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Ice Lab

Tue, Oct 19, 2010·HP Pavilion at San Jose, San Jose

Carolina Hurricanes 5, San Jose Sharks 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 67% of the time.

SJS winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:43Ruutu: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Huskins, Pavelski, Mitchell, McGinn, Moore · CAR Cole, Ruutu, Harrison, McBain, Skinner

  3. P1 3:02Shot by Demers, saved by Ward5v4
  4. P1 4:29Shot by LaRose, saved by Niemi
  5. P1 5:46Shot by Clowe, saved by Ward
  6. P1 5:46O'Sullivan: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Huskins, Heatley, Clowe, Couture, Moore · CAR Corvo, Kostopoulos, Gleason, O'Sullivan, Sutter

  7. P1 5:56Goal by Staal (LaRose, Babchuk)5v4+18 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Marleau, Boyle, Pavelski, Setoguchi · CAR LaRose, Pitkanen, Babchuk, Staal

  8. P1 6:24Shot by Marleau, saved by Ward5v4
  9. P1 6:34Boyle: Interference (2 min)5v4

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Marleau, Boyle, Heatley, Pavelski · CAR Cole, Harrison, Babchuk, Dwyer

  10. P1 6:54Shot by Wallin, saved by Ward4v4
  11. P1 7:53Shot by Demers, saved by Ward4v5
  12. P1 7:54Shot by Clowe, saved by Ward4v5
  13. P1 9:47Shot by Pavelski, saved by Ward
  14. P1 9:47Harrison: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Huskins, Pavelski, McGinn, McCarthy, Demers · CAR Harrison, Dwyer, McBain, Bowman, Dalpe

  15. P1 13:09Shot by Nichol, saved by Ward
  16. P1 13:17Shot by Nichol, saved by Ward
  17. P1 13:26Shot by Harrison, saved by Niemi
  18. P1 16:09Shot by O'Sullivan, saved by Niemi
  19. P1 16:27Shot by Pitkanen, saved by Niemi
  20. P1 16:48Shot by Pitkanen, saved by Niemi
  21. P1 17:33Shot by Skinner, saved by Niemi
  22. P1 17:35Shot by Gleason, saved by Niemi
  23. P1 17:35Goal by Cole (Gleason, Skinner)+14 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Wallin, Pavelski, Mitchell, Vlasic, McGinn · CAR Corvo, Cole, Ruutu, Gleason, Skinner

  24. P1 19:52Shot by Cole, saved by Niemi
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:24Shot by Setoguchi, saved by Ward
  28. P2 1:25Shot by Pavelski, saved by Ward
  29. P2 1:25Shot by Pavelski, saved by Ward
  30. P2 1:58Shot by McGinn, saved by Ward
  31. P2 2:23Shot by Nichol, saved by Ward
  32. P2 2:43Shot by Jokinen, saved by Niemi
  33. P2 2:43Goal by Dwyer (Jokinen, LaRose)+8 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Wallin, Setoguchi, McCarthy, Moore · CAR Jokinen, LaRose, Pitkanen, Babchuk, Dwyer

  34. P2 3:17Shot by Marleau, saved by Ward
  35. P2 3:33Shot by Couture, saved by Ward
  36. P2 4:02Shot by Heatley, saved by Ward
  37. P2 4:16Shot by O'Sullivan, saved by Niemi
  38. P2 4:48Shot by Huskins, saved by Ward
  39. P2 6:34Goal by Marleau (Boyle, Thornton)+7 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Marleau, Boyle, Murray, Setoguchi · CAR Jokinen, Pitkanen, Babchuk, Staal, O'Sullivan

  40. P2 6:48Shot by Clowe, saved by Ward
  41. P2 8:03Corvo: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Boyle, Heatley, Clowe, Vlasic, Couture · CAR Corvo, Gleason, Dwyer, Bowman, Dalpe

  42. P2 8:27Shot by Boyle, saved by Ward5v4
  43. P2 8:37Shot by Demers, saved by Ward5v4
  44. P2 9:26Shot by Boyle, saved by Ward5v4
  45. P2 9:46Goal by Marleau (Setoguchi, Murray)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Marleau, Murray, Setoguchi, Vlasic · CAR Kostopoulos, Pitkanen, Babchuk, Sutter

  46. P2 9:55Nichol: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Nichol, Boyle, Murray, Clowe, McCarthy · CAR Cole, Ruutu, Harrison, McBain, Skinner

  47. P2 10:40Shot by Marleau, saved by Ward4v5
  48. P2 11:11Shot by Babchuk, saved by Niemi4v5
  49. P2 11:20Shot by McBain, saved by Niemi4v5
  50. P2 11:29Shot by Ruutu, saved by Niemi4v5
  51. P2 11:45Shot by Corvo, saved by Niemi4v5
  52. P2 12:29Shot by LaRose, saved by Niemi
  53. P2 15:10Shot by Setoguchi, saved by Ward
  54. P2 16:24Shot by Pavelski, saved by Ward
  55. P2 16:37McGinn: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Boyle, Murray, Pavelski, Mitchell, McGinn · CAR Jokinen, LaRose, Pitkanen, Babchuk, Staal

  56. P2 18:54Shot by LaRose, saved by Niemi
  57. P2 19:59Shot by Couture, saved by Ward
  58. P2 0:00Period end
  59. P3 0:00Period start
  60. P3 1:16Shot by Clowe, saved by Ward
  61. P3 2:02Shot by Skinner, saved by Niemi
  62. P3 2:02McGinn: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Huskins, Pavelski, Mitchell, McGinn, Demers · CAR Cole, Ruutu, Harrison, McBain, Skinner

  63. P3 2:02Cole: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Huskins, Pavelski, Mitchell, McGinn, Demers · CAR Cole, Ruutu, Harrison, McBain, Skinner

  64. P3 2:11Goal by LaRose (Staal)4v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Marleau, Boyle, Murray · CAR LaRose, Pitkanen, Staal, McBain

  65. P3 4:50Shot by Marleau, saved by Ward
  66. P3 5:34Shot by Pitkanen, saved by Niemi
  67. P3 6:05Shot by Setoguchi, saved by Ward
  68. P3 6:42Shot by Jokinen, saved by Niemi
  69. P3 7:05Goal by Pitkanen (Kostopoulos, McBain)+3 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Marleau, Boyle, Murray, Setoguchi · CAR Kostopoulos, Pitkanen, O'Sullivan, McBain, Sutter

  70. P3 7:33Shot by Babchuk, saved by Niemi
  71. P3 7:47Shot by Skinner, saved by Niemi
  72. P3 8:15Shot by Mitchell, saved by Ward
  73. P3 8:21Shot by Pavelski, saved by Ward
  74. P3 8:42Shot by Pavelski, saved by Ward
  75. P3 9:06Shot by Jokinen, saved by Niemi
  76. P3 11:25Shot by Harrison, saved by Niemi
  77. P3 11:39Shot by O'Sullivan, saved by Niemi
  78. P3 11:40Shot by O'Sullivan, saved by Niemi
  79. P3 11:59Marleau: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Marleau, Boyle, Murray, Setoguchi · CAR Kostopoulos, Pitkanen, O'Sullivan, McBain, Sutter

  80. P3 13:34Shot by McGinn, saved by Ward4v5
  81. P3 13:35Shot by Vlasic, saved by Ward4v5
  82. P3 14:13Shot by Couture, saved by Ward
  83. P3 14:19Babchuk: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Marleau, Wallin, Setoguchi, Couture, Moore · CAR Corvo, Kostopoulos, Ruutu, Babchuk, Skinner

  84. P3 17:45Shot by Wallin, saved by Ward
  85. P3 18:21Shot by Pitkanen, saved by Niemi
  86. P3 18:30Shot by Setoguchi, saved by Ward
  87. P3 19:02Shot by Heatley, saved by Ward
  88. P3 19:14Shot by Vlasic, saved by Ward
  89. P3 19:20Shot by Moore, saved by Ward
  90. P3 19:20Shot by Clowe, saved by Ward
  91. P3 0:00Period end
  92. P3 0:00Final