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Ice Lab

Wed, Nov 17, 2010·RBC Center, Raleigh

Ottawa Senators 1, Carolina Hurricanes 7

Away

Ottawa Senators

1

Final

Home

Carolina Hurricanes

7

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 75% of the time.

CAR winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:21Shot by Samsonov, saved by Elliott
  3. P1 2:43Shot by Foligno, saved by Ward
  4. P1 3:09Shot by Jokinen, saved by Elliott
  5. P1 3:05Shot by Carson, saved by Elliott
  6. P1 3:52Shot by Sutter, saved by Elliott
  7. P1 4:25Goal by Gleason (LaRose, Samsonov)+14 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Samsonov, Corvo, Gleason, LaRose, Staal · OTT Kovalev, Carkner, Spezza, Campoli, Regin

  8. P1 5:22Shot by Kelly, saved by Ward
  9. P1 5:53Shot by Ruutu, saved by Ward
  10. P1 6:35Shot by Foligno, saved by Ward
  11. P1 9:00Shot by Cole, saved by Elliott
  12. P1 9:32Karlsson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Ruutu, Harrison, Pitkanen, Tlusty, Skinner · OTT Kuba, Ruutu, Neil, Kelly, Karlsson

  13. P1 10:41Goal by Staal (Jokinen, Pitkanen)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Samsonov, Corvo, Jokinen, Pitkanen, Staal · OTT Gonchar, Phillips, Ruutu, Kelly

  14. P1 11:31Jokinen: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Corvo, Gleason, Jokinen, Dwyer, Sutter · OTT Kovalev, Alfredsson, Carkner, Spezza, Campoli, Regin

  15. P1 11:39Shot by Staal, saved by Elliott4v5
  16. P1 12:24Shot by Dwyer, saved by Elliott4v5
  17. P1 12:37Shot by Dwyer, saved by Elliott4v5
  18. P1 15:06Shannon: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Harrison, O'Sullivan, Carson, Matsumoto, Tlusty · OTT Gonchar, Campoli, Regin, Shannon, Winchester

  19. P1 15:40Shot by Samsonov, saved by Elliott5v4
  20. P1 15:55Shot by Staal, saved by Elliott5v4
  21. P1 16:05Goal by Staal (Jokinen, Corvo)5v4+9 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Samsonov, Corvo, Jokinen, Pitkanen, Staal · OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Phillips, Fisher

  22. P1 16:03Shot by Jokinen, saved by Elliott5v4
  23. P1 16:25Carkner: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Cole, Ruutu, Harrison, McBain, Skinner · OTT Ruutu, Neil, Carkner, Kelly, Campoli

  24. P1 16:25Harrison: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Cole, Ruutu, Harrison, McBain, Skinner · OTT Ruutu, Neil, Carkner, Kelly, Campoli

  25. P1 16:46Goal by LaRose (Gleason, Staal)4v4+4 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Corvo, Gleason, LaRose, Staal · OTT Kuba, Spezza, Campoli, Michalek

  26. P1 16:44Shot by Gleason, saved by Elliott4v4
  27. P1 17:20Gonchar: Tripping (2 min)4v4

    On ice: CAR Ruutu, Pitkanen, McBain, Skinner · OTT Kovalev, Gonchar, Phillips, Regin

  28. P1 19:22Shot by Phillips, saved by Ward
  29. P1 0:00LaRose: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Corvo, Ruutu, Jokinen, LaRose, McBain · OTT Carkner, Kelly, Campoli, Michalek, Foligno

  30. P1 0:00Michalek: Roughing (2 min)5v3

    On ice: CAR Corvo, Ruutu, Jokinen, LaRose, McBain · OTT Carkner, Kelly, Campoli, Michalek, Foligno

  31. P1 0:00Michalek: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Corvo, Ruutu, Jokinen, LaRose, McBain · OTT Carkner, Kelly, Campoli, Michalek, Foligno

  32. P1 0:00Period end
  33. P2 0:00Period start
  34. P2 1:24Shot by Gonchar, saved by Ward5v4
  35. P2 1:35Staal: Boarding (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CAR Corvo, Ruutu, Pitkanen, Staal, Skinner · OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Kuba, Winchester

  36. P2 1:35Winchester: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CAR Corvo, Ruutu, Pitkanen, Staal, Skinner · OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Kuba, Winchester

  37. P2 3:30Shot by Phillips, saved by Ward
  38. P2 5:51Shot by Dwyer, saved by Leclaire
  39. P2 6:06Shot by Karlsson, saved by Ward
  40. P2 7:34Shot by Matsumoto, saved by Leclaire
  41. P2 9:16Shot by Fisher, saved by Ward
  42. P2 11:28Shot by Regin, saved by Ward
  43. P2 11:51Shot by Fisher, saved by Ward
  44. P2 14:40Carson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Harrison, Jokinen, Dwyer, Carson, Sutter · OTT Carkner, Campoli, Michalek, Foligno, Winchester

  45. P2 15:07Shot by Kuba, saved by Ward4v5
  46. P2 15:41Shot by Staal, saved by Leclaire4v5
  47. P2 18:06Shot by Ruutu, saved by Leclaire
  48. P2 18:59Shot by Jokinen, saved by Leclaire
  49. P2 19:41Shot by Kelly, saved by Ward
  50. P2 19:59Shot by Jokinen, saved by Leclaire
  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 1:26Goal by LaRose (McBain, Staal)0 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Samsonov, LaRose, Pitkanen, Staal, McBain · OTT Alfredsson, Kuba, Fisher, Michalek, Karlsson

  54. P3 1:25Shot by McBain, saved by Leclaire
  55. P3 1:59Kelly: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Cole, Ruutu, Harrison, Carson, Skinner · OTT Ruutu, Neil, Carkner, Kelly, Campoli

  56. P3 2:45Shot by Spezza, saved by Ward5v4
  57. P3 2:46Shot by Michalek, saved by Ward5v4
  58. P3 4:17Shot by Spezza, saved by Ward
  59. P3 4:50Shot by Kovalev, saved by Ward
  60. P3 6:33Shot by Regin, saved by Ward
  61. P3 7:17Shot by Gleason, saved by Leclaire
  62. P3 8:44Shot by Spezza, saved by Ward
  63. P3 8:51Samsonov: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: CAR Samsonov, Harrison, LaRose, Pitkanen, Staal · OTT Kovalev, Gonchar, Alfredsson, Phillips, Spezza, Shannon

  64. P3 9:31Goal by Alfredsson (Gonchar, Kuba)4v50 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Corvo, Gleason, Dwyer, Sutter · OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Kuba, Fisher, Spezza

  65. P3 9:59Campoli: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Cole, Ruutu, Pitkanen, McBain, Skinner · OTT Kovalev, Carkner, Campoli, Regin, Winchester

  66. P3 10:57Shot by McBain, saved by Leclaire5v4
  67. P3 13:01Shot by Karlsson, saved by Ward
  68. P3 13:33Shot by Kovalev, saved by Ward
  69. P3 13:44Goal by Staal (Samsonov, LaRose)0 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Samsonov, Corvo, Harrison, LaRose, Staal · OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Phillips, Fisher, Shannon

  70. P3 15:54Goal by Ruutu (Cole)0 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Corvo, Cole, Ruutu, Pitkanen, Skinner · OTT Gonchar, Phillips, Michalek, Foligno, Winchester

  71. P3 16:40Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Ward
  72. P3 19:56Shot by Gonchar, saved by Ward
  73. P3 0:00Period end
  74. P3 0:00Final