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Ice Lab

Wed, Dec 22, 2010·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit

Vancouver Canucks 4, Detroit Red Wings 5 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 51% of the time.

DET winsVAN wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:34Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Luongo
  3. P1 1:33Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Luongo
  4. P1 2:22Shot by Salei, saved by Luongo
  5. P1 2:42Shot by Ericsson, saved by Luongo
  6. P1 3:13Shot by Kesler, saved by Howard
  7. P1 4:20Shot by Franzen, saved by Luongo
  8. P1 4:24Shot by Stuart, saved by Luongo
  9. P1 4:34Shot by Torres, saved by Howard
  10. P1 5:33Shot by Eaves, saved by Luongo
  11. P1 6:14Shot by Edler, saved by Howard
  12. P1 6:21Shot by Lidstrom, saved by Luongo
  13. P1 7:11Shot by Burrows, saved by Howard
  14. P1 7:29Shot by Burrows, saved by Howard
  15. P1 7:38Shot by Tambellini, saved by Howard
  16. P1 7:45Shot by Tambellini, saved by Howard
  17. P1 8:12Goal by Cleary (Bertuzzi, Rafalski)+15 pts WP

    On ice: DET Bertuzzi, Cleary, Rafalski, Zetterberg, Ericsson · VAN Ehrhoff, Kesler, Tambellini, Edler, Hansen

  18. P1 8:27Shot by Malhotra, saved by Howard
  19. P1 8:30Shot by Torres, saved by Howard
  20. P1 8:59Shot by Franzen, saved by Luongo
  21. P1 9:24Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Howard
  22. P1 9:53Shot by Helm, saved by Luongo
  23. P1 10:04Shot by Glass, saved by Howard
  24. P1 10:49Shot by Rafalski, saved by Luongo
  25. P1 13:04Shot by Lidstrom, saved by Luongo
  26. P1 13:56Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Luongo
  27. P1 15:35Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Howard
  28. P1 15:53Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Howard
  29. P1 16:31Shot by Bieksa, saved by Howard
  30. P1 17:16Shot by Burrows, saved by Howard
  31. P1 19:52Shot by Sedin, saved by Howard
  32. P1 19:59Shot by Sedin, saved by Howard
  33. P1 0:00Period end
  34. P2 0:00Period start
  35. P2 0:27Shot by Tambellini, saved by Howard
  36. P2 0:41Shot by Tambellini, saved by Howard
  37. P2 0:53Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Howard
  38. P2 0:56Rafalski: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Bertuzzi, Cleary, Rafalski, Zetterberg, Ericsson · VAN Ehrhoff, Kesler, Tambellini, Edler, Hansen

  39. P2 1:11Goal by Sedin (Kesler, Sedin)4v5+17 pts WP

    On ice: DET Lidstrom, Stuart, Eaves, Helm · VAN Sedin, Sedin, Ehrhoff, Kesler, Edler

  40. P2 1:47Shot by Franzen, saved by Luongo5v4
  41. P2 1:35Bieksa: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Salei, Kronwall, Filppula, Hudler, Abdelkader · VAN Malhotra, Samuelsson, Torres, Hamhuis, Bieksa

  42. P2 2:30Shot by Franzen, saved by Luongo5v4
  43. P2 2:56Holmstrom: High sticking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DET Lidstrom, Holmstrom, Rafalski, Zetterberg, Franzen · VAN Hamhuis, Ehrhoff, Burrows, Kesler

  44. P2 3:23Shot by Salei, saved by Luongo4v4
  45. P2 5:28Shot by Kronwall, saved by Luongo
  46. P2 6:29Goal by Filppula (Cleary, Ericsson)+21 pts WP

    On ice: DET Bertuzzi, Cleary, Rafalski, Filppula, Ericsson · VAN Malhotra, Torres, Hamhuis, Rome, Glass

  47. P2 6:57Shot by Helm, saved by Luongo
  48. P2 6:57Samuelsson: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Salei, Kronwall, Eaves, Miller, Helm · VAN Malhotra, Samuelsson, Torres, Hamhuis, Bieksa

  49. P2 8:54Shot by Filppula, saved by Luongo5v4
  50. P2 9:20Shot by Franzen, saved by Luongo
  51. P2 10:05Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Howard
  52. P2 10:15Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Howard
  53. P2 10:33Filppula: Closing hand on puck (2 min)

    On ice: DET Lidstrom, Bertuzzi, Cleary, Stuart, Filppula · VAN Sedin, Sedin, Ehrhoff, Burrows, Edler

  54. P2 10:49Shot by Kesler, saved by Howard4v5
  55. P2 11:21Shot by Kesler, saved by Howard4v5
  56. P2 11:21Goal by Sedin (Kesler, Ehrhoff)4v5+21 pts WP

    On ice: DET Lidstrom, Stuart, Eaves, Helm · VAN Sedin, Sedin, Ehrhoff, Kesler, Edler

  57. P2 12:37Shot by Volpatti, saved by Howard
  58. P2 13:17Shot by Tambellini, saved by Howard
  59. P2 13:25Shot by Helm, saved by Luongo
  60. P2 17:41Shot by Franzen, saved by Luongo
  61. P2 18:32Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Luongo
  62. P2 18:45Shot by Bieksa, saved by Howard
  63. P2 19:39Goal by Samuelsson (Sedin)+29 pts WP

    On ice: DET Lidstrom, Bertuzzi, Stuart, Filppula, Eaves · VAN Samuelsson, Sedin, Torres, Ballard, Rome

  64. P2 0:00Period end
  65. P3 0:00Period start
  66. P3 0:36Shot by Sedin, saved by Howard
  67. P3 0:57Shot by Burrows, saved by Howard
  68. P3 1:54Goal by Zetterberg (Kronwall, Salei)+29 pts WP

    On ice: DET Salei, Zetterberg, Kronwall, Hudler, Abdelkader · VAN Malhotra, Samuelsson, Torres, Ballard, Rome

  69. P3 2:16Shot by Miller, saved by Luongo
  70. P3 2:41Shot by Franzen, saved by Luongo
  71. P3 4:44Shot by Eaves, saved by Luongo
  72. P3 5:22Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Luongo
  73. P3 5:30Edler: High sticking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: DET Holmstrom, Rafalski, Zetterberg, Filppula, Ericsson, Franzen · VAN Ehrhoff, Kesler, Tambellini, Edler, Hansen

  74. P3 7:17Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Luongo5v4
  75. P3 7:33Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Luongo
  76. P3 7:41Shot by Glass, saved by Howard
  77. P3 8:20Shot by Stuart, saved by Luongo
  78. P3 9:16Shot by Franzen, saved by Luongo
  79. P3 9:35Shot by Rafalski, saved by Luongo
  80. P3 9:50Shot by Filppula, saved by Luongo
  81. P3 10:00Shot by Hansen, saved by Howard
  82. P3 11:46Shot by Kesler, saved by Howard
  83. P3 12:10Goal by Tambellini (Kesler)+35 pts WP

    On ice: DET Rafalski, Zetterberg, Hudler, Ericsson, Abdelkader · VAN Ehrhoff, Kesler, Tambellini, Edler, Hansen

  84. P3 13:03Shot by Franzen, saved by Luongo
  85. P3 13:35Shot by Eaves, saved by Luongo
  86. P3 13:42Shot by Ericsson, saved by Luongo
  87. P3 15:05Shot by Stuart, saved by Luongo
  88. P3 15:09Burrows: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Lidstrom, Holmstrom, Stuart, Filppula, Franzen · VAN Sedin, Sedin, Ballard, Rome, Burrows

  89. P3 16:06Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Luongo5v4
  90. P3 16:06Goal by Lidstrom (Zetterberg, Rafalski)5v4+41 pts WP

    On ice: DET Lidstrom, Holmstrom, Rafalski, Zetterberg, Franzen · VAN Hamhuis, Bieksa, Kesler, Glass

  91. P3 16:55Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Luongo
  92. P3 18:24Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Luongo
  93. P3 18:54Shot by Edler, saved by Howard
  94. P3 19:19Shot by Sedin, saved by Howard
  95. P3 0:00Period end
  96. OT 0:00Period start
  97. OT 2:41Shot by Ballard, saved by Howard4v4
  98. OT 2:59Goal by Zetterberg (Rafalski, Helm)4v4+53 pts WP

    On ice: DET Rafalski, Zetterberg, Ericsson, Helm · VAN Malhotra, Ehrhoff, Edler, Hansen

  99. OT 2:59Period end
  100. OT 2:59Final