Skip to content
Ice Lab

Centre · #12

Tim Connolly

Buffalo Sabres Toronto Maple Leafs(traded during the season)
Age
45
Shoots
Right
Height
185 cm
Weight
86 kg
Born
Syracuse, USA
Draft
1999, round 1, #5 (NYI)

Career · 2009–10 to 2011–12

Games
211
Goals
43
Points
143
TOI per game
17:32
xGF% (5v5)
50.0%
Goals above expected
+2.6

Season by season

The regular-season line for each season, with the total, by team for traded players.

2009–10BUF73174865+1018:372068.3%2416.0–
2010–11BUF68132942−1016:551518.6%1912.453.4%
2011–12TOR70132336−1417:0010412.5%512.146.9%
Total2 teams21143100143−1417:324619.3%4840.450.0%

Form

Rolling averages smooth out single games so the trend shows.

Form, ten-game rolling

Points and individual expected goals per game (left scale), averaged over the previous ten games. Ice time is on the second chart.

Points per gameixG per gameTOI per game (minutes)
00.511.550100150200
14m15m16m17m18m19m20m21m50100150200Game

Player card

How 2009–10 to 2011–12 compares with everyone else at the position over the same seasons, and the players with the most similar profile.

Overall rating

2nd line

65th percentile among qualified forwards, blending scoring 40%, play-driving 40%, usage 20%.

  1. 1st line
  2. 2nd line
  3. 3rd line
  4. 4th line
  5. Extra / AHL

Scoring

2nd line
  • Goals /600.7048th pct
  • Assists /601.6294th pct
  • ixG /600.6639th pct
  • Goals above expected+2.672nd pct

Play-driving

3rd line
  • xGF% (5v5)50.0%53rd pct
  • CF% (5v5)50.5%60th pct
  • Relative xGF%−0.150th pct
  • Penalty diff /60-0.0336th pct

Usage

2nd line
  • TOI per game17:3278th pct
  • PP time share44.7%75th pct
  • Offensive zone starts56.7%49th pct
  • Quality of competition24.9%70th pct

Percentiles among forwards with 200+ minutes at 5-on-5 and 20+ games. Ratings rank each column's average percentile among the same players and read it as a role on a depth chart (how).

Faceoffs

How often Connolly wins the draw over 2009–10 to 2011–12, against whom and where, and what a win leads to. Ranked among players with 610+ draws over the same seasons.

Win rate

47.1%

1183–1331 · #139 of 179 regulars, 23rd percentile

Against an average centre

47.5%

Opponents won 50.4% of their draws; an average centre would have won 49.6% against them.

Wins above average

−63

Draws won beyond what an average centre facing the same opponents would have won.

Draws per game

12.5

2,514 draws in all.

By dot, attacking to the right

45%436 · +0.452%426 · +2.248%521 · +1.150%109 · +1.044%86 · +0.247%108 · +1.236%112 · −0.248%329 · +1.545%387 · +1.5Attacking zone →← Defending zone

Win rate at each dot; the small numbers are draws and the xG swing (×100) of winning rather than losing there.

By zone

  • Offensive zone49.9% 472–474
  • Neutral zone44.4% 378–473
  • Defensive zone46.4% 333–384

By strength

  • Even strength46.6% 877–1003
  • Power play52.2% 198–181
  • Shorthanded42.6% 101–136

What a win leads to

Shot attempts in the next 20 seconds, for minus against, per 100 draws: +14 after a win, −11 after a loss. Each win was worth 1.2 expected goals per 100 draws more than a loss.

Most-faced opponents

Season by season

SeasonDrawsWin rateAgainst average
2009–1075946.8%47.5%
2010–1196945.9%46.3%
2011–1278648.7%48.9%

Finishing

Did the goals match the chances?

Goals against expected goals

Cumulative goals (solid) and individual xG (dashed) through the season. The gap is finishing: above the dashed line, the player scored more than an average shooter would from the same chances.

+2.6 goals above expected

0102030405050100150200Game

Goals above expected, everyone at the same position with 20+ games

−200+20+40+60+80