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Ice Lab

Wed, Nov 24, 2010·Scotiabank Place, Ottawa

Dallas Stars 2, Ottawa Senators 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 89% of the time.

OTT winsDAL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:31Shot by Eriksson, saved by Leclaire
  3. P1 1:12Shot by Regin, saved by Raycroft
  4. P1 1:57Shot by Woywitka, saved by Leclaire
  5. P1 2:42Shot by Petersen, saved by Leclaire
  6. P1 3:26Shot by Kuba, saved by Raycroft
  7. P1 3:47Shot by Niskanen, saved by Leclaire
  8. P1 4:36Shot by Woywitka, saved by Leclaire
  9. P1 5:58Shot by Carkner, saved by Raycroft
  10. P1 7:02Shot by Neal, saved by Leclaire
  11. P1 7:50Grossmann: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Kuba, Spezza, Michalek · DAL Robidas, Richards, Eriksson, Grossmann, Neal

  12. P1 11:31Shot by Gonchar, saved by Raycroft
  13. P1 12:21Shot by Burish, saved by Leclaire
  14. P1 14:24Shot by Neil, saved by Raycroft
  15. P1 16:37Shot by Fisher, saved by Raycroft
  16. P1 0:00Period end
  17. P2 0:00Period start
  18. P2 0:47Shot by Spezza, saved by Raycroft
  19. P2 1:05Shot by Kovalev, saved by Raycroft
  20. P2 2:49Foligno: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Fisher, Carkner, Hale, Foligno, Winchester · DAL Robidas, Richards, Eriksson, Grossmann, Neal

  21. P2 3:02Shot by Richards, saved by Leclaire4v5
  22. P2 4:12Shot by Niskanen, saved by Leclaire4v5
  23. P2 4:13Campoli: Cross checking (2 min)4v4

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Ruutu, Campoli · DAL Richards, Ott, Eriksson, Niskanen, Neal

  24. P2 4:13Ott: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Ruutu, Campoli · DAL Richards, Ott, Eriksson, Niskanen, Neal

  25. P2 5:46Shot by Wandell, saved by Leclaire
  26. P2 5:47Shot by Segal, saved by Leclaire
  27. P2 6:14Goal by Daley (Richards, Woywitka)+24 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Kovalev, Kuba, Phillips, Regin, Shannon · DAL Richards, Woywitka, Daley, Eriksson, Neal

  28. P2 7:37Shot by Winchester, saved by Raycroft
  29. P2 8:09Gonchar: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Kuba, Fisher, Foligno, Winchester · DAL Morrow, Ribeiro, Skrastins, Segal, Niskanen

  30. P2 8:20Shot by Ott, saved by Leclaire4v5
  31. P2 8:41Shot by Neal, saved by Leclaire4v5
  32. P2 9:09Shot by Ott, saved by Leclaire4v5
  33. P2 9:39Shot by Robidas, saved by Leclaire4v5
  34. P2 10:33Burish: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Kovalev, Ruutu, Carkner, Hale, Regin · DAL Petersen, Woywitka, Burish, Daley, Wandell

  35. P2 11:09Shot by Kuba, saved by Raycroft5v4
  36. P2 13:17Shot by Phillips, saved by Raycroft
  37. P2 13:43Shot by Morrow, saved by Leclaire
  38. P2 16:29Goal by Shannon (Campoli)+27 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Kovalev, Phillips, Campoli, Regin, Shannon · DAL Morrow, Ribeiro, Skrastins, Segal, Niskanen

  39. P2 17:12Shot by Benn, saved by Leclaire
  40. P2 17:28Shot by Shannon, saved by Raycroft
  41. P2 19:23Shot by Morrow, saved by Leclaire
  42. P2 19:43Shot by Phillips, saved by Raycroft
  43. P2 0:00Period end
  44. P3 0:00Period start
  45. P3 1:13Goal by Morrow (Ribeiro)+29 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Kovalev, Phillips, Campoli, Regin, Shannon · DAL Morrow, Ribeiro, Woywitka, Segal, Daley

  46. P3 1:54Winchester: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Fisher, Carkner, Hale, Foligno, Winchester · DAL Skrastins, Ott, Burish, Niskanen, Benn

  47. P3 2:51Shot by Eriksson, saved by Leclaire4v5
  48. P3 7:03Shot by Gonchar, saved by Raycroft
  49. P3 7:18Shot by Morrow, saved by Leclaire
  50. P3 7:53Shot by Fisher, saved by Raycroft
  51. P3 8:20Neil: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Fisher, Ruutu, Neil, Hale · DAL Skrastins, Petersen, Ott, Niskanen, Wandell

  52. P3 8:55Shot by Robidas, saved by Leclaire4v5
  53. P3 9:42Shot by Richards, saved by Leclaire4v5
  54. P3 10:19Shot by Kelly, saved by Raycroft4v5
  55. P3 11:35Shot by Wandell, saved by Leclaire
  56. P3 13:25Shot by Shannon, saved by Raycroft
  57. P3 14:57Shot by Neil, saved by Raycroft
  58. P3 18:14Shot by Morrow, saved by Leclaire
  59. P3 0:00Period end
  60. P3 0:00Final