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Ice Lab

Tue, Nov 9, 2010·Scotiabank Place, Ottawa

Atlanta Thrashers 2, Ottawa Senators 5

Away

Atlanta Thrashers

2

Final

Home

Ottawa Senators

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Atlanta Thrashers win this game 75% of the time.

OTT winsATL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:17Shot by Ladd, saved by Elliott
  3. P1 2:44Shot by Burmistrov, saved by Elliott
  4. P1 3:12Shot by Karlsson, saved by Mason
  5. P1 3:52Karlsson: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Kovalev, Hale, Spezza, Regin, Karlsson · ATL Antropov, Stewart, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Kane

  6. P1 4:01Goal by Ladd (Enstrom, Byfuglien)4v5+18 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Phillips, Kelly · ATL Antropov, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Ladd, Peverley

  7. P1 3:58Shot by Enstrom, saved by Elliott4v5
  8. P1 4:41Shot by Kane, saved by Elliott
  9. P1 5:30Shot by Hainsey, saved by Elliott
  10. P1 6:01Shot by Neil, saved by Mason
  11. P1 6:08Eager: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Ruutu, Neil, Carkner, Kelly, Campoli · ATL Sopel, Hainsey, Thorburn, Eager, Slater

  12. P1 7:36Shot by Kovalev, saved by Mason5v4
  13. P1 8:34Shot by Eager, saved by Elliott
  14. P1 11:05Goal by Spezza (Hale, Karlsson)+20 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Kovalev, Hale, Spezza, Regin, Karlsson · ATL Antropov, Oduya, Stewart, Bogosian, Kane

  15. P1 11:32Shot by Campoli, saved by Mason
  16. P1 13:28Shot by Modin, saved by Elliott
  17. P1 13:54Shot by Carkner, saved by Mason
  18. P1 13:56Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Mason
  19. P1 14:25Shot by Carkner, saved by Mason
  20. P1 14:45Shot by Eager, saved by Elliott
  21. P1 15:36Peverley: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Hale, Shannon, Foligno, Winchester, Karlsson · ATL Hainsey, Enstrom, Ladd, Peverley, Bergfors

  22. P1 15:39Goal by Gonchar (Karlsson, Spezza)5v4+17 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Fisher, Spezza, Karlsson · ATL Modin, Sopel, Oduya, Burmistrov

  23. P1 16:25Shot by Kane, saved by Elliott
  24. P1 18:24Shot by Modin, saved by Elliott
  25. P1 19:35Shot by Kovalev, saved by Mason
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 1:10Shot by Stewart, saved by Elliott
  29. P2 2:12Shot by Peverley, saved by Elliott
  30. P2 2:13Shot by Peverley, saved by Elliott
  31. P2 3:00Shot by Winchester, saved by Mason
  32. P2 4:25Shot by Kovalev, saved by Mason
  33. P2 5:04Goal by Neil (Phillips, Kelly)+15 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Phillips, Ruutu, Neil, Kelly · ATL Enstrom, Ladd, Peverley, Bergfors, Bogosian

  34. P2 5:15Shot by Ruutu, saved by Mason
  35. P2 6:45Shot by Kovalev, saved by Mason
  36. P2 7:02Shot by Stewart, saved by Elliott
  37. P2 7:15Shot by Karlsson, saved by Mason
  38. P2 8:03Shot by Bergfors, saved by Elliott
  39. P2 8:55Shot by Sopel, saved by Elliott
  40. P2 9:11Shot by Foligno, saved by Mason
  41. P2 9:12Goal by Winchester (Foligno, Shannon)+7 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Hale, Campoli, Shannon, Foligno, Winchester · ATL Modin, Sopel, Hainsey, Kane, Burmistrov

  42. P2 10:16Shot by Thorburn, saved by Elliott
  43. P2 11:12Shot by Slater, saved by Elliott
  44. P2 11:53Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Pavelec
  45. P2 12:50Shannon: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Hale, Shannon, Foligno, Winchester, Karlsson · ATL Sopel, Antropov, Hainsey, Stewart, Kane

  46. P2 12:53Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Elliott4v5
  47. P2 15:20Shot by Kovalev, saved by Pavelec
  48. P2 15:27Shot by Hale, saved by Pavelec
  49. P2 17:01Shot by Modin, saved by Elliott
  50. P2 17:39Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Elliott
  51. P2 18:25Shot by Ruutu, saved by Pavelec
  52. P2 18:41Shot by Bogosian, saved by Elliott
  53. P2 19:13Shot by Ladd, saved by Elliott
  54. P2 19:38Shot by Bergfors, saved by Elliott
  55. P2 19:51Ladd: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Kovalev, Gonchar, Phillips, Spezza, Regin · ATL Enstrom, Byfuglien, Ladd, Peverley, Bergfors

  56. P2 19:56Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Pavelec5v4
  57. P2 0:00Period end
  58. P3 0:00Period start
  59. P3 1:23Goal by Spezza (Alfredsson, Campoli)5v4+2 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Alfredsson, Fisher, Spezza, Campoli, Karlsson · ATL Sopel, Thorburn, Oduya, Slater

  60. P3 2:51Shot by Burmistrov, saved by Elliott
  61. P3 3:34Campoli: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Ruutu, Neil, Carkner, Kelly, Campoli · ATL Antropov, Stewart, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Kane

  62. P3 4:21Shot by Antropov, saved by Elliott4v5
  63. P3 4:23Shot by Peverley, saved by Elliott4v5
  64. P3 5:12Goal by Stewart (Kane, Bergfors)4v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Carkner, Kelly, Hale, Spezza · ATL Stewart, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Bergfors, Kane

  65. P3 5:35Shot by Thorburn, saved by Elliott
  66. P3 7:43Shot by Spezza, saved by Pavelec
  67. P3 8:10Shot by Stewart, saved by Elliott
  68. P3 8:20Shot by Ruutu, saved by Pavelec
  69. P3 8:51Shot by Karlsson, saved by Pavelec
  70. P3 11:24Shot by Michalek, saved by Pavelec
  71. P3 11:37Shot by Kane, saved by Elliott
  72. P3 11:38Shot by Kane, saved by Elliott
  73. P3 12:50Carkner: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Kovalev, Carkner, Kelly, Campoli, Regin · ATL Modin, Boulton, Sopel, Hainsey, Burmistrov

  74. P3 13:51Shot by Kane, saved by Elliott4v5
  75. P3 15:50Shot by Slater, saved by Elliott
  76. P3 16:31Shannon: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: OTT Carkner, Campoli, Shannon, Foligno, Winchester · ATL Modin, Boulton, Sopel, Hainsey, Peverley, Burmistrov

  77. P3 18:26Carkner: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Carkner, Hale, Spezza, Michalek · ATL Modin, Boulton, Oduya, Bogosian, Burmistrov

  78. P3 18:26Boulton: Fighting (5 min)3v5

    On ice: OTT Carkner, Hale, Spezza, Michalek · ATL Modin, Boulton, Oduya, Bogosian, Burmistrov

  79. P3 18:40Shot by Oduya, saved by Elliott
  80. P3 19:15Shot by Kovalev, saved by Pavelec
  81. P3 19:37Shot by Sopel, saved by Elliott
  82. P3 0:00Period end
  83. P3 0:00Final