by Sorokin
  73. P3 13:51Shot by Hischier, saved by Sorokin
  74. P3 14:05Shot by Gritsyuk, saved by Sorokin
  75. P3 14:08Shot by Evangelista, saved by Sorokin
  76. P3 14:41Shot by Siegenthaler, saved by Sorokin
  77. P3 14:41Shot by Mercer, saved by Sorokin
  78. P3 16:54Shot by Hamilton, saved by Sorokin
  79. P3 17:30Palmieri: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Palmieri, Horvat, DeAngelo, Stanley, Heineman · NJD Dillon, Meier, Hischier, Chisholm, Evangelista

  80. P3 18:40Shot by Cizikas, saved by Daws4v5
  81. P3 18:41Goal by Cizikas (Holmstrom, Stanley)4v50 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Cizikas, Stanley, Romanov, Holmstrom · NJD Hamilton, Mantha, Meier, Rodrigues, Gritsyuk

  82. P3 19:39Shot by Pesce, saved by Sorokin
  83. P3 0:00Period end
  84. P3 0:00Final