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Ice Lab

Right wing · #24

Mathieu Olivier

Nashville Predators Columbus Blue Jackets(traded during the season)
Age
29
Shoots
Right
Height
185 cm
Weight
105 kg
Born
Biloxi, USA
Draft
Undrafted

Career · 2019–20 to 2026–27

Games
315
Goals
48
Points
94
TOI per game
12:38
xGF% (5v5)
48.2%
Goals above expected
+1.5
ShowAll teamsNashville PredatorsColumbus Blue Jackets

Season by season

The regular-season line for each season, with the total, by team for traded players.

2019–20NSH8011+17:3360.0%00.545.3%
2020–21NSH30325−110:552512.0%12.154.6%
2021–22NSH10011−310:0650.0%00.531.6%
2022–23CBJ6651015−2011:38756.7%08.644.3%
2023–24CBJ545712−411:17559.1%06.746.3%
2024–25CBJ82181432−414:2811116.2%012.947.9%
2025–26CBJ61151126+1314:149316.1%013.653.1%
2026–27CBJ4202014:37922.2%01.552.5%
Total2 teams315484694−1812:3837912.7%146.548.2%

Form

Rolling averages smooth out single games so the trend shows.

Form, ten-game rolling

Points and individual expected goals per game (left scale), averaged over the previous ten games. Ice time is on the second chart.

Points per gameixG per gameTOI per game (minutes)
00.20.40.60.8150100150200250300
8m10m12m14m16m50100150200250300Game

Player card

Model-based

How 2019–20 to 2026–27 compares with everyone else at the position over the same seasons, and the players with the most similar profile.

Overall rating

3rd line

37th percentile among qualified forwards, blending scoring 40%, play-driving 40%, usage 20%.

  1. 1st line
  2. 2nd line
  3. 3rd line
  4. 4th line
  5. Extra / AHL

Scoring

3rd line
  • Goals /600.7254th pct
  • Assists /600.6928th pct
  • ixG /600.7044th pct
  • Goals above expected+1.572nd pct

Play-driving

4th line
  • xGF% (5v5)48.2%43rd pct
  • CF% (5v5)46.4%25th pct
  • Relative xGF%+0.263rd pct
  • Penalty diff /60-0.683rd pct

Usage

3rd line
  • TOI per game12:3842nd pct
  • PP time share2.5%18th pct
  • Offensive zone starts38.4%17th pct
  • Quality of competition24.4%62nd pct

Percentiles among forwards with 200+ minutes at 5-on-5 and 20+ games. Ratings rank each column's average percentile among the same players and read it as a role on a depth chart (how).

Most similar players this season

  1. Nicolas Aube-KubelCOL/WSH0.90
  2. Tanner JeannotNSH/TBL/LAK/BOS0.90
  3. Liam O'BrienARI/UTA0.88
  4. Matt RempeNYR0.88
  5. Adam KlapkaCGY0.88
  6. Austin WatsonNSH/OTT0.86

Faceoffs

How often Olivier wins the draw over 2019–20 to 2026–27, against whom and where, and what a win leads to. Ranked among players with 1346+ draws over the same seasons.

Win rate

29.9%

26–61 · below the 1346 draws of a regular

Against an average centre

30.5%

Opponents won 50.7% of their draws; an average centre would have won 49.3% against them.

Wins above average

−17

Draws won beyond what an average centre facing the same opponents would have won.

Draws per game

1.2

87 draws in all.

By dot, attacking to the right

23%13 · +0.925%12 · −0.926%23 · +0.750%2 · 0.033%3 · +0.860%5 · 0.033%6 · −6.733%3 · +0.230%20 · +0.8Attacking zone →← Defending zone

Win rate at each dot; the small numbers are draws and the xG swing (×100) of winning rather than losing there.

By zone

  • Offensive zone25.7% 9–26
  • Neutral zone34.5% 10–19
  • Defensive zone30.4% 7–16

By strength

  • Even strength29.7% 22–52
  • Power play0.0% 0–1
  • Shorthanded33.3% 4–8

What a win leads to

Shot attempts in the next 20 seconds, for minus against, per 100 draws: +15 after a win, −11 after a loss. Each win was worth -0.1 expected goals per 100 draws more than a loss.

Most-faced opponents

Season by season

SeasonDrawsWin rateAgainst average
2020–21850.0%49.0%
2021–2210.0%-1.7%
2022–231513.3%15.8%
2023–241625.0%24.5%
2024–253638.9%39.4%
2025–261118.2%19.9%

Finishing

Model-based

Did the goals match the chances?

Goals against expected goals

Cumulative goals (solid) and individual xG (dashed) through the season. The gap is finishing: above the dashed line, the player scored more than an average shooter would from the same chances.

+1.5 goals above expected

0102030405050100150200250300Game

Goals above expected, everyone at the same position with 20+ games

−80−60−40−200+20+40+60+80+100

Speed and tracking

From the NHL's EDGE tracking system (2021–22 on): skating speed, shot speed, distance and zone time, for the selected seasons and then every tracked season, to show improvement or decline.

Tracking data (NHL EDGE)

Values from the NHL's puck and player tracking, with the NHL's own league percentile for each. Missing values mean the player wasn't tracked enough.

Tracking

  • Top skating speed33.1 km/h24th pct
  • Speed bursts over 20 mph223rd pct
  • Hardest shot131.3 km/h72nd pct
  • Distance skated8 km19th pct
  • Offensive-zone time38.5%25th pct
Tracking, season by season

Each season against the other forwards that season with 20+ games. A season in progress appears once half its games are played, as provisional: season bests only grow. Bursts and distance are per 60 minutes of ice time, so seasons with fewer games still compare. Percentiles are on these rates, so they can differ from the NHL's, which are on season totals.

This playerMedian forwardMiddle half (25th–75th percentile)Hollow dot: too few games to rank, or a season in progress (*, dashed). Dotted line: no NHL games that season.

Top skating speed

35.1 km/h19th pct

▼ −1.5 km/h since 2024–25

33343536373821–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 34.2 km/h, 6th percentile (10 games, too few to rank reliably)2022–23: 35.3 km/h, 28th percentile (66 games)2023–24: 34.9 km/h, 14th percentile (54 games)2024–25: 36.6 km/h, 66th percentile (82 games)2025–26: 35.1 km/h, 19th percentile (61 games)

Bursts over 20 mph per 60

3.730th pct

▲ +0.6 since 2024–25

024681021–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 2.4, 13th percentile (10 games, too few to rank reliably)2022–23: 6.5, 65th percentile (66 games)2023–24: 4.1, 39th percentile (54 games)2024–25: 3.1, 21st percentile (82 games)2025–26: 3.7, 30th percentile (61 games)

Distance skated per 60

15.2 km27th pct

▲ +0.2 km since 2024–25

12131415161721–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 12.8 km, 0th percentile (10 games, too few to rank reliably)2022–23: 15.1 km, 31st percentile (66 games)2023–24: 15.3 km, 33rd percentile (54 games)2024–25: 15.0 km, 15th percentile (82 games)2025–26: 15.2 km, 27th percentile (61 games)

Hardest shot

143.9 km/h76th pct

▲ +1.9 km/h since 2024–25

13014015016021–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 134.9 km/h, 17th percentile (10 games, too few to rank reliably)2022–23: 153.9 km/h, 93rd percentile (66 games)2023–24: 141.3 km/h, 46th percentile (54 games)2024–25: 141.9 km/h, 60th percentile (82 games)2025–26: 143.9 km/h, 76th percentile (61 games)

Offensive-zone time

40.8%35th pct

▲ +2.1 points since 2024–25

36%38%40%42%44%46%21–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 40.9%, 38th percentile (10 games, too few to rank reliably)2022–23: 37.3%, 4th percentile (66 games)2023–24: 39.5%, 22nd percentile (54 games)2024–25: 38.6%, 11th percentile (82 games)2025–26: 40.8%, 35th percentile (61 games)