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Ice Lab

Fri, Dec 31, 2010·Nationwide Arena, Columbus

Ottawa Senators 3, Columbus Blue Jackets 4 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 61% of the time.

CBJ winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:34Shot by Neil, saved by Mason
  3. P1 1:56Kovalev: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ MacKenzie, Hejda, Russell, Boll, Dorsett · OTT Kovalev, Gonchar, Regin, Shannon, Karlsson

  4. P1 2:05Shot by Umberger, saved by Elliott5v4
  5. P1 2:38Shot by Umberger, saved by Elliott5v4
  6. P1 4:08Shot by Kovalev, saved by Mason
  7. P1 4:10Clark: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Moreau, Clark, Pahlsson, Tyutin, Stralman · OTT Kovalev, Gonchar, Kelly, Michalek, Lee

  8. P1 4:44Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Mason4v5
  9. P1 5:22Shot by Dorsett, saved by Elliott4v5
  10. P1 5:26Karlsson: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: CBJ Pahlsson, Tyutin, Hejda, Dorsett · OTT Kovalev, Gonchar, Kelly, Michalek, Karlsson

  11. P1 5:32Shot by Voracek, saved by Elliott4v4
  12. P1 6:17Shot by Brassard, saved by Elliott5v4
  13. P1 6:47Shot by Huselius, saved by Elliott5v4
  14. P1 7:47Shot by Kelly, saved by Mason
  15. P1 10:45Goal by Umberger (Tyutin, Voracek)+16 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Umberger, Tyutin, Stralman, Brassard, Voracek · OTT Phillips, Neil, Kelly, Michalek, Karlsson

  16. P1 10:58Shot by Shannon, saved by Mason
  17. P1 13:38Shot by Smith, saved by Mason
  18. P1 13:44Shot by Smith, saved by Mason
  19. P1 13:48Methot: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Klesla, Umberger, Methot, Brassard, Voracek · OTT Gonchar, Lee, O'Brien, Smith, Winchester

  20. P1 16:08Shot by O'Brien, saved by Mason
  21. P1 16:18Shot by Winchester, saved by Mason
  22. P1 16:36Alfredsson: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Moreau, Clark, Pahlsson, Klesla, Methot · OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Fisher, Lee, Foligno

  23. P1 18:14Shot by Fisher, saved by Mason5v4
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 1:05Shot by Regin, saved by Mason
  27. P2 1:47Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Mason
  28. P2 3:30Dorsett: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CBJ MacKenzie, Hejda, Russell, Boll, Dorsett · OTT Gonchar, Lee, O'Brien, Smith, Winchester

  29. P2 3:30Lee: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ MacKenzie, Hejda, Russell, Boll, Dorsett · OTT Gonchar, Lee, O'Brien, Smith, Winchester

  30. P2 3:30Lee: Fighting (5 min)4v4

    On ice: CBJ MacKenzie, Hejda, Russell, Boll, Dorsett · OTT Gonchar, Lee, O'Brien, Smith, Winchester

  31. P2 3:30Dorsett: Fighting (5 min)4v4

    On ice: CBJ MacKenzie, Hejda, Russell, Boll, Dorsett · OTT Gonchar, Lee, O'Brien, Smith, Winchester

  32. P2 5:03Clark: High sticking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: CBJ Moreau, Clark, Pahlsson, Klesla, Methot · OTT Kovalev, Gonchar, Alfredsson, Fisher, Campoli, Foligno

  33. P2 5:56Shot by Regin, saved by Mason4v5
  34. P2 6:21Shot by Foligno, saved by Mason4v5
  35. P2 6:31Shot by Shannon, saved by Mason4v5
  36. P2 8:19Shot by Michalek, saved by Mason
  37. P2 8:48Carkner: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Huselius, Tyutin, Nash, Stralman, Brassard · OTT Alfredsson, Phillips, Carkner, Kelly, Michalek

  38. P2 10:41Shot by Voracek, saved by Elliott5v4
  39. P2 11:19Shot by O'Brien, saved by Mason
  40. P2 11:44Shot by Nash, saved by Elliott
  41. P2 12:13Goal by Pahlsson (Clark)+16 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Moreau, Clark, Pahlsson, Klesla, Methot · OTT Alfredsson, Phillips, Regin, Foligno, Karlsson

  42. P2 14:59Shot by Smith, saved by Mason
  43. P2 15:12Shot by Nash, saved by Elliott
  44. P2 15:27Goal by Nash (Huselius, Vermette)+7 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Huselius, Vermette, Tyutin, Nash, Methot · OTT Alfredsson, Phillips, Fisher, Lee, Foligno

  45. P2 16:40Shot by Kelly, saved by Mason
  46. P2 17:18Shot by Brassard, saved by Elliott
  47. P2 17:28Shot by Carkner, saved by Mason
  48. P2 17:51Shot by Boll, saved by Elliott
  49. P2 17:59Shot by Dorsett, saved by Elliott
  50. P2 18:53Shot by Gonchar, saved by Mason
  51. P2 18:57Goal by Fisher, unassisted+6 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Moreau, Clark, Pahlsson, Klesla, Methot · OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Fisher, Campoli, Regin

  52. P2 19:58Shot by Huselius, saved by Elliott
  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 1:06Shot by Huselius, saved by Elliott
  56. P3 1:18Goal by Foligno (Winchester, Neil)+15 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Umberger, Hejda, Russell, Brassard, Voracek · OTT Phillips, Neil, Foligno, Winchester, Karlsson

  57. P3 2:21Shot by Foligno, saved by Mason
  58. P3 2:29Shot by Foligno, saved by Mason
  59. P3 3:28Shot by O'Brien, saved by Mason
  60. P3 4:09Shot by Fisher, saved by Mason
  61. P3 4:15Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Mason
  62. P3 4:56Shot by Dorsett, saved by Elliott
  63. P3 6:52Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Mason
  64. P3 7:22Shot by Smith, saved by Mason
  65. P3 8:25Shot by Voracek, saved by Elliott
  66. P3 9:28Shot by Moreau, saved by Elliott
  67. P3 10:24Shot by Fisher, saved by Mason
  68. P3 13:25Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Mason
  69. P3 18:45Shot by Kovalev, saved by Mason5v6
  70. P3 18:48Shot by Michalek, saved by Mason5v6
  71. P3 18:49Goal by Alfredsson (Michalek, Kovalev)5v6+46 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Huselius, Klesla, Vermette, Nash, Methot · OTT Kovalev, Alfredsson, Phillips, Kelly, Campoli, Michalek

  72. P3 19:53Shot by Foligno, saved by Mason
  73. P3 0:00Period end
  74. OT 0:00Period start
  75. OT 1:18Shot by Russell, saved by Elliott4v4
  76. OT 1:32Shot by Kovalev, saved by Mason4v4
  77. OT 1:50Shot by Regin, saved by Mason4v4
  78. OT 1:57Shot by Brassard, saved by Elliott4v4
  79. OT 2:06Goal by Voracek, unassisted4v4+53 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Tyutin, Stralman, Brassard, Voracek · OTT Kovalev, Fisher, Campoli, Karlsson

  80. OT 2:06Period end
  81. OT 2:06Final