
- Age
- 26
- Shoots
- Right
- Height
- 185 cm
- Weight
- 81 kg
- Born
- Landsbro, SWE
- Draft
- 2018, round 3, #87 (SJS)
Career · 2023–24 to 2026–27
- Games
- 110
- Goals
- 18
- Points
- 45
- TOI per game
- 12:11
- xGF% (5v5)
- 48.7%
- Goals above expected
- −3.9
Season by season
The regular-season line for each season, with the total, by team for traded players.
Form
Rolling averages smooth out single games so the trend shows.
Points and individual expected goals per game (left scale), averaged over the previous ten games. Ice time is on the second chart.
Player card
How 2023–24 to 2026–27 compares with everyone else at the position over the same seasons, and the players with the most similar profile.
Overall rating
2nd line
70th percentile among qualified forwards, blending scoring 40%, play-driving 40%, usage 20%.
- 1st line
- 2nd line
- 3rd line
- 4th line
- Extra / AHL
Scoring
2nd line- Goals /600.8160th pct
- Assists /601.2172nd pct
- ixG /600.9880th pct
- Goals above expected−3.926th pct
Play-driving
1st line- xGF% (5v5)48.7%45th pct
- CF% (5v5)49.3%54th pct
- Relative xGF%+6.397th pct
- Penalty diff /600.5492nd pct
Usage
3rd line- TOI per game12:1133rd pct
- PP time share27.7%57th pct
- Offensive zone starts59.0%59th pct
- Quality of competition24.4%53rd pct
Percentiles among forwards with 200+ minutes at 5-on-5 and 20+ games. Ratings rank each column's average percentile among the same players and read it as a role on a depth chart (how).
Most similar players this season
Faceoffs
How often Karlsson wins the draw over 2023–24 to 2026–27, against whom and where, and what a win leads to. Ranked among players with 624+ draws over the same seasons.
Win rate
29.6%
21–50 · below the 624 draws of a regular
Against an average centre
30.6%
Opponents won 51.1% of their draws; an average centre would have won 48.9% against them.
Wins above average
−14
Draws won beyond what an average centre facing the same opponents would have won.
Draws per game
1.5
71 draws in all.
By dot, attacking to the right
Win rate at each dot; the small numbers are draws and the xG swing (×100) of winning rather than losing there.
By zone
- Offensive zone35.1% 13–24
- Neutral zone21.7% 5–18
- Defensive zone27.3% 3–8
By strength
- Even strength30.6% 15–34
- Power play27.3% 6–16
What a win leads to
Shot attempts in the next 20 seconds, for minus against, per 100 draws: +29 after a win, 0 after a loss. Each win was worth -0.3 expected goals per 100 draws more than a loss.
Most-faced opponents
- Anze Kopitar25.0% 1–3
- Yegor Sharangovich0.0% 0–2
- Adam Ruzicka50.0% 1–1
- Mikael Backlund50.0% 1–1
- Radek Faksa50.0% 1–1
- Blake Lizotte0.0% 0–2
- Noah Laba0.0% 0–2
- Brock Nelson50.0% 1–1
Season by season
| Season | Draws | Win rate | Against average |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023–24 | 9 | 22.2% | 21.5% |
| 2024–25 | 5 | 20.0% | 17.6% |
| 2025–26 | 51 | 29.4% | 31.1% |
| 2026–27 | 6 | 50.0% | 51.6% |
Cumulative goals (solid) and individual xG (dashed) through the season. The gap is finishing: above the dashed line, the player scored more than an average shooter would from the same chances.
−3.9 goals above expected
Goals above expected, everyone at the same position with 20+ games
Speed and tracking
From the NHL's EDGE tracking system (2021–22 on): skating speed, shot speed, distance and zone time, for the selected seasons and then every tracked season, to show improvement or decline.
Values from the NHL's puck and player tracking, with the NHL's own league percentile for each. Missing values mean the player wasn't tracked enough.
Tracking
- Top skating speed32.3 km/h10th pct
- Speed bursts over 20 mph19th pct
- Hardest shot130.2 km/h68th pct
- Distance skated15 km70th pct
- Offensive-zone time37.1%14th pct
Each season against the other forwards that season with 20+ games. A season in progress appears once half its games are played, as provisional: season bests only grow. Bursts and distance are per 60 minutes of ice time, so seasons with fewer games still compare. Percentiles are on these rates, so they can differ from the NHL's, which are on season totals.
Top skating speed
36.2 km/h55th pct
▲ +3.1 km/h since 2024–25
Bursts over 20 mph per 60
2.09th pct
▲ +1.3 since 2024–25
Distance skated per 60
14.5 km7th pct
▲ +0.0 km since 2024–25
Hardest shot
134.7 km/h30th pct
▲ +2.4 km/h since 2024–25
Offensive-zone time
42.9%63rd pct
▲ +0.6 points since 2024–25