Fri, Nov 6, 2009·RBC Center, Raleigh
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Carolina Hurricanes 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 65% of the time.
57%
8%
27%
CAR winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:20 | 0.04 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:47 | 0.19 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21:47 | 0.04 | – | +12.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:56 | 0.12 | – | +12.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:42 | 0.17 | – | +30.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:32 | 0.11 | – | +30.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:24 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 8 | 19:11 | 0.98 | – | +42.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:37 | 0.19 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:07 | 0.00 | – | +19.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:02 | 0.10 | – | +19.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:00 | 0.02 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:52 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:40 | 0.22 | – | +19.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:07 | 0.03 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:24 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 5:52 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 4:17 | 0.55 | – | 0.0 |
| W | 36 | 34 | 2 | .944 | 3.73 | +1.7 | 60:00 |
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 29:17 | 0.23 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 23:40 | 0.05 | – | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 21:35 | 0.01 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:29 | 0.02 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:21 | 0.33 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18:20 | 0.68 | – | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:56 | 0.04 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:33 | 0.24 | – | +12.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:29 | 0.27 | – | +15.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:58 | 0.52 | – | +12.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:22 | 0.04 | – | +12.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15:11 | 0.58 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:49 | 0.12 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:43 | 0.30 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 11:41 | 0.05 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:15 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:17 | 0.19 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:27 | 0.06 | – | 0.0 |
| L | 26 | 23 | 3 | .885 | 2.78 | −0.2 | 58:53 |
Shift data for this game is incomplete, so on-ice figures are not shown.