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Ice Lab

Tue, Oct 6, 2026·Madison Square Garden, New York

New York Islanders 2, New York Rangers 5

Away

New York Islanders

2

Final

Home

New York Rangers

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 88% of the time.

NYR winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:17Shot by Eklund, saved by Shesterkin
  3. P1 1:50Shot by Schaefer, saved by Shesterkin
  4. P1 1:55Shot by Schenn, saved by Shesterkin
  5. P1 2:47Shot by Palmieri, saved by Shesterkin
  6. P1 5:28Shot by Palat, saved by Shesterkin
  7. P1 6:40Goal by Bjorkstrand (Lafrenière, Durzi)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Bjorkstrand, Schneider, Lafrenière, Beaudoin, Smits · NYI Palmieri, Schenn, Pelech, Horvat, Schaefer

  8. P1 7:21Beaudoin: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Bjorkstrand, Schneider, Chmelar, Beaudoin, Smits · NYI Schenn, DeAngelo, Stanley, Ritchie, Eklund

  9. P1 8:31Shot by Palmieri, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  10. P1 9:26Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Shesterkin
  11. P1 12:10Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Varlamov
  12. P1 12:13Schenn: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NYR Miller, Gavrikov, Fox, Dorofeyev, Kartye · NYI Schenn, Pelech, Ritchie, Schaefer, Eklund

  13. P1 12:13Miller: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NYR Miller, Gavrikov, Fox, Dorofeyev, Kartye · NYI Schenn, Pelech, Ritchie, Schaefer, Eklund

  14. P1 12:41Eklund: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Gavrikov, Fox, Dorofeyev, Kartye · NYI Cizikas, Pelech, Ritchie, Schaefer, Eklund

  15. P1 12:53Shot by Cuylle, saved by Varlamov5v4
  16. P1 13:32Shot by Cuylle, saved by Varlamov5v4
  17. P1 15:35Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Varlamov
  18. P1 16:54Shot by Horvat, saved by Shesterkin
  19. P1 16:57Lafrenière: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Pettersson, Durzi, Lafrenière, Perreault · NYI Palmieri, Pelech, Horvat, Heineman, Schaefer

  20. P1 18:16Shot by Eklund, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 0:25Goal by Lafrenière (Zibanejad, Gavrikov)+13 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Gavrikov, Fox, Lafrenière, Perreault · NYI Palat, Pageau, Duclair, Pulock, Romanov

  24. P2 1:01Shot by Pettersson, saved by Varlamov
  25. P2 2:02Tolvanen: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Tolvanen, Schneider, Cuylle, Beaudoin, Smits · NYI Schenn, DeAngelo, Stanley, Ritchie, Eklund

  26. P2 2:56Goal by Horvat (Maccelli, Schenn)4v5+12 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Miller, Gavrikov, Durzi, Cuylle · NYI Palmieri, Schenn, Horvat, Maccelli, Schaefer

  27. P2 4:52Goal by Ritchie (Schenn)+22 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Miller, Pettersson, Durzi, Dorofeyev, Cuylle · NYI Schenn, Pelech, Ritchie, Schaefer, Eklund

  28. P2 8:42Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Shesterkin
  29. P2 10:48Shot by Maccelli, saved by Shesterkin
  30. P2 12:11Cizikas: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Tolvanen, Schneider, Cuylle, Laba, Smits · NYI Cizikas, Palat, Pelech, Maccelli, Schaefer

  31. P2 12:11Smits: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Tolvanen, Schneider, Cuylle, Laba, Smits · NYI Cizikas, Palat, Pelech, Maccelli, Schaefer

  32. P2 13:00Shot by Gavrikov, saved by Varlamov4v4
  33. P2 13:37Shot by Miller, saved by Varlamov4v4
  34. P2 15:06Shot by Ritchie, saved by Shesterkin
  35. P2 15:28Schenn: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Miller, Fox, Lafrenière, Cuylle · NYI Palmieri, Schenn, Horvat, DeAngelo, Stanley

  36. P2 16:41Shot by Miller, saved by Varlamov5v4
  37. P2 17:00Shot by Cuylle, saved by Varlamov5v4
  38. P2 17:07Goal by Bjorkstrand (Perreault, Cuylle)5v4+29 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Bjorkstrand, Tolvanen, Durzi, Cuylle, Perreault · NYI Horvat, Stanley, Romanov, Heineman

  39. P2 0:00Period end
  40. P3 0:00Period start
  41. P3 0:16Shot by Gavrikov, saved by Varlamov
  42. P3 0:44Shot by Miller, saved by Varlamov
  43. P3 1:53Shot by Romanov, saved by Shesterkin
  44. P3 1:57Shot by Pulock, saved by Shesterkin
  45. P3 3:24Shot by Schenn, saved by Shesterkin
  46. P3 4:25Kartye: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Pettersson, Durzi, Dorofeyev, Kartye, Laba · NYI Pageau, Duclair, DeAngelo, Stanley, Holmstrom

  47. P3 9:40Shot by Schaefer, saved by Shesterkin
  48. P3 12:37Shot by Cuylle, saved by Varlamov
  49. P3 13:21Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Varlamov
  50. P3 13:42Shot by Perreault, saved by Varlamov
  51. P3 15:54Shot by Kartye, saved by Varlamov
  52. P3 16:00Shot by Gavrikov, saved by Varlamov
  53. P3 17:20Shot by Stanley, saved by Shesterkin
  54. P3 18:22Goal by Lafrenière (Miller, Zibanejad)5v6+6 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Miller, Gavrikov, Fox, Lafrenière · NYI Palmieri, Pelech, Horvat, Holmstrom, Maccelli, Schaefer

  55. P3 18:54Goal by Lafrenière (Fox, Gavrikov)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Miller, Gavrikov, Fox, Lafrenière · NYI Pageau, Duclair, DeAngelo, Holmstrom, Ritchie, Schaefer

  56. P3 19:24Shot by Schneider, saved by Varlamov
  57. P3 19:33Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Varlamov
  58. P3 19:45Shot by Schneider, saved by Varlamov
  59. P3 19:47Pelech: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Bjorkstrand, Tolvanen, Schneider, Laba, Smits · NYI Pageau, Pelech, Duclair, DeAngelo, Holmstrom

  60. P3 19:47Bjorkstrand: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NYR Bjorkstrand, Tolvanen, Schneider, Laba, Smits · NYI Pageau, Pelech, Duclair, DeAngelo, Holmstrom

  61. P3 19:47Pelech: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NYR Bjorkstrand, Tolvanen, Schneider, Laba, Smits · NYI Pageau, Pelech, Duclair, DeAngelo, Holmstrom

  62. P3 0:00Period end5v4
  63. P3 0:00Final5v4