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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 10, 2026·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Nashville Predators 2, Ottawa Senators 3 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 61% of the time.

OTT winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:21Shot by Hoglander, saved by Ullmark
  3. P1 2:47Burakovsky: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Burakovsky, Batherson, Kleven, Stützle, Yakemchuk · NSH Stamkos, Marchessault, Struble, Wilsby, Pinchuk

  4. P1 4:11Shot by Wood, saved by Ullmark4v5
  5. P1 5:51Shot by Spence, saved by Murray
  6. P1 7:47Shot by Forsberg, saved by Ullmark
  7. P1 8:50Goal by Colton (Pinchuk, Kerfoot)+15 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Cousins, Foegele, Kleven, Halliday, Yakemchuk · NSH Kerfoot, Colton, Struble, Wilsby, Pinchuk

  8. P1 9:50Shot by Chabot, saved by Murray
  9. P1 10:05Shot by Marchessault, saved by Ullmark
  10. P1 10:57Shot by Batherson, saved by Murray
  11. P1 12:57Amadio: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Amadio, Chabot, Cozens, Spence · NSH Stamkos, Josi, Skjei, Forsberg, Drury, Struble

  12. P1 13:10Goal by Marchessault (Stamkos, Josi)4v5+11 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Kleven, Stützle, Matinpalo · NSH Stamkos, Josi, O'Reilly, Marchessault, Forsberg

  13. P1 13:43Shot by Batherson, saved by Murray
  14. P1 15:45Wilsby: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Amadio, Pinto, Kleven, Yakemchuk · NSH Kerfoot, Colton, Struble, Wilsby, Pinchuk

  15. P1 18:34Zetterlund: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Cousins, Foegele, Kleven, Stützle, Matinpalo · NSH Josi, Marchessault, Forsberg, Hague, Pinchuk

  16. P1 19:26Shot by Marchessault, saved by Ullmark4v5
  17. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  18. P2 0:00Period start
  19. P2 1:36Shot by Hoglander, saved by Ullmark
  20. P2 4:34Shot by Yakemchuk, saved by Murray
  21. P2 4:35Shot by Cozens, saved by Murray
  22. P2 6:08Shot by Wood, saved by Ullmark
  23. P2 6:18Shot by Cozens, saved by Murray
  24. P2 6:52Shot by Amadio, saved by Murray
  25. P2 9:23Skjei: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Cousins, Cozens, Greig, Matinpalo, Stanley · NSH Skjei, Kerfoot, Colton, Perbix, Pinchuk

  26. P2 9:29Goal by Stützle (Cozens, Chabot)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Burakovsky, Chabot, Batherson, Cozens, Stützle · NSH O'Reilly, Hague, Perbix, Wood

  27. P2 10:57Stanley: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Foegele, Batherson, Stützle, Matinpalo, Stanley · NSH Josi, Hague, Drury, Edstrom, Schaefer

  28. P2 11:56O'Reilly: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Amadio, Spence, Kleven, Stützle · NSH Stamkos, Josi, O'Reilly, Marchessault, Forsberg

  29. P2 12:03Shot by Giroux, saved by Murray4v4
  30. P2 13:02Forsberg: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Chabot, Pinto, Spence, Stützle · NSH Stamkos, Josi, Forsberg, Hague

  31. P2 13:19Shot by Stützle, saved by Murray5v3
  32. P2 13:20Shot by Cozens, saved by Murray5v3
  33. P2 13:45Shot by Chabot, saved by Murray5v3
  34. P2 14:20Shot by Josi, saved by Ullmark5v4
  35. P2 15:47Shot by Skjei, saved by Ullmark
  36. P2 0:00Period end
  37. P3 0:00Period start
  38. P3 0:48Shot by Wood, saved by Ullmark
  39. P3 3:40Shot by Wood, saved by Ullmark
  40. P3 8:05Shot by Schaefer, saved by Ullmark
  41. P3 9:12Hoglander: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Zetterlund, Batherson, Kleven, Stützle, Yakemchuk · NSH Skjei, Forsberg, Perbix, Hoglander, Wood

  42. P3 9:18Chabot: Interference (2 min)5v4

    On ice: OTT Burakovsky, Chabot, Batherson, Cozens, Stützle · NSH Skjei, Kerfoot, Perbix, Drury

  43. P3 9:52Shot by Wilsby, saved by Ullmark4v4
  44. P3 11:26Zetterlund: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Chabot, Batherson, Kleven, Stützle, Yakemchuk · NSH Stamkos, O'Reilly, Skjei, Perbix, Hoglander

  45. P3 16:06Shot by Spence, saved by Murray
  46. P3 17:24Shot by Stützle, saved by Murray6v5
  47. P3 18:16Shot by Giroux, saved by Murray6v5
  48. P3 18:37Goal by Batherson (Pinto, Stützle)6v5+39 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Chabot, Batherson, Cozens, Pinto, Stützle · NSH Stamkos, O'Reilly, Skjei, Forsberg, Perbix

  49. P3 19:47Josi: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Chabot, Batherson, Spence, Stützle · NSH Stamkos, Josi, O'Reilly, Forsberg, Hague

  50. P3 19:52Shot by Chabot, saved by Murray5v4
  51. P3 0:00Period end5v4
  52. OT 0:00Period start
  53. OT 1:56Shot by Josi, saved by Ullmark4v4
  54. OT 2:05Shot by Wilsby, saved by Ullmark4v4
  55. OT 2:54Shot by Kleven, saved by Murray4v4
  56. OT 4:13Shot by Stützle, saved by Murray3v3
  57. OT 4:34Shot by Drury, saved by Ullmark3v3
  58. OT 5:00Period end3v3
  59. SO Period start
  60. SO Shot by Batherson, saved by Murrayother
  61. SO Goal by O'Reilly, unassistedother
  62. SO Goal by Stützle, unassistedother
  63. SO Shot by Forsberg, saved by Ullmarkother
  64. SO Goal by Pinto, unassistedother
  65. SO Shot by Stamkos, saved by Ullmarkother
  66. SO Period endother
  67. SO Finalother