Skip to content
Ice Lab

Fri, Nov 6, 2009·RBC Center, Raleigh

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Carolina Hurricanes 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 65% of the time.

CAR winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:35Shot by Blake, saved by Ward
  3. P1 1:53Shot by Blake, saved by Ward
  4. P1 2:19Shot by Hagman, saved by Ward
  5. P1 2:39Shot by Wallin, saved by Gustavsson
  6. P1 3:49Shot by Blake, saved by Ward
  7. P1 4:51Shot by Stajan, saved by Ward
  8. P1 5:14Stajan: Holding (2 min)
  9. P1 6:10Shot by Pitkanen, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  10. P1 7:16Shot by Stempniak, saved by Ward
  11. P1 7:51Goal by Sutter (Brind'Amour, Corvo)+15 pts WP
  12. P1 11:15Shot by Samsonov, saved by Gustavsson
  13. P1 13:11Shot by Kessel, saved by Ward
  14. P1 17:21Shot by Alberts, saved by Gustavsson
  15. P1 17:22Goal by Samsonov (Alberts, Jokinen)+12 pts WP
  16. P1 17:36Shot by Hagman, saved by Ward
  17. P1 18:02Schenn: Interference (2 min)
  18. P1 18:56Shot by Pitkanen, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  19. P1 19:19Shot by Jokinen, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 0:43Shot by Kessel, saved by Ward
  23. P2 1:12Goal by Mitchell (Kaberle, Blake)+13 pts WP
  24. P2 2:22Shot by Ponikarovsky, saved by Ward
  25. P2 3:45Shot by Boychuk, saved by Gustavsson
  26. P2 5:58Shot by Kaberle, saved by Ward
  27. P2 6:50Shot by Sutter, saved by Gustavsson
  28. P2 7:23Goal by Kulemin (Ponikarovsky, Grabovski)+20 pts WP
  29. P2 8:07Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Ward
  30. P2 8:35Shot by Alberts, saved by Gustavsson
  31. P2 8:59Shot by Yelle, saved by Gustavsson
  32. P2 10:46Shot by Ruutu, saved by Gustavsson
  33. P2 11:03Shot by Blake, saved by Ward
  34. P2 12:06Shot by Schenn, saved by Ward
  35. P2 12:56Shot by Sutter, saved by Gustavsson
  36. P2 14:54Shot by Blake, saved by Ward
  37. P2 15:37Alberts: Interference (2 min)
  38. P2 16:25Shot by Blake, saved by Ward4v5
  39. P2 18:19Shot by Samsonov, saved by Gustavsson
  40. P2 18:56Shot by Boychuk, saved by Gustavsson
  41. P2 19:11Shot by Boychuk, saved by Gustavsson
  42. P2 19:21Shot by Pitkanen, saved by Gustavsson
  43. P2 0:00Period end
  44. P3 0:00Period start
  45. P3 0:16Shot by Ponikarovsky, saved by Ward
  46. P3 1:13Shot by Cole, saved by Gustavsson
  47. P3 1:14Shot by Boychuk, saved by Gustavsson
  48. P3 1:18Shot by Gleason, saved by Gustavsson
  49. P3 3:07Shot by LaRose, saved by Gustavsson
  50. P3 4:34Shot by Orr, saved by Ward
  51. P3 4:32Shot by Orr, saved by Ward
  52. P3 5:31Shot by LaRose, saved by Gustavsson
  53. P3 5:48Shot by LaRose, saved by Gustavsson
  54. P3 5:49Shot by Brind'Amour, saved by Gustavsson
  55. P3 6:37Shot by Cole, saved by Gustavsson
  56. P3 6:55Shot by Brind'Amour, saved by Gustavsson
  57. P3 8:12Shot by Komisarek, saved by Ward
  58. P3 9:01Shot by Cole, saved by Gustavsson
  59. P3 9:12Shot by Blake, saved by Ward
  60. P3 9:56Shot by Jokinen, saved by Gustavsson
  61. P3 10:01Shot by Corvo, saved by Gustavsson
  62. P3 10:52Brind'Amour: Holding (2 min)
  63. P3 11:22Shot by Yelle, saved by Gustavsson4v5
  64. P3 11:34Shot by Stempniak, saved by Ward4v5
  65. P3 11:36Goal by Blake (Stempniak, Kessel)4v5+30 pts WP
  66. P3 11:52Shot by Kulemin, saved by Ward
  67. P3 12:49Shot by Brind'Amour, saved by Gustavsson
  68. P3 13:21Shot by Boychuk, saved by Gustavsson
  69. P3 15:52Shot by Ward, saved by Gustavsson
  70. P3 19:37Beauchemin: Tripping (2 min)6v5
  71. P3 19:42Shot by Corvo, saved by Gustavsson6v4
  72. P3 19:59Shot by Pitkanen, saved by Gustavsson6v4
  73. P3 0:00Period end
  74. P3 0:00Final