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Ice Lab

Fri, Mar 26, 2010·HSBC Arena, Buffalo

Ottawa Senators 4, Buffalo Sabres 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 70% of the time.

BUF winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:12Shot by Grier, saved by Elliott
  3. P1 0:14Shot by Hecht, saved by Elliott
  4. P1 1:01Shot by Shannon, saved by Miller
  5. P1 2:57Smith: Fighting (5 min)
  6. P1 2:57Kaleta: Fighting (5 min)5v4
  7. P1 4:25Shot by Stafford, saved by Elliott
  8. P1 5:22Shot by Connolly, saved by Elliott
  9. P1 5:32Shot by Foligno, saved by Miller
  10. P1 6:41Shot by Kelly, saved by Miller
  11. P1 6:42Goal by Kelly (Ruutu, Neil)+16 pts WP
  12. P1 7:05Shot by Hecht, saved by Elliott
  13. P1 12:12Shot by Volchenkov, saved by Miller
  14. P1 12:37Shot by Kelly, saved by Miller
  15. P1 12:52Shot by Smith, saved by Miller
  16. P1 13:42Shot by Hecht, saved by Elliott
  17. P1 14:03Shot by Gaustad, saved by Elliott
  18. P1 14:13Shot by Gaustad, saved by Elliott
  19. P1 14:25Shot by Grier, saved by Elliott
  20. P1 14:29Shot by Myers, saved by Elliott
  21. P1 15:00Shot by Ellis, saved by Elliott
  22. P1 15:12Shot by Lydman, saved by Elliott
  23. P1 15:32Fisher: Boarding (5 min)
  24. P1 15:32Fisher: Misconduct (10 min)5v4
  25. P1 16:08Shot by Phillips, saved by Miller5v4
  26. P1 16:30Shot by Cullen, saved by Miller5v4
  27. P1 16:41Connolly: Slashing (2 min)5v4
  28. P1 17:45Shot by Grier, saved by Elliott4v4
  29. P1 18:28Shot by Lydman, saved by Elliott4v4
  30. P1 18:29Shot by Mair, saved by Elliott4v4
  31. P1 18:47Shot by Ruutu, saved by Miller5v4
  32. P1 19:50Shot by Myers, saved by Elliott5v4
  33. P1 19:55Shot by Pominville, saved by Elliott5v4
  34. P1 0:00Period end
  35. P2 0:00Period start
  36. P2 1:39Shot by Cullen, saved by Miller
  37. P2 2:18Shot by Spezza, saved by Miller
  38. P2 2:54Shot by Connolly, saved by Elliott
  39. P2 3:58Shot by Montador, saved by Elliott
  40. P2 5:36Goal by Regin (Spezza, Carkner)+16 pts WP
  41. P2 5:57Shot by Ellis, saved by Elliott
  42. P2 6:57Shot by Shannon, saved by Miller
  43. P2 7:11Shannon: Interference (2 min)6v5
  44. P2 8:07Shot by Stafford, saved by Elliott5v4
  45. P2 8:08Shot by Stafford, saved by Elliott5v4
  46. P2 8:09Shot by Gaustad, saved by Elliott5v4
  47. P2 9:11Shot by Myers, saved by Elliott5v4
  48. P2 9:56Shot by Montador, saved by Elliott
  49. P2 9:57Shot by Kennedy, saved by Elliott
  50. P2 10:10Shot by Karlsson, saved by Miller
  51. P2 10:52Goal by Kennedy (Gaustad)+16 pts WP
  52. P2 11:20Shot by Rivet, saved by Elliott
  53. P2 11:24Shot by Rivet, saved by Elliott
  54. P2 13:18Shot by Smith, saved by Miller
  55. P2 13:40Lydman: Tripping (2 min)
  56. P2 13:54Shot by Cullen, saved by Miller4v5
  57. P2 14:03Goal by Spezza (Alfredsson, Karlsson)4v5+16 pts WP
  58. P2 15:18Shot by Cullen, saved by Miller
  59. P2 16:06Shot by Winchester, saved by Miller
  60. P2 17:55Shot by Kelly, saved by Miller
  61. P2 18:30Shot by Tallinder, saved by Elliott
  62. P2 19:27Montador: Cross checking (2 min)
  63. P2 19:44Shot by Pominville, saved by Elliott4v5
  64. P2 0:00Period end
  65. P3 0:00Period start
  66. P3 0:36Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Miller4v5
  67. P3 0:44Shot by Karlsson, saved by Miller4v5
  68. P3 1:34Goal by Pominville, unassisted+15 pts WP
  69. P3 2:45Shot by Smith, saved by Miller
  70. P3 3:55Shot by Mair, saved by Elliott
  71. P3 4:03Shot by Ellis, saved by Elliott
  72. P3 4:40Shot by Spezza, saved by Miller
  73. P3 4:44Shot by Phillips, saved by Miller
  74. P3 5:59Shot by Neil, saved by Miller
  75. P3 8:52Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Miller
  76. P3 10:14Shot by Foligno, saved by Miller
  77. P3 11:08Shot by Butler, saved by Elliott
  78. P3 12:51Shot by Karlsson, saved by Miller
  79. P3 13:56Shot by Stafford, saved by Elliott
  80. P3 13:58Shot by Stafford, saved by Elliott
  81. P3 14:27Shot by Pominville, saved by Elliott
  82. P3 15:45Shot by Montador, saved by Elliott
  83. P3 16:40Shot by Pominville, saved by Elliott
  84. P3 17:04Shannon: Too many men on the ice (2 min)
  85. P3 18:21Shot by Pominville, saved by Elliott6v4
  86. P3 18:33Shot by Lydman, saved by Elliott6v4
  87. P3 19:37Shot by Lydman, saved by Elliott6v5
  88. P3 19:59Goal by Alfredsson (Ruutu, Kelly)6v5+4 pts WP
  89. P3 0:00Period end
  90. P3 0:00Final