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Ice Lab

Centre · #48

Casey Wellman

Minnesota Wild Washington Capitals(traded during the season)
Age
38
Shoots
Right
Height
183 cm
Weight
78 kg
Born
Brentwood, USA
Draft
Undrafted

Career · 4 seasons

Games
41
Goals
4
Points
13
TOI per game
11:46
xGF% (5v5)
44.9%
Goals above expected
−0.8

Season by season

The regular-season line for each season, with the total, by team for traded players.

2009–10MIN12134−212:03185.6%11.4–
2010–11MIN15112−110:39205.0%01.238.5%
2011–12MIN14257−412:44258.0%12.249.5%
After a break: 2013–14WSH13213+39:221513.3%01.550.7%
Total2 teams5461016−411:12787.7%26.246.4%

Form

Rolling averages smooth out single games so the trend shows.

Form, ten-game rolling

Points and individual expected goals per game (left scale), averaged over the previous ten games. Ice time is on the second chart.

Points per gameixG per gameTOI per game (minutes)
00.10.20.30.40.50.610152025303540
11m11m12m12m13m13m14m14m10152025303540Game

Player card

How 4 seasons compares with everyone else at the position over the same seasons, and the players with the most similar profile.

Overall rating

3rd line

37th percentile among qualified forwards, blending scoring 40%, play-driving 40%, usage 20%.

  1. 1st line
  2. 2nd line
  3. 3rd line
  4. 4th line
  5. Extra / AHL

Scoring

3rd line
  • Goals /600.6038th pct
  • Assists /600.9957th pct
  • ixG /600.6234th pct
  • Goals above expected−0.254th pct

Play-driving

3rd line
  • xGF% (5v5)46.4%24th pct
  • CF% (5v5)45.6%18th pct
  • Relative xGF%0.054th pct
  • Penalty diff /600.6090th pct

Usage

4th line
  • TOI per game11:1222nd pct
  • PP time share14.9%44th pct
  • Offensive zone starts51.6%35th pct
  • Quality of competition23.7%34th pct

Percentiles among forwards with 200+ minutes at 5-on-5 and 20+ games. Ratings rank each column's average percentile among the same players and read it as a role on a depth chart (how).

Faceoffs

How often Wellman wins the draw over 4 seasons, against whom and where, and what a win leads to. Ranked among players with 812+ draws over the same seasons.

Win rate

52.6%

81–73 · below the 812 draws of a regular

Against an average centre

51.6%

Opponents won 49.0% of their draws; an average centre would have won 51.0% against them.

Wins above average

+2

Draws won beyond what an average centre facing the same opponents would have won.

Draws per game

4.5

154 draws in all.

By dot, attacking to the right

55%31 · −0.546%24 · +1.350%30 · +0.344%9 · −0.625%4 · 0.050%8 · +1.550%10 · +2.263%16 · +7.364%22 · +1.7Attacking zone →← Defending zone

Win rate at each dot; the small numbers are draws and the xG swing (×100) of winning rather than losing there.

By zone

  • Offensive zone48.1% 26–28
  • Neutral zone50.0% 31–31
  • Defensive zone63.2% 24–14

By strength

  • Even strength52.5% 74–67
  • Power play50.0% 5–5
  • Shorthanded66.7% 2–1

What a win leads to

Shot attempts in the next 20 seconds, for minus against, per 100 draws: +11 after a win, −14 after a loss. Each win was worth 1.0 expected goals per 100 draws more than a loss.

Most-faced opponents

Season by season

SeasonDrawsWin rateAgainst average
2009–103253.1%53.5%
2010–111650.0%49.4%
2011–12966.7%66.2%
2013–149751.5%50.0%

Finishing

Did the goals match the chances?

Goals against expected goals

Cumulative goals (solid) and individual xG (dashed) through the season. The gap is finishing: above the dashed line, the player scored more than an average shooter would from the same chances.

−0.8 goals above expected

012345510152025303540Game

Goals above expected, everyone at the same position with 20+ games

−200+20+40+60+80