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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 13, 2010·HP Pavilion at San Jose, San Jose

Calgary Flames 3, San Jose Sharks 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 74% of the time.

SJS winsCGY wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:58Jokinen: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Boyle, Murray, Clowe, Pavelski, Couture · CGY Jokinen, Regehr, White, Glencross, Bourque

  3. P1 1:06Goal by Thornton (Demers, Boyle)5v4+12 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Marleau, Boyle, Heatley, Demers · CGY Conroy, Sarich, Moss, Bouwmeester

  4. P1 1:49Shot by Hagman, saved by Niemi
  5. P1 2:02Shot by Demers, saved by Kiprusoff
  6. P1 3:52Shot by Tanguay, saved by Niemi
  7. P1 4:14Shot by Boyle, saved by Kiprusoff
  8. P1 6:52Shot by Heatley, saved by Kiprusoff
  9. P1 8:22Shot by McCarthy, saved by Kiprusoff
  10. P1 8:26Shot by Huskins, saved by Kiprusoff
  11. P1 8:41Shot by Backlund, saved by Niemi
  12. P1 9:45Shot by Boyle, saved by Kiprusoff
  13. P1 10:24Goal by Clowe (Pavelski, Couture)+14 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Boyle, Murray, Clowe, Pavelski, Couture · CGY Jokinen, Regehr, White, Glencross, Bourque

  14. P1 11:15Shot by Backlund, saved by Niemi
  15. P1 13:59Sarich: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: SJS Boyle, Murray, Mitchell, Setoguchi, McCarthy · CGY Sarich, Jokinen, Glencross, Bourque, Mikkelson

  16. P1 14:04Shot by Demers, saved by Kiprusoff5v4
  17. P1 14:11Shot by Boyle, saved by Kiprusoff5v4
  18. P1 14:18Shot by Thornton, saved by Kiprusoff5v4
  19. P1 14:24Shot by Pavelski, saved by Kiprusoff5v4
  20. P1 15:19Shot by Setoguchi, saved by Kiprusoff5v4
  21. P1 15:29Shot by Setoguchi, saved by Kiprusoff5v4
  22. P1 16:32Shot by Heatley, saved by Kiprusoff5v4
  23. P1 16:48Shot by Marleau, saved by Kiprusoff5v4
  24. P1 17:46Shot by Tanguay, saved by Niemi5v4
  25. P1 19:43Heatley: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Marleau, Huskins, Heatley, Demers · CGY Iginla, Regehr, Hagman, Bouwmeester, Stajan

  26. P1 19:54Shot by Pavelski, saved by Kiprusoff4v5
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:06Boyle: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)4v5

    On ice: SJS Marleau, Boyle, Murray, Pavelski · CGY Jokinen, White, Giordano, Glencross, Bourque

  30. P2 0:20Shot by Bourque, saved by Niemi3v5
  31. P2 0:51Goal by Giordano (White, Iginla)3v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Murray, Wallin, Pavelski · CGY Iginla, Jokinen, White, Giordano, Bourque

  32. P2 1:39Shot by Moss, saved by Niemi4v5
  33. P2 1:45Shot by Hagman, saved by Niemi4v5
  34. P2 1:51Shot by Bouwmeester, saved by Niemi4v5
  35. P2 3:23Conroy: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Mayers, Boyle, Murray, Clowe, Couture · CGY Conroy, Sarich, Tanguay, Jackman, Mikkelson

  36. P2 3:28Shot by Marleau, saved by Kiprusoff5v4
  37. P2 3:39Shot by Boyle, saved by Kiprusoff5v4
  38. P2 5:15Shot by Setoguchi, saved by Kiprusoff5v4
  39. P2 5:33Shot by Mayers, saved by Kiprusoff
  40. P2 5:38Shot by Vlasic, saved by Kiprusoff
  41. P2 6:53Shot by Marleau, saved by Kiprusoff
  42. P2 7:08Heatley: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Marleau, Boyle, Murray, Heatley · CGY Conroy, Regehr, Hagman, Bouwmeester, Bourque

  43. P2 7:52Shot by White, saved by Niemi4v5
  44. P2 8:35Shot by Jokinen, saved by Niemi4v5
  45. P2 11:28Shot by Giordano, saved by Niemi
  46. P2 11:39Shot by Moss, saved by Niemi
  47. P2 11:47Shot by Moss, saved by Niemi
  48. P2 11:53Sarich: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: SJS Mayers, Nichol, Huskins, McGinn, Demers · CGY Sarich, Hagman, Moss, Mikkelson, Backlund

  49. P2 11:53Mayers: Instigator (2 min)4v4

    On ice: SJS Mayers, Nichol, Huskins, McGinn, Demers · CGY Sarich, Hagman, Moss, Mikkelson, Backlund

  50. P2 11:53Mayers: Fighting (5 min)4v4

    On ice: SJS Mayers, Nichol, Huskins, McGinn, Demers · CGY Sarich, Hagman, Moss, Mikkelson, Backlund

  51. P2 11:53Mayers: Misconduct (10 min)4v4

    On ice: SJS Mayers, Nichol, Huskins, McGinn, Demers · CGY Sarich, Hagman, Moss, Mikkelson, Backlund

  52. P2 14:50Shot by Heatley, saved by Kiprusoff
  53. P2 14:56Shot by Marleau, saved by Kiprusoff
  54. P2 14:57Shot by Heatley, saved by Kiprusoff
  55. P2 15:37Shot by Marleau, saved by Kiprusoff
  56. P2 15:43Shot by Vlasic, saved by Kiprusoff
  57. P2 15:58Shot by White, saved by Niemi
  58. P2 16:21Shot by Couture, saved by Kiprusoff
  59. P2 16:22Goal by Pavelski (Couture, Clowe)+16 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Wallin, Clowe, Pavelski, Vlasic, Couture · CGY Conroy, Iginla, Tanguay, White, Mikkelson

  60. P2 16:58Shot by Bouwmeester, saved by Niemi
  61. P2 17:38Shot by Glencross, saved by Niemi
  62. P2 18:10Stajan: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Marleau, Boyle, Murray, Heatley, Mitchell · CGY Iginla, Sarich, Tanguay, Stajan, Mikkelson

  63. P2 18:57Shot by Moss, saved by Niemi5v4
  64. P2 18:59Pavelski: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: SJS Boyle, Clowe, Pavelski, Setoguchi, Couture · CGY Sarich, Moss, Giordano, Backlund

  65. P2 0:00Period end
  66. P3 0:00Period start
  67. P3 1:13Shot by Iginla, saved by Niemi
  68. P3 1:18Shot by White, saved by Niemi
  69. P3 1:28Shot by Regehr, saved by Niemi
  70. P3 2:20Couture: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Wallin, Clowe, Pavelski, Vlasic, Couture · CGY Sarich, Hagman, Moss, Mikkelson, Backlund

  71. P3 4:22Mitchell: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Nichol, Huskins, Mitchell, Couture, Demers · CGY Iginla, Tanguay, Hagman, Bouwmeester, Giordano

  72. P3 5:00Shot by Glencross, saved by Niemi4v5
  73. P3 6:58Shot by Backlund, saved by Niemi
  74. P3 9:14Goal by Bouwmeester (Stajan, Tanguay)+14 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Marleau, Boyle, Heatley, Vlasic · CGY Iginla, Tanguay, Regehr, Bouwmeester, Stajan

  75. P3 10:22Shot by Setoguchi, saved by Kiprusoff
  76. P3 11:02Shot by Marleau, saved by Kiprusoff
  77. P3 11:51Shot by Boyle, saved by Kiprusoff
  78. P3 13:41Shot by White, saved by Niemi
  79. P3 13:43Shot by Stajan, saved by Niemi
  80. P3 14:10Goal by Couture (Clowe, Pavelski)+12 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Boyle, Huskins, Clowe, Pavelski, Couture · CGY Jokinen, White, Glencross, Bourque, Mikkelson

  81. P3 14:30Shot by Hagman, saved by Niemi
  82. P3 17:33Shot by Hagman, saved by Niemi
  83. P3 17:49Shot by Couture, saved by Kiprusoff
  84. P3 19:13Shot by Tanguay, saved by Niemi5v6
  85. P3 19:23Goal by Iginla (Tanguay, Giordano)5v6+4 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Wallin, Mitchell, Setoguchi, Vlasic, McGinn · CGY Iginla, Jokinen, Tanguay, Hagman, Bouwmeester, Giordano

  86. P3 0:00Period end
  87. P3 0:00Final