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Ice Lab

Wed, Nov 24, 2010·St. Pete Times Forum, Tampa

New York Rangers 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 89% of the time.

TBL winsNYR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NYR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Fedotenko–Boyle–PrustGaborik–Frolov–StepanAvery–Boogaard–ChristensenDubinsky–Callahan–AnisimovGaborik–Dubinsky–AnisimovFrolov–Callahan–StepanDubinsky–Callahan–StepanAvery–Boogaard–StepanChristensen–Dubinsky–CallahanGaborik–Frolov–ChristensenStaal–GirardiSauer–GilroyEminger–Del ZottoStaal–SauerDel Zotto–GilroySauer–Del ZottoStaal–Gilroy
St. Louis–Downie–Stamkos2:320.00–0.062:430.00–0.011:070.19–0.011:040.00–0.066:590.19–0.081:280.00–0.08
Malone–Moore–Purcell3:200.09–0.100:450.00–0.000:370.00–0.001:060.07–0.002:430.02–0.002:380.00–0.16
Hall–Bergenheim–Thompson1:200.13–0.002:200.19–0.000:330.00–0.000:470.01–0.001:190.05–0.001:200.04–0.021:490.11–0.00
Ritola–Jones–Tyrell0:460.02–0.000:590.00–0.001:350.04–0.001:080.02–0.00
Bergenheim–Thompson–Downie0:530.00–0.16
Hall–Bergenheim–Tyrell0:380.03–0.001:050.03–0.00
Hall–Thompson–Tyrell1:040.00–0.000:410.00–0.00
Thompson–Downie–Tyrell0:520.00–0.00
Kubina–Jones4:440.08–0.040:500.00–0.001:580.00–0.000:530.00–0.000:330.00–0.002:450.30–0.006:070.06–0.023:260.02–0.000:300.00–0.02
Ohlund–Lundin1:590.00–0.101:580.00–0.000:520.00–0.002:430.00–0.001:390.00–0.015:460.00–0.012:250.00–0.002:560.00–0.180:490.00–0.02
Clark–Hedman1:290.00–0.061:200.11–0.001:260.11–0.000:590.06–0.000:580.03–0.000:340.03–0.001:040.00–0.064:040.09–0.061:180.04–0.002:530.16–0.060:300.08–0.000:430.00–0.00
Lundin–Hedman1:080.08–0.010:310.00–0.070:330.07–0.070:490.08–0.00
Ohlund–Hedman1:180.02–0.000:560.02–0.00
Jones–Hedman0:310.00–0.000:310.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndMalone FPurcell FMoore FDownie FSt. Louis FStamkos FHall FBergenheim FThompson FRitola FTyrell FJones FJones DKubina DOhlund DLundin DClark DHedman DSmith GPrust FFedotenko FBoyle FDubinsky FCallahan FAnisimov FGaborik FStepan FFrolov FBoogaard FAvery FChristensen FGirardi DStaal DEminger DDel Zotto DSauer DGilroy DLundqvist G
TBLNYRFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Dan GirardiNYR2724:080:542:0836
Marc StaalNYR2723:400:532:0816
Derek StepanNYR2121:421:022:2422
Marian GaborikNYR2320:170:531:3000
Mike LundinTBL2620:160:471:2625
Michael Del ZottoNYR2220:140:553:0723
Martin St. LouisTBL2120:080:582:2571
Pavel KubinaTBL2620:070:462:1735
Victor HedmanTBL2319:090:501:3930
Brett ClarkTBL2418:550:471:4481
Ryan CallahanNYR2018:270:551:3438
Ryan MaloneTBL2218:240:501:4173
Steven StamkosTBL1918:240:582:0971
Michael SauerNYR2218:210:501:3622
Randy JonesTBL2618:050:421:4125
Brandon DubinskyNYR2017:560:541:3445
Mattias OhlundTBL2217:190:471:1834
Steve DownieTBL1816:490:562:0251
Steve EmingerNYR2316:380:431:1027
Matt GilroyNYR2216:150:441:3620
Brian BoyleNYR1815:440:521:5035
Dominic MooreTBL2115:380:451:3243
Adam HallTBL2515:300:371:0424
Nate ThompsonTBL2315:280:401:0905
Teddy PurcellTBL1714:370:521:5661
Sean BergenheimTBL2214:250:391:1131
Dana TyrellTBL2213:360:371:0440
Alex FrolovNYR1513:350:541:3002
Ruslan FedotenkoNYR1913:290:431:1935
Brandon PrustNYR1713:030:461:1935
Erik ChristensenNYR1511:480:471:3220
Sean AveryNYR1210:220:521:2310
Artem AnisimovNYR139:400:451:0312
Blair JonesTBL118:340:471:0810
Mattias RitolaTBL128:040:401:2430
Derek BoogaardNYR86:520:521:2410