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Ice Lab

Wed, Nov 24, 2010·St. Pete Times Forum, Tampa

New York Rangers 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 89% of the time.

TBL winsNYR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:30Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Lundqvist
  3. P1 4:37Shot by Gaborik, saved by Smith
  4. P1 5:37Shot by Purcell, saved by Lundqvist
  5. P1 6:05Callahan: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Ohlund, St. Louis, Lundin, Downie, Stamkos · NYR Dubinsky, Callahan, Staal, Girardi, Anisimov

  6. P1 6:51Shot by Stamkos, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  7. P1 7:01Shot by Malone, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  8. P1 7:06Goal by Malone (Stamkos, St. Louis)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Clark, St. Louis, Malone, Purcell, Stamkos · NYR Boyle, Prust, Staal, Girardi

  9. P1 7:34Shot by Hall, saved by Lundqvist
  10. P1 8:24Shot by Dubinsky, saved by Smith
  11. P1 8:44Shot by Callahan, saved by Smith
  12. P1 11:00Shot by Hall, saved by Lundqvist
  13. P1 13:20Shot by Fedotenko, saved by Smith
  14. P1 14:47Boogaard: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Ohlund, St. Louis, Hall, Bergenheim, Thompson, Lundin · NYR Avery, Boogaard, Christensen, Staal, Gilroy

  15. P1 15:19Shot by St. Louis, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  16. P1 15:34Shot by Stamkos, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  17. P1 15:37Goal by Malone (Stamkos, Purcell)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Clark, St. Louis, Malone, Purcell, Stamkos · NYR Fedotenko, Staal, Girardi, Stepan

  18. P1 16:34Shot by Hedman, saved by Lundqvist
  19. P1 18:01Shot by Anisimov, saved by Smith
  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 0:13Shot by Clark, saved by Lundqvist
  23. P2 2:53Shot by Ritola, saved by Lundqvist
  24. P2 4:53Goal by Stamkos (Downie, St. Louis)+8 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kubina, St. Louis, Jones, Downie, Stamkos · NYR Gaborik, Dubinsky, Staal, Girardi, Anisimov

  25. P2 5:44Shot by Kubina, saved by Lundqvist
  26. P2 5:53Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Lundqvist
  27. P2 7:42Shot by Jones, saved by Lundqvist
  28. P2 7:52Dubinsky: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Kubina, Thompson, Jones, Jones, Tyrell · NYR Boogaard, Christensen, Dubinsky, Sauer, Gilroy

  29. P2 8:34Malone: Interference (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Clark, St. Louis, Malone, Purcell, Stamkos · NYR Boyle, Prust, Staal, Girardi

  30. P2 8:34Lundqvist: Diving (2 min)4v4

    On ice: TBL Clark, St. Louis, Malone, Purcell, Stamkos · NYR Boyle, Prust, Staal, Girardi

  31. P2 8:53Shot by St. Louis, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  32. P2 8:52Shot by St. Louis, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  33. P2 9:12Shot by Purcell, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  34. P2 9:21Shot by Stamkos, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  35. P2 9:34Shot by Clark, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  36. P2 10:08Staal: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Kubina, Moore, Bergenheim, Jones, Ritola · NYR Fedotenko, Dubinsky, Staal, Girardi, Stepan

  37. P2 11:05Goal by Clark (Downie, Purcell)5v4+3 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Clark, St. Louis, Downie, Purcell, Stamkos · NYR Eminger, Dubinsky, Callahan, Girardi

  38. P2 13:30Shot by Gaborik, saved by Smith5v6
  39. P2 13:31Jones: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TBL Kubina, Hall, Jones, Jones, Tyrell · NYR Fedotenko, Gaborik, Boogaard, Eminger, Del Zotto, Stepan

  40. P2 14:08Shot by Gaborik, saved by Smith4v5
  41. P2 16:56Goal by Hedman (Ritola, Bergenheim)+1 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Clark, Hall, Bergenheim, Ritola, Hedman · NYR Avery, Boogaard, Eminger, Christensen, Del Zotto

  42. P2 18:21Shot by Moore, saved by Lundqvist
  43. P2 0:00Period end
  44. P3 0:00Period start
  45. P3 1:48Shot by Boyle, saved by Smith
  46. P3 2:12Shot by Boyle, saved by Smith
  47. P3 3:39Shot by Clark, saved by Lundqvist
  48. P3 3:58Goal by Eminger (Stepan)0 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Ohlund, St. Louis, Lundin, Downie, Stamkos · NYR Eminger, Dubinsky, Callahan, Del Zotto, Stepan

  49. P3 4:42Shot by Hall, saved by Lundqvist
  50. P3 5:13Hall: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Kubina, Hall, Bergenheim, Thompson, Jones · NYR Fedotenko, Boyle, Prust, Staal, Girardi

  51. P3 7:01Shot by Malone, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  52. P3 7:22Shot by Sauer, saved by Smith
  53. P3 8:06Shot by Fedotenko, saved by Smith
  54. P3 8:18Shot by Prust, saved by Smith
  55. P3 9:35Shot by Ritola, saved by Lundqvist
  56. P3 11:26Ohlund: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TBL Ohlund, St. Louis, Lundin, Downie, Stamkos · NYR Avery, Christensen, Staal, Girardi, Stepan

  57. P3 11:26Avery: Instigator (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Ohlund, St. Louis, Lundin, Downie, Stamkos · NYR Avery, Christensen, Staal, Girardi, Stepan

  58. P3 11:26Avery: Fighting (5 min)4v4

    On ice: TBL Ohlund, St. Louis, Lundin, Downie, Stamkos · NYR Avery, Christensen, Staal, Girardi, Stepan

  59. P3 11:26Avery: Misconduct (10 min)4v4

    On ice: TBL Ohlund, St. Louis, Lundin, Downie, Stamkos · NYR Avery, Christensen, Staal, Girardi, Stepan

  60. P3 11:36Shot by Stamkos, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  61. P3 11:45Shot by Malone, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  62. P3 12:07Shot by Stamkos, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  63. P3 12:49Shot by Staal, saved by Smith5v4
  64. P3 12:51Goal by Boyle (Staal, Prust)5v40 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kubina, St. Louis, Malone, Purcell, Stamkos · NYR Boyle, Prust, Staal, Girardi

  65. P3 14:44Shot by Christensen, saved by Smith
  66. P3 14:52Shot by Anisimov, saved by Smith
  67. P3 14:59Prust: Elbowing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Hall, Bergenheim, Thompson, Jones, Lundin · NYR Fedotenko, Eminger, Boyle, Prust, Del Zotto

  68. P3 15:29Shot by Ritola, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  69. P3 15:57Shot by Malone, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  70. P3 17:57Moore: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Clark, Kubina, Malone, Moore, Tyrell · NYR Gaborik, Frolov, Christensen, Del Zotto, Gilroy

  71. P3 18:26Ohlund: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Ohlund, Bergenheim, Lundin, Tyrell · NYR Gaborik, Frolov, Christensen, Girardi, Del Zotto

  72. P3 18:56Goal by Stepan (Gaborik, Del Zotto)3v50 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kubina, Thompson, Jones · NYR Gaborik, Dubinsky, Callahan, Del Zotto, Stepan

  73. P3 19:36Shot by Girardi, saved by Smith4v6
  74. P3 19:59Shot by Dubinsky, saved by Smith4v6
  75. P3 0:00Dubinsky: Slashing (2 min)4v6

    On ice: TBL Clark, Hall, Tyrell, Hedman · NYR Gaborik, Dubinsky, Callahan, Girardi, Del Zotto, Stepan

  76. P3 0:00Hedman: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Clark, Hall, Tyrell, Hedman · NYR Gaborik, Dubinsky, Callahan, Girardi, Del Zotto, Stepan

  77. P3 0:00Period end
  78. P3 0:00Final