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Ice Lab

Sun, Dec 5, 2010·Madison Square Garden, New York

Ottawa Senators 3, New York Rangers 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 54% of the time.

NYR winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:17Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Lundqvist
  3. P1 0:30Shot by Phillips, saved by Lundqvist
  4. P1 1:14Shot by Kovalev, saved by Lundqvist
  5. P1 1:54Shot by Carkner, saved by Lundqvist
  6. P1 4:24Shot by Phillips, saved by Lundqvist
  7. P1 5:02Shot by Stepan, saved by Leclaire
  8. P1 6:49Shot by Fedotenko, saved by Leclaire
  9. P1 10:27Shot by Foligno, saved by Lundqvist
  10. P1 10:52Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Lundqvist
  11. P1 10:59Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Lundqvist
  12. P1 12:21Shot by Michalek, saved by Lundqvist
  13. P1 16:20Shot by Prust, saved by Leclaire
  14. P1 17:29Shot by Stepan, saved by Leclaire
  15. P1 17:35Shot by Callahan, saved by Leclaire
  16. P1 18:08Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Lundqvist
  17. P1 0:00Period end
  18. P2 0:00Period start
  19. P2 1:21Shot by Gaborik, saved by Leclaire
  20. P2 3:18Shot by Shannon, saved by Lundqvist
  21. P2 3:21Winchester: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Fedotenko, Eminger, Boyle, Prust, Sauer · OTT Kuba, Shannon, Foligno, Winchester, Karlsson

  22. P2 4:27Goal by Kelly, unassisted5v4+24 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Gaborik, Callahan, Staal, Anisimov, Stepan · OTT Alfredsson, Kuba, Phillips, Kelly

  23. P2 5:01Shot by Spezza, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  24. P2 6:11Shot by Kovalev, saved by Lundqvist
  25. P2 6:45Shot by Fedotenko, saved by Leclaire
  26. P2 6:48Shot by Boyle, saved by Leclaire
  27. P2 6:51Shot by Fedotenko, saved by Leclaire
  28. P2 8:32Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Leclaire
  29. P2 9:47Fedotenko: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Fedotenko, Eminger, Boyle, Prust, Sauer · OTT Kovalev, Fisher, Carkner, Campoli, Michalek

  30. P2 10:50Goal by Prust (Boyle, Girardi)4v5+25 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Boyle, Prust, Staal, Girardi · OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Spezza, Karlsson, Butler

  31. P2 11:56Shot by Kuba, saved by Lundqvist
  32. P2 12:21Shot by Dubinsky, saved by Leclaire
  33. P2 13:07Shot by Staal, saved by Leclaire
  34. P2 14:21Shot by Girardi, saved by Leclaire
  35. P2 14:25Shot by Stepan, saved by Leclaire
  36. P2 14:48Phillips: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Dubinsky, Callahan, Girardi, Del Zotto, Stepan · OTT Kovalev, Gonchar, Phillips, Fisher, Michalek

  37. P2 15:53Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  38. P2 16:54Shot by Fedotenko, saved by Leclaire
  39. P2 17:28Shot by Fedotenko, saved by Leclaire
  40. P2 17:29Shot by Fedotenko, saved by Leclaire
  41. P2 18:25Shot by Shannon, saved by Lundqvist
  42. P2 19:19Shot by Neil, saved by Lundqvist
  43. P2 0:00Period end
  44. P3 0:00Period start
  45. P3 0:51Shot by Dubinsky, saved by Leclaire
  46. P3 1:31Shot by Fisher, saved by Lundqvist
  47. P3 3:11Campoli: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Frolov, Boogaard, Girardi, Anisimov, Del Zotto · OTT Carkner, Campoli, Shannon, Foligno, Winchester

  48. P3 5:43Shot by Fedotenko, saved by Leclaire
  49. P3 5:44Gonchar: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Rozsival, Fedotenko, Boyle, Prust, Staal · OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Carkner, Spezza, Butler

  50. P3 6:42Shot by Callahan, saved by Leclaire5v4
  51. P3 7:38Shot by Girardi, saved by Leclaire5v4
  52. P3 7:43Shot by Frolov, saved by Leclaire5v4
  53. P3 7:57Shot by Anisimov, saved by Leclaire
  54. P3 9:21Shot by Fisher, saved by Lundqvist
  55. P3 10:57Shot by Callahan, saved by Leclaire
  56. P3 12:33Shot by Fisher, saved by Lundqvist
  57. P3 13:16Shot by Foligno, saved by Lundqvist
  58. P3 15:48Shot by Kovalev, saved by Lundqvist
  59. P3 17:36Goal by Kelly (Ruutu, Kuba)+42 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Avery, Gaborik, Eminger, Christensen, Sauer · OTT Kuba, Ruutu, Neil, Kelly, Campoli

  60. P3 18:57Shot by Stepan, saved by Leclaire6v5
  61. P3 19:59Goal by Kelly, unassisted6v5+3 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Rozsival, Gaborik, Dubinsky, Callahan, Staal, Stepan · OTT Alfredsson, Kuba, Phillips, Fisher, Kelly

  62. P3 0:00Period end
  63. P3 0:00Final