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Ice Lab

Mon, Dec 20, 2010·St. Pete Times Forum, Tampa

Carolina Hurricanes 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 77% of the time.

TBL winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:13Shot by Corvo, saved by Ellis
  3. P1 1:15Shot by Ruutu, saved by Ellis
  4. P1 1:16Hedman: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Clark, St. Louis, Malone, Stamkos, Hedman · CAR Corvo, Ruutu, Gleason, Jokinen, Staal

  5. P1 1:16Jokinen: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Clark, St. Louis, Malone, Stamkos, Hedman · CAR Corvo, Ruutu, Gleason, Jokinen, Staal

  6. P1 2:25Shot by LaRose, saved by Ellis4v4
  7. P1 2:26Clark: Tripping (2 min)4v4

    On ice: TBL Clark, Kubina, St. Louis, Lecavalier · CAR Corvo, Gleason, LaRose, Sutter

  8. P1 2:42Shot by Samsonov, saved by Ellis3v4
  9. P1 5:08Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Peters
  10. P1 5:48Goal by Moore (Purcell, Tyrell)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Ohlund, Moore, Lundin, Purcell, Tyrell · CAR Corvo, Ruutu, Harrison, Carter, Boychuk

  11. P1 6:01Shot by Hall, saved by Peters
  12. P1 6:57Shot by Stamkos, saved by Peters
  13. P1 7:23Shot by Stamkos, saved by Peters
  14. P1 8:48Shot by Pitkanen, saved by Ellis
  15. P1 9:14Shot by Hall, saved by Peters
  16. P1 9:31Shot by Gleason, saved by Ellis
  17. P1 10:14Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Peters
  18. P1 10:24Shot by Skinner, saved by Ellis
  19. P1 11:16Shot by LaRose, saved by Ellis
  20. P1 11:53Shot by Stamkos, saved by Peters
  21. P1 13:02Shot by Purcell, saved by Peters
  22. P1 14:13Shot by Gleason, saved by Ellis
  23. P1 14:15Kubina: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Kubina, Lecavalier, Gagne, Bergenheim, Jones · CAR Corvo, Ruutu, Gleason, Jokinen, Sutter

  24. P1 14:14Shot by Ruutu, saved by Ellis
  25. P1 15:52Goal by Samsonov (Skinner, Cole)4v5+17 pts WP

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Lundin, Stamkos, Hedman · CAR Samsonov, Corvo, Cole, Pitkanen, Skinner

  26. P1 19:12Shot by Moore, saved by Peters
  27. P1 19:59Goal by St. Louis (Malone, Moore)+19 pts WP

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Malone, Lundin, Stamkos, Hedman · CAR Samsonov, LaRose, Pitkanen, White, Dwyer

  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 2:32Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Peters
  31. P2 2:43Shot by Tyrell, saved by Peters
  32. P2 3:27Shot by Moore, saved by Peters
  33. P2 5:04Shot by Staal, saved by Ellis
  34. P2 5:30Shot by Hall, saved by Peters
  35. P2 6:06Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Peters
  36. P2 10:09Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Peters
  37. P2 11:21Shot by St. Louis, saved by Peters
  38. P2 11:33Shot by Stamkos, saved by Peters
  39. P2 12:08Stamkos: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Kubina, St. Louis, Moore, Stamkos, Hedman · CAR Samsonov, LaRose, Pitkanen, Dwyer, McBain

  40. P2 13:27Shot by Skinner, saved by Ellis4v5
  41. P2 14:51Goal by Clark (St. Louis, Hedman)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Clark, St. Louis, Malone, Stamkos, Hedman · CAR Corvo, Gleason, LaRose, Dwyer, Sutter

  42. P2 15:12Skinner: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Ohlund, Lecavalier, Gagne, Bergenheim, Lundin · CAR Cole, Harrison, White, Staal, Skinner

  43. P2 16:16Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Peters5v4
  44. P2 16:24Shot by St. Louis, saved by Peters5v4
  45. P2 16:26Goal by Stamkos (St. Louis, Purcell)5v4+6 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Clark, St. Louis, Malone, Purcell, Stamkos · CAR Harrison, LaRose, Pitkanen, Carter

  46. P2 17:02Shot by Hall, saved by Peters
  47. P2 17:09Shot by Tyrell, saved by Peters
  48. P2 17:49Carter: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Kubina, Malone, Moore, Jones, Purcell · CAR Harrison, White, Bodie, Carter, Boychuk

  49. P2 18:04Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Peters5v4
  50. P2 18:36Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Peters5v4
  51. P2 18:58Goal by Bergenheim (Clark, Lecavalier)5v4+2 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Clark, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Bergenheim, Stamkos · CAR Gleason, LaRose, Staal, McBain

  52. P2 19:17Shot by Hall, saved by Peters
  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 2:11Shot by Dwyer, saved by Ellis
  56. P3 3:36Shot by Pitkanen, saved by Ellis
  57. P3 3:44Shot by Ruutu, saved by Ellis
  58. P3 5:18Shot by White, saved by Ellis
  59. P3 6:00Smaby: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TBL Kubina, St. Louis, Moore, Smaby, Purcell · CAR Corvo, Gleason, Bodie, Carter, Boychuk

  60. P3 6:00Bodie: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Kubina, St. Louis, Moore, Smaby, Purcell · CAR Corvo, Gleason, Bodie, Carter, Boychuk

  61. P3 6:06Shot by Boychuk, saved by Ellis
  62. P3 6:34Shot by Boychuk, saved by Ellis
  63. P3 7:56Moore: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Ohlund, Moore, Bergenheim, Lundin, Purcell · CAR Samsonov, Harrison, LaRose, White, Dwyer

  64. P3 8:15Shot by Ruutu, saved by Ellis4v5
  65. P3 9:21Shot by Skinner, saved by Ellis4v5
  66. P3 14:30Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Peters
  67. P3 14:48Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Peters
  68. P3 14:50Pitkanen: Penalty shot slash on breakaway (0 min)

    On ice: TBL Ohlund, Gagne, Bergenheim, Purcell, Hedman · CAR Jokinen, Pitkanen, McBain, Carter, Boychuk

  69. P3 14:50Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Petersother
  70. P3 14:55Shot by Purcell, saved by Peters
  71. P3 16:10Shot by Corvo, saved by Ellis
  72. P3 16:22Corvo: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Smaby, Lundin, Tyrell, Stamkos · CAR Corvo, Ruutu, Gleason, Sutter, Skinner

  73. P3 17:42Shot by Stamkos, saved by Peters5v4
  74. P3 19:28Moore: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TBL Kubina, Moore, Bergenheim, Smaby, Purcell · CAR Harrison, White, Bodie, Carter, Sutter, Boychuk

  75. P3 0:00Period end
  76. P3 0:00Final