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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 17, 2009·Mellon Arena, Pittsburgh

Tampa Bay Lightning 1, Pittsburgh Penguins 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 85% of the time.

PIT winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 3:19Shot by Staal, saved by Niittymaki
  3. P1 3:40Miller: High sticking (2 min)6v5
  4. P1 3:57Shot by Guerin, saved by Niittymaki5v4
  5. P1 4:06Shot by Goligoski, saved by Niittymaki5v4
  6. P1 4:12Shot by Malkin, saved by Niittymaki5v4
  7. P1 4:32Shot by Malkin, saved by Niittymaki5v4
  8. P1 4:56Shot by Malkin, saved by Niittymaki5v4
  9. P1 4:57Goal by Guerin (Malkin, Goligoski)5v4+14 pts WP
  10. P1 5:33Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Fleury
  11. P1 5:40Goligoski: Tripping (2 min)
  12. P1 12:04Shot by Malone, saved by Fleury
  13. P1 12:35Shot by St. Louis, saved by Fleury
  14. P1 12:41Shot by Downie, saved by Fleury
  15. P1 12:50Shot by Ranger, saved by Fleury
  16. P1 14:27Shot by Malone, saved by Fleury
  17. P1 17:10Goal by Gonchar (Orpik, Crosby)+12 pts WP
  18. P1 18:35Shot by Rupp, saved by Niittymaki
  19. P1 19:30Shot by Kennedy, saved by Niittymaki
  20. P1 19:51Shot by Malkin, saved by Niittymaki
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 0:19Shot by Letang, saved by Niittymaki
  24. P2 0:25Shot by Letang, saved by Niittymaki
  25. P2 0:50Crosby: Holding the stick (2 min)
  26. P2 2:51Shot by Ohlund, saved by Fleury
  27. P2 4:21Shot by Kennedy, saved by Niittymaki
  28. P2 5:30Dupuis: Slashing (2 min)
  29. P2 6:17Shot by St. Louis, saved by Fleury4v5
  30. P2 6:18Goal by Stamkos (St. Louis, Lecavalier)4v5+13 pts WP
  31. P2 8:15Goal by Dupuis (Gonchar, Fedotenko)+13 pts WP
  32. P2 8:24Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Fleury
  33. P2 8:58Shot by Orpik, saved by Niittymaki
  34. P2 9:12Shot by Kennedy, saved by Niittymaki
  35. P2 12:00Shot by Ohlund, saved by Fleury
  36. P2 12:01Malkin: Hooking (2 min)
  37. P2 12:18Shot by Stamkos, saved by Fleury4v5
  38. P2 14:32Shot by Fedotenko, saved by Niittymaki
  39. P2 14:33Halpern: Holding the stick (2 min)
  40. P2 17:20Shot by McKee, saved by Niittymaki
  41. P2 17:32Shot by Stamkos, saved by Fleury
  42. P2 17:44Konopka: Slashing (2 min)
  43. P2 17:51Shot by Goligoski, saved by Niittymaki5v4
  44. P2 17:54Walker: Slashing (2 min)5v4
  45. P2 18:19Shot by Malkin, saved by Niittymaki5v3
  46. P2 18:41Ranger: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)5v3
  47. P2 19:20Shot by Gonchar, saved by Niittymaki5v3
  48. P2 19:35Shot by Crosby, saved by Niittymaki5v3
  49. P2 19:41Shot by Guerin, saved by Niittymaki5v3
  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 1:03Shot by Goligoski, saved by Niittymaki5v4
  53. P3 2:07Shot by Stamkos, saved by Fleury
  54. P3 2:30Shot by Kennedy, saved by Niittymaki
  55. P3 5:17Shot by Kunitz, saved by Niittymaki
  56. P3 5:30Wright: Hooking (2 min)
  57. P3 6:06Shot by Goligoski, saved by Niittymaki5v4
  58. P3 7:05Shot by Malkin, saved by Niittymaki5v4
  59. P3 7:18Hedman: Holding (2 min)5v4
  60. P3 8:13Shot by Crosby, saved by Niittymaki5v4
  61. P3 10:49Shot by Crosby, saved by Niittymaki
  62. P3 11:07Shot by Ohlund, saved by Fleury
  63. P3 11:21Goal by Rupp (Crosby)+4 pts WP
  64. P3 12:00Fedotenko: Slashing (2 min)
  65. P3 12:11Shot by Malone, saved by Fleury4v5
  66. P3 12:37Shot by St. Louis, saved by Fleury4v5
  67. P3 14:19Guerin: Too many men on the ice (2 min)
  68. P3 17:01Shot by Veilleux, saved by Fleury
  69. P3 17:14Shot by Kunitz, saved by Niittymaki
  70. P3 17:29Shot by Hedman, saved by Fleury
  71. P3 17:33Eaton: Tripping (2 min)
  72. P3 18:15Shot by Ohlund, saved by Fleury4v6
  73. P3 19:27Shot by Meszaros, saved by Fleury4v6
  74. P3 19:40Shot by Malone, saved by Fleury5v6
  75. P3 19:57Shot by Miller, saved by Fleury5v6
  76. P3 0:00Period end
  77. P3 0:00Final