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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 8, 2026·TD Garden, Boston

Utah Mammoth 1, Boston Bruins 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Utah Mammoth win this game 81% of the time.

BOS winsUTA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:02Shot by Trocheck, saved by Swayman
  3. P1 1:28Shot by Minten, saved by Cossa
  4. P1 4:21Shot by Peeke, saved by Swayman
  5. P1 6:19Shot by Zacha, saved by Cossa
  6. P1 6:40Jeannot: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Lindholm, Borgen, Jeannot, Kastelic, Minten · UTA Trocheck, Crouse, Peeke, McBain, Simashev

  7. P1 8:20Shot by But, saved by Swayman4v5
  8. P1 8:21Shot by Carcone, saved by Swayman4v5
  9. P1 10:06Goal by Mittelstadt (Hagens, Lindholm)+16 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Lindholm, Lindholm, Borgen, Mittelstadt, Hagens · UTA Trocheck, Weegar, Schmaltz, Keller, Sergachev

  10. P1 11:00Shot by Carcone, saved by Swayman
  11. P1 11:04Shot by Schmidt, saved by Swayman
  12. P1 11:41Shot by Pastrnak, saved by Cossa
  13. P1 12:28Shot by Crouse, saved by Swayman
  14. P1 12:30Shot by McBain, saved by Swayman
  15. P1 12:31Shot by McBain, saved by Swayman
  16. P1 13:02Shot by Keller, saved by Swayman
  17. P1 14:07Shot by Hayton, saved by Swayman
  18. P1 14:16Crouse: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Lindholm, Borgen, Peterka, Khusnutdinov, Minten · UTA Schmidt, Crouse, Marino, Hayton, McBain

  19. P1 14:22Goal by Pastrnak (Brunet, Geekie)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Lindholm, Pastrnak, Zacha, Geekie, Brunet · UTA Weegar, Schmaltz, Stenlund, Sergachev

  20. P1 14:31Shot by Minten, saved by Cossa
  21. P1 14:47Shot by Minten, saved by Cossa
  22. P1 14:54Shot by Schmaltz, saved by Swayman
  23. P1 15:51Goal by Lohrei (Poitras, Kastelic)+8 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Jeannot, Kastelic, Lohrei, Brunet, Poitras · UTA Lee, Peeke, Guenther, Cooley, Simashev

  24. P1 16:59Shot by Schmidt, saved by Swayman
  25. P1 17:16Shot by Schmaltz, saved by Swayman
  26. P1 17:59Shot by Trocheck, saved by Swayman
  27. P1 18:05Shot by Simashev, saved by Swayman
  28. P1 18:49Shot by Weegar, saved by Swayman
  29. P1 19:50Shot by Lindholm, saved by Vejmelka
  30. P1 0:00Period end
  31. P2 0:00Period start
  32. P2 1:10Shot by Schmaltz, saved by Swayman
  33. P2 2:47Shot by Carcone, saved by Swayman
  34. P2 2:49Shot by But, saved by Swayman
  35. P2 3:29Trocheck: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Zadorov, Jeannot, Lohrei, Brunet, Poitras · UTA Trocheck, Schmidt, Schmaltz, Marino, Keller

  36. P2 4:40Goal by Pastrnak (Geekie, Lindholm)5v4+3 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Lindholm, Lindholm, Pastrnak, Zacha, Geekie · UTA Schmidt, Schmaltz, Peeke, Cooley

  37. P2 5:09Peterka: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Clifton, Zadorov, Peterka, Khusnutdinov, Minten · UTA Crouse, Marino, Hayton, McBain, Simashev

  38. P2 7:02Shot by But, saved by Swayman4v5
  39. P2 7:15Shot by Lee, saved by Swayman
  40. P2 7:21Carcone: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Pastrnak, Zacha, Geekie, Lohrei, Brunet · UTA Schmidt, Weegar, Stenlund, Carcone, But

  41. P2 7:57Goal by Geekie (Pastrnak, Zacha)5v4+1 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Lindholm, Pastrnak, Zacha, Geekie, Brunet · UTA Schmidt, Weegar, Crouse, Stenlund

  42. P2 8:19Shot by Minten, saved by Vejmelka
  43. P2 8:20Shot by Borgen, saved by Vejmelka
  44. P2 8:25Borgen: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Lindholm, Borgen, Peterka, Khusnutdinov, Minten · UTA Trocheck, Schmaltz, Marino, Keller, Simashev

  45. P2 9:32Shot by Carcone, saved by Swayman4v5
  46. P2 11:50Borgen: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BOS Lindholm, Borgen, Mittelstadt, Brunet, Hagens · UTA Lee, Weegar, Keller, Sergachev, Guenther, Cooley

  47. P2 12:41Shot by Keller, saved by Swayman4v5
  48. P2 14:08Goal by Poitras (Pastrnak)0 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Clifton, Zadorov, Pastrnak, Jeannot, Poitras · UTA Trocheck, Schmidt, Marino, Stenlund, Hayton

  49. P2 14:43Borgen: High sticking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BOS Pastrnak, Borgen, Geekie, Lohrei, Poitras · UTA Schmidt, Weegar, Crouse, Stenlund, Keller, McBain

  50. P2 14:46Shot by Keller, saved by Swayman4v5
  51. P2 15:47Shot by Marino, saved by Swayman4v5
  52. P2 15:58Shot by Carcone, saved by Swayman4v5
  53. P2 16:16Shot by Carcone, saved by Swayman4v5
  54. P2 16:34Shot by Trocheck, saved by Swayman4v5
  55. P2 17:51Shot by Brunet, saved by Vejmelka
  56. P2 17:57Shot by Pastrnak, saved by Vejmelka
  57. P2 18:15Zacha: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Pastrnak, Zacha, Geekie, Lohrei, Brunet · UTA Lee, Schmidt, Marino, Guenther, Cooley

  58. P2 18:50Shot by Keller, saved by Swayman4v5
  59. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  60. P3 0:00Period start
  61. P3 0:16Shot by Simashev, saved by Swayman
  62. P3 0:17Shot by Hayton, saved by Swayman
  63. P3 0:18Shot by Hayton, saved by Swayman
  64. P3 1:01Shot by Lohrei, saved by Vejmelka
  65. P3 3:54Shot by Carcone, saved by Swayman
  66. P3 7:40Shot by Zadorov, saved by Vejmelka
  67. P3 9:00Shot by Khusnutdinov, saved by Vejmelka
  68. P3 9:48Goal by McBain (Simashev, Hayton)0 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Lindholm, Borgen, Peterka, Khusnutdinov, Minten · UTA Weegar, Crouse, Hayton, McBain, Simashev

  69. P3 11:03Shot by Poitras, saved by Vejmelka
  70. P3 11:04Shot by Kastelic, saved by Vejmelka
  71. P3 13:46Shot by Weegar, saved by Swayman
  72. P3 14:59Shot by Brunet, saved by Vejmelka
  73. P3 15:45Shot by Stenlund, saved by Swayman
  74. P3 16:13Kastelic: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Clifton, Zadorov, Jeannot, Kastelic, Poitras · UTA Lee, Peeke, Guenther, Cooley, Simashev

  75. P3 18:00Keller: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BOS Lindholm, Lindholm, Borgen, Jeannot · UTA Schmaltz, Keller, Sergachev, Guenther, Cooley

  76. P3 0:00Period end5v4
  77. P3 0:00Final