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Ice Lab

Sun, Nov 21, 2010·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit

Calgary Flames 4, Detroit Red Wings 5 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 65% of the time.

DET winsCGY wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:54Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Kiprusoff
  3. P1 0:55Regehr: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Holmstrom, Stuart, Datsyuk, Filppula, Ericsson · CGY Iginla, Tanguay, Regehr, Bouwmeester, Stajan

  4. P1 1:56Goal by Franzen (Rafalski, Lidstrom)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: DET Lidstrom, Holmstrom, Datsyuk, Rafalski, Franzen · CGY Bouwmeester, Giordano, Glencross, Backlund

  5. P1 2:10Shot by Modano, saved by Kiprusoff
  6. P1 3:52Shot by Morrison, saved by Howard
  7. P1 5:21Goal by Hagman (Iginla)+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET Modano, Bertuzzi, Salei, Kronwall, Filppula · CGY Iginla, Hagman, Babchuk, Giordano, Backlund

  8. P1 5:33Shot by Hagman, saved by Howard
  9. P1 7:00Shot by Ericsson, saved by Kiprusoff6v5
  10. P1 7:07Jackman: Boarding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: DET Rafalski, Zetterberg, Ericsson, Miller, Abdelkader, Helm · CGY Sarich, Kostopoulos, Jackman, Moss, Mikkelson

  11. P1 8:53Shot by Backlund, saved by Howard5v4
  12. P1 10:38Giordano: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Modano, Bertuzzi, Salei, Cleary, Kronwall · CGY Hagman, Babchuk, Giordano, Bourque, Backlund

  13. P1 12:14Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Kiprusoff5v4
  14. P1 13:32Shot by Salei, saved by Kiprusoff
  15. P1 14:16Shot by Helm, saved by Kiprusoff
  16. P1 16:15Shot by Regehr, saved by Howard
  17. P1 16:40Shot by Babchuk, saved by Howard
  18. P1 17:37Shot by Stuart, saved by Kiprusoff
  19. P1 17:38Hagman: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Bertuzzi, Cleary, Stuart, Rafalski, Zetterberg · CGY Hagman, Moss, Babchuk, Giordano, Bourque

  20. P1 19:38Shot by Lidstrom, saved by Kiprusoff5v4
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 0:08Shot by Moss, saved by Howard
  24. P2 0:54Goal by Iginla (Stajan)+22 pts WP

    On ice: DET Holmstrom, Rafalski, Zetterberg, Ericsson, Franzen · CGY Iginla, Tanguay, Regehr, Bouwmeester, Stajan

  25. P2 1:57Shot by Hagman, saved by Howard
  26. P2 3:05Shot by Modano, saved by Kiprusoff
  27. P2 0:15Shot by Moss, saved by Howard
  28. P2 3:26Bertuzzi: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Bertuzzi, Rafalski, Ericsson, Abdelkader, Helm · CGY Conroy, Kostopoulos, Jackman, Babchuk, Mikkelson

  29. P2 3:35Shot by Bouwmeester, saved by Howard4v5
  30. P2 3:52Shot by Iginla, saved by Howard4v5
  31. P2 4:09Goal by Iginla (Tanguay)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: DET Lidstrom, Stuart, Miller, Helm · CGY Iginla, Tanguay, Hagman, Moss, Bouwmeester

  32. P2 4:37Shot by Rafalski, saved by Kiprusoff
  33. P2 7:02Shot by Bourque, saved by Howard
  34. P2 7:27Shot by Rafalski, saved by Kiprusoff
  35. P2 8:18Shot by Morrison, saved by Howard
  36. P2 8:37Shot by Stajan, saved by Howard
  37. P2 9:14Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Kiprusoff
  38. P2 10:11Shot by Hagman, saved by Howard
  39. P2 11:42Shot by Stuart, saved by Kiprusoff
  40. P2 12:08Shot by Kronwall, saved by Kiprusoff
  41. P2 12:33Shot by Bouwmeester, saved by Howard
  42. P2 13:21Shot by Backlund, saved by Howard
  43. P2 13:43Shot by Ericsson, saved by Kiprusoff
  44. P2 14:56Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Kiprusoff
  45. P2 18:31Shot by Stuart, saved by Kiprusoff
  46. P2 19:03Shot by Helm, saved by Kiprusoff
  47. P2 19:03Shot by Miller, saved by Kiprusoff
  48. P2 19:48Backlund: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Rafalski, Ericsson, Miller, Abdelkader, Helm · CGY Iginla, Sarich, Giordano, Bourque, Backlund

  49. P2 19:48Abdelkader: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DET Rafalski, Ericsson, Miller, Abdelkader, Helm · CGY Iginla, Sarich, Giordano, Bourque, Backlund

  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 0:18Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Kiprusoff4v4
  53. P3 0:23Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Kiprusoff4v4
  54. P3 1:53Sarich: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: DET Modano, Stuart, Kronwall, Filppula, Hudler, Abdelkader · CGY Sarich, Regehr, Hagman, Bourque, Backlund

  55. P3 2:28Goal by Datsyuk (Lidstrom, Rafalski)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: DET Lidstrom, Holmstrom, Datsyuk, Rafalski, Franzen · CGY Conroy, Kostopoulos, Regehr, Bouwmeester

  56. P3 2:59Shot by Hagman, saved by Howard
  57. P3 3:29Shot by Babchuk, saved by Howard
  58. P3 3:37Shot by Glencross, saved by Howard
  59. P3 3:45Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Kiprusoff
  60. P3 4:04Shot by Ericsson, saved by Kiprusoff
  61. P3 4:15Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Kiprusoff
  62. P3 4:30Shot by Bouwmeester, saved by Howard
  63. P3 4:49Shot by Iginla, saved by Howard
  64. P3 4:53Shot by Sarich, saved by Howard
  65. P3 4:55Shot by Jackman, saved by Howard
  66. P3 6:28Shot by Ericsson, saved by Kiprusoff
  67. P3 6:35Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Kiprusoff
  68. P3 7:14Goal by Tanguay, unassisted+13 pts WP

    On ice: DET Bertuzzi, Rafalski, Filppula, Ericsson, Franzen · CGY Iginla, Tanguay, Stajan, Babchuk, Giordano

  69. P3 8:02Bertuzzi: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)4v5

    On ice: DET Lidstrom, Bertuzzi, Stuart, Abdelkader, Helm · CGY Conroy, Sarich, Kostopoulos, Jackman, Mikkelson

  70. P3 8:02Bertuzzi: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Lidstrom, Bertuzzi, Stuart, Abdelkader, Helm · CGY Conroy, Sarich, Kostopoulos, Jackman, Mikkelson

  71. P3 9:28Hagman: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: DET Lidstrom, Stuart, Miller, Helm · CGY Iginla, Tanguay, Hagman, Moss, Giordano

  72. P3 10:42Shot by Filppula, saved by Kiprusoff4v4
  73. P3 11:04Goal by Zetterberg (Datsyuk, Kronwall)4v4+11 pts WP

    On ice: DET Datsyuk, Zetterberg, Kronwall, Ericsson · CGY Sarich, Stajan, Giordano, Bourque

  74. P3 13:07Shot by Modano, saved by Kiprusoff
  75. P3 13:13Shot by Modano, saved by Kiprusoff
  76. P3 15:29Stajan: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: DET Lidstrom, Holmstrom, Stuart, Zetterberg, Filppula, Franzen · CGY Iginla, Tanguay, Bouwmeester, Stajan, Mikkelson

  77. P3 18:01Shot by Helm, saved by Kiprusoff
  78. P3 18:04Bouwmeester: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Lidstrom, Bertuzzi, Rafalski, Abdelkader, Helm · CGY Iginla, Tanguay, Bouwmeester, Stajan, Babchuk

  79. P3 18:04Iginla: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DET Lidstrom, Bertuzzi, Rafalski, Abdelkader, Helm · CGY Iginla, Tanguay, Bouwmeester, Stajan, Babchuk

  80. P3 18:04Abdelkader: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)5v3

    On ice: DET Lidstrom, Bertuzzi, Rafalski, Abdelkader, Helm · CGY Iginla, Tanguay, Bouwmeester, Stajan, Babchuk

  81. P3 19:56Goal by Zetterberg (Datsyuk, Rafalski)6v4+44 pts WP

    On ice: DET Lidstrom, Holmstrom, Datsyuk, Rafalski, Zetterberg, Franzen · CGY Morrison, Sarich, Kostopoulos, Giordano

  82. P3 0:00Period end
  83. OT 0:00Period start
  84. OT 0:25Shot by Franzen, saved by Kiprusoff5v4
  85. OT 0:29Shot by Rafalski, saved by Kiprusoff4v4
  86. OT 1:23Shot by Helm, saved by Kiprusoff4v4
  87. OT 1:38Goal by Lidstrom (Helm, Bertuzzi)4v4+53 pts WP

    On ice: DET Lidstrom, Bertuzzi, Stuart, Helm · CGY Iginla, Sarich, Tanguay, Giordano

  88. OT 1:38Period end
  89. OT 1:38Final