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Ice Lab

Fri, Nov 26, 2010·HSBC Arena, Buffalo

Toronto Maple Leafs 1, Buffalo Sabres 3

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

1

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 68% of the time.

BUF winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:55Gaustad: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Grier, Gaustad, Morrisonn, McCormick, Weber · TOR Kessel, Aulie, Gunnarsson, Bozak, Kadri

  3. P1 3:20Shot by Kaberle, saved by Miller4v5
  4. P1 4:14Kaleta: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: BUF Morrisonn, Kaleta, Gerbe, Weber, Adam · TOR Beauchemin, MacArthur, Grabovski, Kulemin, Schenn

  5. P1 4:14Schenn: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Morrisonn, Kaleta, Gerbe, Weber, Adam · TOR Beauchemin, MacArthur, Grabovski, Kulemin, Schenn

  6. P1 4:26Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Miller
  7. P1 4:50Orr: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Grier, Gaustad, Montador, McCormick, Weber · TOR Orr, Komisarek, Mitchell, Caputi, Gunnarsson

  8. P1 4:50Orr: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Grier, Gaustad, Montador, McCormick, Weber · TOR Orr, Komisarek, Mitchell, Caputi, Gunnarsson

  9. P1 4:50Orr: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Grier, Gaustad, Montador, McCormick, Weber · TOR Orr, Komisarek, Mitchell, Caputi, Gunnarsson

  10. P1 4:50Weber: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Grier, Gaustad, Montador, McCormick, Weber · TOR Orr, Komisarek, Mitchell, Caputi, Gunnarsson

  11. P1 5:38Shot by Kulemin, saved by Miller5v4
  12. P1 6:05Goal by Leopold (Sekera)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Gaustad, Sekera, Ennis, Adam · TOR Sjostrom, Mitchell, Aulie, Gunnarsson

  13. P1 6:21Versteeg: Elbowing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Roy, Pominville, Vanek, Gerbe, Myers · TOR Komisarek, Brent, Versteeg, Kessel, Aulie

  14. P1 6:42Shot by Gerbe, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  15. P1 7:17Shot by Vanek, saved by Gustavsson
  16. P1 7:50Goal by Vanek (Roy, Adam)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Roy, Pominville, Vanek, Ennis, Adam · TOR Kaberle, Komisarek, Sjostrom, Aulie

  17. P1 8:55Shot by Pominville, saved by Gustavsson
  18. P1 8:59Shot by Hecht, saved by Gustavsson
  19. P1 9:02Shot by Myers, saved by Gustavsson
  20. P1 11:04Shot by Kaberle, saved by Miller
  21. P1 11:15Weber: Charging (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Morrisonn, Roy, Vanek, Weber, Ennis · TOR Kaberle, Sjostrom, Brent, Versteeg, Kessel, Schenn

  22. P1 12:05Shot by Grier, saved by Gustavsson4v5
  23. P1 15:05Shot by Pominville, saved by Gustavsson
  24. P1 15:09Shot by Pominville, saved by Gustavsson
  25. P1 15:11Shot by Pominville, saved by Gustavsson
  26. P1 15:22Shot by Pominville, saved by Gustavsson
  27. P1 15:49Shot by Kessel, saved by Miller
  28. P1 18:14Shot by Ennis, saved by Gustavsson
  29. P1 18:19Shot by Ennis, saved by Gustavsson
  30. P1 18:31Shot by Vanek, saved by Gustavsson
  31. P1 19:29Shot by Stuart, saved by Gustavsson
  32. P1 0:00Period end
  33. P2 0:00Period start
  34. P2 0:30Shot by Pominville, saved by Gustavsson
  35. P2 1:45Shot by Kessel, saved by Miller
  36. P2 2:01Shot by Kadri, saved by Miller
  37. P2 2:52Shot by Vanek, saved by Gustavsson
  38. P2 3:02Shot by Morrisonn, saved by Gustavsson
  39. P2 3:12Shot by Brent, saved by Miller
  40. P2 3:47Shot by Adam, saved by Gustavsson
  41. P2 3:59Shot by Gerbe, saved by Gustavsson
  42. P2 4:49Grier: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Grier, Gaustad, McCormick, Sekera, Myers · TOR Kaberle, Kessel, Schenn, Bozak, Kadri

  43. P2 6:20Shot by Kulemin, saved by Miller4v5
  44. P2 7:00Shot by Komisarek, saved by Miller
  45. P2 8:14Shot by Aulie, saved by Miller
  46. P2 9:47Shot by Grabovski, saved by Miller
  47. P2 12:29Shot by Kulemin, saved by Miller
  48. P2 13:03Shot by Kulemin, saved by Miller
  49. P2 13:04Weber: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Morrisonn, Roy, Vanek, Weber, Ennis · TOR MacArthur, Grabovski, Kulemin, Aulie, Gunnarsson

  50. P2 13:50Shot by Kessel, saved by Miller4v5
  51. P2 16:36Shot by Orr, saved by Miller
  52. P2 18:03Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Miller
  53. P2 18:10Shot by Versteeg, saved by Miller
  54. P2 19:01Grier: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Grier, Gaustad, McCormick, Sekera, Myers · TOR Beauchemin, Versteeg, Grabovski, Kessel, Gunnarsson, Kadri

  55. P2 19:31Shot by Kulemin, saved by Miller4v5
  56. P2 19:59Shot by Kaberle, saved by Miller4v5
  57. P2 0:00Period end
  58. P3 0:00Period start
  59. P3 0:36Shot by Hecht, saved by Gustavsson4v5
  60. P3 2:17Shot by Kessel, saved by Miller
  61. P3 3:06Shot by MacArthur, saved by Miller
  62. P3 3:17Shot by MacArthur, saved by Miller
  63. P3 5:19Shot by Kessel, saved by Miller
  64. P3 5:43Shot by Grabovski, saved by Miller
  65. P3 5:59Shot by Kulemin, saved by Miller
  66. P3 7:45Shot by Vanek, saved by Gustavsson
  67. P3 8:14Shot by Grabovski, saved by Miller
  68. P3 8:21Shot by Grabovski, saved by Miller
  69. P3 8:40Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Miller
  70. P3 9:27Sekera: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BUF Grier, Gaustad, McCormick, Sekera, Myers · TOR Versteeg, Kessel, Gunnarsson, Schenn, Bozak, Kadri

  71. P3 9:58Shot by Grabovski, saved by Miller4v5
  72. P3 10:57Shot by Gaustad, saved by Gustavsson4v5
  73. P3 10:58Goal by Kaleta (Gaustad)4v5+4 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Gaustad, Montador, Kaleta · TOR Beauchemin, Kessel, Schenn, Bozak, Kadri

  74. P3 11:37Shot by Versteeg, saved by Miller
  75. P3 13:11Shot by Grier, saved by Gustavsson
  76. P3 13:54Shot by Roy, saved by Gustavsson
  77. P3 15:05Shot by Brent, saved by Miller
  78. P3 15:07Orr: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Grier, Leopold, Gaustad, Montador, McCormick · TOR Orr, Komisarek, Brent, Caputi, Gunnarsson

  79. P3 15:20Shot by Vanek, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  80. P3 16:29Shot by Kessel, saved by Miller5v4
  81. P3 16:33Goal by Kessel, unassisted5v4+1 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Leopold, Sekera, Ennis, Adam · TOR Kessel, Gunnarsson, Schenn, Bozak

  82. P3 19:53Shot by Versteeg, saved by Miller
  83. P3 19:58Shot by Kulemin, saved by Miller
  84. P3 0:00Period end
  85. P3 0:00Final