Skip to content
Ice Lab

Fri, Oct 8, 2010·Scotiabank Place, Ottawa

Buffalo Sabres 2, Ottawa Senators 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 82% of the time.

OTT winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:09Shot by Foligno, saved by Miller
  3. P1 1:45Shot by Ruutu, saved by Miller
  4. P1 3:23Foligno: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Carkner, Shannon, Smith, Winchester, Karlsson · BUF Gaustad, Morrisonn, McCormick, Kaleta, Myers

  5. P1 3:26Shot by Myers, saved by Leclaire4v5
  6. P1 4:30Shot by Vanek, saved by Leclaire4v5
  7. P1 4:51Shot by Stafford, saved by Leclaire4v5
  8. P1 7:04Shot by Lee, saved by Miller
  9. P1 8:04Goal by Roy (Ennis, Morrisonn)+19 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Phillips, Neil, Smith, Winchester, Karlsson · BUF Rivet, Roy, Stafford, Sekera, Ennis

  10. P1 9:17Shot by Niedermayer, saved by Leclaire
  11. P1 9:18Shot by Grier, saved by Leclaire
  12. P1 10:36Shot by Gaustad, saved by Leclaire
  13. P1 10:50Shot by Winchester, saved by Miller
  14. P1 10:54Shot by Karlsson, saved by Miller
  15. P1 11:17Shot by Leopold, saved by Leclaire
  16. P1 11:26Shot by Ennis, saved by Leclaire
  17. P1 12:05Shot by Gonchar, saved by Miller
  18. P1 12:34Michalek: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: OTT Kovalev, Phillips, Michalek, Regin, Karlsson · BUF Connolly, Leopold, Montador, Roy, Stafford, Ennis

  19. P1 14:00Shot by Vanek, saved by Leclaire4v5
  20. P1 14:38Shot by Vanek, saved by Leclaire
  21. P1 15:32Shot by Hecht, saved by Leclaire
  22. P1 15:54Leopold: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Ruutu, Neil, Carkner, Kelly, Lee · BUF Leopold, Gaustad, Montador, McCormick, Kaleta

  23. P1 17:09Shot by Fisher, saved by Miller5v4
  24. P1 17:40Shot by Karlsson, saved by Miller5v4
  25. P1 18:40Shot by Regin, saved by Miller
  26. P1 19:15Shot by Roy, saved by Leclaire
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 1:17Shot by Montador, saved by Leclaire
  30. P2 1:23Shot by Niedermayer, saved by Leclaire
  31. P2 1:34Shot by Montador, saved by Leclaire
  32. P2 2:04Shot by Morrisonn, saved by Leclaire
  33. P2 3:08Shot by Lee, saved by Miller
  34. P2 5:12Fisher: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Alfredsson, Phillips, Fisher, Foligno, Karlsson · BUF Connolly, Morrisonn, Pominville, Vanek, Myers

  35. P2 5:26Shot by Roy, saved by Leclaire4v5
  36. P2 5:30Shot by Myers, saved by Leclaire4v5
  37. P2 5:27Shot by Vanek, saved by Leclaire4v5
  38. P2 7:40Lee: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Kovalev, Carkner, Michalek, Regin, Lee · BUF Rivet, Niedermayer, Grier, Hecht, Morrisonn

  39. P2 7:57Shot by Roy, saved by Leclaire4v5
  40. P2 8:06Shot by Vanek, saved by Leclaire4v5
  41. P2 8:24Shot by Vanek, saved by Leclaire4v5
  42. P2 8:45Shot by Myers, saved by Leclaire4v5
  43. P2 11:24Shot by Foligno, saved by Miller
  44. P2 13:13Shot by Rivet, saved by Leclaire
  45. P2 13:20Shot by Hecht, saved by Leclaire
  46. P2 18:06Shot by Stafford, saved by Leclaire
  47. P2 18:29Shot by Ennis, saved by Leclaire
  48. P2 18:35Shot by Stafford, saved by Leclaire
  49. P2 19:11Goal by Kelly (Ruutu, Neil)+28 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Ruutu, Neil, Kelly, Campoli · BUF Connolly, Leopold, Montador, Pominville, Vanek

  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 0:51Shot by Carkner, saved by Miller
  53. P3 1:08Shot by Regin, saved by Miller
  54. P3 1:24Shot by Carkner, saved by Miller
  55. P3 2:01Shot by Pominville, saved by Leclaire
  56. P3 2:00Shot by Connolly, saved by Leclaire
  57. P3 2:14Montador: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Kovalev, Gonchar, Kelly, Lee, Foligno · BUF Connolly, Leopold, Montador, Pominville, Vanek

  58. P3 5:09Shot by Neil, saved by Miller
  59. P3 5:48Shot by Leopold, saved by Leclaire
  60. P3 6:27Shot by Kovalev, saved by Miller
  61. P3 7:26Shot by Montador, saved by Leclaire
  62. P3 8:17Shot by Ruutu, saved by Miller
  63. P3 9:41Campoli: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Campoli, Michalek, Winchester · BUF Niedermayer, Leopold, Montador, Roy, Pominville, Vanek

  64. P3 10:12Goal by Roy (Ennis, Myers)4v5+30 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Phillips, Fisher, Carkner, Kelly · BUF Roy, Pominville, Vanek, Myers, Ennis

  65. P3 10:42Shot by Hecht, saved by Leclaire
  66. P3 11:43Rivet: Interference (2 min)6v5

    On ice: OTT Kovalev, Alfredsson, Campoli, Michalek, Regin, Lee · BUF Rivet, Gaustad, McCormick, Sekera, Kaleta

  67. P3 11:51Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Miller5v4
  68. P3 11:53Shot by Michalek, saved by Miller5v4
  69. P3 12:28Shot by Fisher, saved by Miller5v4
  70. P3 14:18Neil: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Kovalev, Phillips, Neil, Campoli, Foligno · BUF Morrisonn, Roy, Stafford, Myers, Ennis

  71. P3 14:18Roy: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Kovalev, Phillips, Neil, Campoli, Foligno · BUF Morrisonn, Roy, Stafford, Myers, Ennis

  72. P3 14:34Shot by Fisher, saved by Miller4v4
  73. P3 15:06Shot by Leopold, saved by Leclaire4v4
  74. P3 17:04Shot by Foligno, saved by Miller
  75. P3 17:10Stafford: Elbowing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Campoli, Michalek, Foligno, Winchester, Karlsson · BUF Rivet, Montador, Roy, Stafford, Ennis

  76. P3 17:47Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Miller5v4
  77. P3 18:22Shot by Fisher, saved by Miller5v4
  78. P3 19:39Grier: Slashing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: OTT Kovalev, Gonchar, Alfredsson, Fisher, Michalek, Karlsson · BUF Niedermayer, Grier, Hecht, Morrisonn, Myers

  79. P3 19:55Shot by Kovalev, saved by Miller6v4
  80. P3 0:00Period end
  81. P3 0:00Final