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Ice Lab

Centre · #22

Chris Kelly

Age
45
Shoots
Left
Height
183 cm
Weight
86 kg
Born
Toronto, CAN
Draft
1999, round 3, #94 (OTT)

Career · 2009–10 to 2017–18

Games
520
Goals
75
Points
170
TOI per game
14:19
xGF% (5v5)
49.4%
Goals above expected
+4.7

Season by season

The regular-season line for each season, with the total, by team for traded players.

2009–10OTT81151732−714:5811213.4%012.2–
2010–11OTT57121123−1215:398913.5%010.449.5%
2010–11BOS24235−114:52248.3%02.145.9%
2010–11All teams81141428−1315:2511312.4%012.548.5%
2011–12BOS82201939+3314:4412216.4%113.952.5%
2012–13BOS34369−814:58407.5%14.350.2%
2013–14BOS579918+214:426913.0%07.849.6%
2014–15BOS8072128+615:081126.3%010.952.8%
2015–16BOS11202+313:05825.0%00.843.1%
2016–17OTT825712−1711:56855.9%07.543.0%
2017–18ANA12022+17:4050.0%00.335.3%
Total3 teams5207595170014:1966611.3%270.349.4%

Form

Rolling averages smooth out single games so the trend shows.

Form, ten-game rolling

Points and individual expected goals per game (left scale), averaged over the previous ten games. Ice time is on the second chart.

Points per gameixG per gameTOI per game (minutes)
00.20.40.60.81100200300400500
6m8m10m12m14m16m18m100200300400500Game

Player card

How 2009–10 to 2017–18 compares with everyone else at the position over the same seasons, and the players with the most similar profile.

Overall rating

3rd line

41st percentile among qualified forwards, blending scoring 40%, play-driving 40%, usage 20%.

  1. 1st line
  2. 2nd line
  3. 3rd line
  4. 4th line
  5. Extra / AHL

Scoring

3rd line
  • Goals /600.6044th pct
  • Assists /600.7740th pct
  • ixG /600.5728th pct
  • Goals above expected+4.779th pct

Play-driving

3rd line
  • xGF% (5v5)49.4%51st pct
  • CF% (5v5)49.2%50th pct
  • Relative xGF%−2.731st pct
  • Penalty diff /600.0343rd pct

Usage

3rd line
  • TOI per game14:1957th pct
  • PP time share2.9%22nd pct
  • Offensive zone starts38.5%13th pct
  • Quality of competition23.7%38th pct

Percentiles among forwards with 200+ minutes at 5-on-5 and 20+ games. Ratings rank each column's average percentile among the same players and read it as a role on a depth chart (how).

Faceoffs

How often Kelly wins the draw over 2009–10 to 2017–18, against whom and where, and what a win leads to. Ranked among players with 1739+ draws over the same seasons.

Win rate

49.3%

2300–2368 · #120 of 187 regulars, 36th percentile

Against an average centre

49.3%

Opponents won 50.0% of their draws; an average centre would have won 50.0% against them.

Wins above average

−34

Draws won beyond what an average centre facing the same opponents would have won.

Draws per game

9.3

4,668 draws in all.

By dot, attacking to the right

51%787 · +0.351%700 · +1.539%546 · +1.352%210 · +1.144%173 · +1.158%236 · +0.341%166 · +0.954%1332 · +2.742%518 · +2.0Attacking zone →← Defending zone

Win rate at each dot; the small numbers are draws and the xG swing (×100) of winning rather than losing there.

By zone

  • Offensive zone46.1% 570–666
  • Neutral zone50.3% 790–781
  • Defensive zone50.5% 940–921

By strength

  • Even strength50.5% 1867–1830
  • Power play57.0% 57–43
  • Shorthanded43.3% 372–488

What a win leads to

Shot attempts in the next 20 seconds, for minus against, per 100 draws: +8 after a win, −17 after a loss. Each win was worth 1.5 expected goals per 100 draws more than a loss.

Most-faced opponents

Season by season

SeasonDrawsWin rateAgainst average
2009–1089045.7%45.8%
2010–1191650.9%50.7%
2011–1280951.8%51.5%
2012–1337357.9%57.9%
2013–1457948.9%49.2%
2014–1553948.6%48.5%
2015–165242.3%42.8%
2016–1750144.5%45.0%
2017–18922.2%23.3%

Finishing

Did the goals match the chances?

Goals against expected goals

Cumulative goals (solid) and individual xG (dashed) through the season. The gap is finishing: above the dashed line, the player scored more than an average shooter would from the same chances.

+4.7 goals above expected

020406080100200300400500Game

Goals above expected, everyone at the same position with 20+ games

−500+50+100