
- Age
- 45
- Shoots
- Left
- Height
- 183 cm
- Weight
- 86 kg
- Born
- Toronto, CAN
- Draft
- 1999, round 3, #94 (OTT)
Career · 2009–10 to 2017–18
- Games
- 520
- Goals
- 75
- Points
- 170
- TOI per game
- 14:19
- xGF% (5v5)
- 49.4%
- Goals above expected
- +4.7
Season by season
The regular-season line for each season, with the total, by team for traded players.
| 2009–10 | 81 | 15 | 17 | 32 | −7 | 14:58 | 112 | 13.4% | 0 | 12.2 | – | |
| 2010–11 | 57 | 12 | 11 | 23 | −12 | 15:39 | 89 | 13.5% | 0 | 10.4 | 49.5% | |
| 2010–11 | 24 | 2 | 3 | 5 | −1 | 14:52 | 24 | 8.3% | 0 | 2.1 | 45.9% | |
| 2010–11 | All teams | 81 | 14 | 14 | 28 | −13 | 15:25 | 113 | 12.4% | 0 | 12.5 | 48.5% |
| 2011–12 | 82 | 20 | 19 | 39 | +33 | 14:44 | 122 | 16.4% | 1 | 13.9 | 52.5% | |
| 2012–13 | 34 | 3 | 6 | 9 | −8 | 14:58 | 40 | 7.5% | 1 | 4.3 | 50.2% | |
| 2013–14 | 57 | 9 | 9 | 18 | +2 | 14:42 | 69 | 13.0% | 0 | 7.8 | 49.6% | |
| 2014–15 | 80 | 7 | 21 | 28 | +6 | 15:08 | 112 | 6.3% | 0 | 10.9 | 52.8% | |
| 2015–16 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 13:05 | 8 | 25.0% | 0 | 0.8 | 43.1% | |
| 2016–17 | 82 | 5 | 7 | 12 | −17 | 11:56 | 85 | 5.9% | 0 | 7.5 | 43.0% | |
| 2017–18 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 7:40 | 5 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.3 | 35.3% | |
| Total | 3 teams | 520 | 75 | 95 | 170 | 0 | 14:19 | 666 | 11.3% | 2 | 70.3 | 49.4% |
Form
Rolling averages smooth out single games so the trend shows.
Points and individual expected goals per game (left scale), averaged over the previous ten games. Ice time is on the second chart.
Player card
How 2009–10 to 2017–18 compares with everyone else at the position over the same seasons, and the players with the most similar profile.
Overall rating
3rd line
41st percentile among qualified forwards, blending scoring 40%, play-driving 40%, usage 20%.
- 1st line
- 2nd line
- 3rd line
- 4th line
- Extra / AHL
Scoring
3rd line- Goals /600.6044th pct
- Assists /600.7740th pct
- ixG /600.5728th pct
- Goals above expected+4.779th pct
Play-driving
3rd line- xGF% (5v5)49.4%51st pct
- CF% (5v5)49.2%50th pct
- Relative xGF%−2.731st pct
- Penalty diff /600.0343rd pct
Usage
3rd line- TOI per game14:1957th pct
- PP time share2.9%22nd pct
- Offensive zone starts38.5%13th pct
- Quality of competition23.7%38th pct
Percentiles among forwards with 200+ minutes at 5-on-5 and 20+ games. Ratings rank each column's average percentile among the same players and read it as a role on a depth chart (how).
Faceoffs
How often Kelly wins the draw over 2009–10 to 2017–18, against whom and where, and what a win leads to. Ranked among players with 1739+ draws over the same seasons.
Win rate
49.3%
2300–2368 · #120 of 187 regulars, 36th percentile
Against an average centre
49.3%
Opponents won 50.0% of their draws; an average centre would have won 50.0% against them.
Wins above average
−34
Draws won beyond what an average centre facing the same opponents would have won.
Draws per game
9.3
4,668 draws in all.
By dot, attacking to the right
Win rate at each dot; the small numbers are draws and the xG swing (×100) of winning rather than losing there.
By zone
- Offensive zone46.1% 570–666
- Neutral zone50.3% 790–781
- Defensive zone50.5% 940–921
By strength
- Even strength50.5% 1867–1830
- Power play57.0% 57–43
- Shorthanded43.3% 372–488
What a win leads to
Shot attempts in the next 20 seconds, for minus against, per 100 draws: +8 after a win, −17 after a loss. Each win was worth 1.5 expected goals per 100 draws more than a loss.
Most-faced opponents
- Tyler Bozak43.0% 34–45
- Tomas Plekanec41.9% 31–43
- David Desharnais57.6% 38–28
- Scott Gomez50.0% 31–31
- John Tavares31.7% 19–41
- Mikhail Grabovski59.6% 34–23
- Sidney Crosby36.8% 21–36
- Derek Roy58.2% 32–23
Season by season
| Season | Draws | Win rate | Against average |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2009–10 | 890 | 45.7% | 45.8% |
| 2010–11 | 916 | 50.9% | 50.7% |
| 2011–12 | 809 | 51.8% | 51.5% |
| 2012–13 | 373 | 57.9% | 57.9% |
| 2013–14 | 579 | 48.9% | 49.2% |
| 2014–15 | 539 | 48.6% | 48.5% |
| 2015–16 | 52 | 42.3% | 42.8% |
| 2016–17 | 501 | 44.5% | 45.0% |
| 2017–18 | 9 | 22.2% | 23.3% |
Cumulative goals (solid) and individual xG (dashed) through the season. The gap is finishing: above the dashed line, the player scored more than an average shooter would from the same chances.
+4.7 goals above expected
Goals above expected, everyone at the same position with 20+ games