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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 1, 2011·Scotiabank Place, Ottawa

Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Ottawa Senators 1

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

5

Final

Home

Ottawa Senators

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 66% of the time.

OTT winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:01Shot by Neil, saved by Reimer
  3. P1 1:09Shot by Karlsson, saved by Reimer
  4. P1 1:57Goal by MacArthur (Kaberle)+17 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Alfredsson, Phillips, Fisher, Regin, Karlsson · TOR Kaberle, MacArthur, Grabovski, Kulemin, Schenn

  5. P1 3:03Shot by Michalek, saved by Reimer
  6. P1 3:04Shot by Kovalev, saved by Reimer
  7. P1 4:01Shot by Michalek, saved by Reimer
  8. P1 5:49Shot by Grabovski, saved by Elliott
  9. P1 6:12Shannon: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Kuba, Carkner, Shannon, O'Brien, Smith · TOR Kaberle, Orr, Sjostrom, Brent, Schenn

  10. P1 6:47Shot by Crabb, saved by Elliott4v5
  11. P1 8:17Shot by Phillips, saved by Reimer
  12. P1 8:59Shot by Foligno, saved by Reimer
  13. P1 9:07Orr: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Neil, Campoli, Foligno, Winchester · TOR Orr, Komisarek, Sjostrom, Brent, Gunnarsson

  14. P1 9:07Neil: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Neil, Campoli, Foligno, Winchester · TOR Orr, Komisarek, Sjostrom, Brent, Gunnarsson

  15. P1 9:46Shot by Kessel, saved by Elliott4v4
  16. P1 9:47Shot by Bozak, saved by Elliott4v4
  17. P1 12:24Goal by Bozak (Crabb, Kessel)+14 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Phillips, Foligno, O'Brien, Winchester, Karlsson · TOR Beauchemin, Crabb, Phaneuf, Kessel, Bozak

  18. P1 15:01Shot by Carkner, saved by Reimer
  19. P1 15:21Goal by Bozak (Crabb, Kessel)+9 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Alfredsson, Phillips, Fisher, Carkner, Regin · TOR Beauchemin, Crabb, Phaneuf, Kessel, Bozak

  20. P1 15:32Shot by Foligno, saved by Reimer
  21. P1 15:37Shot by Kuba, saved by Reimer
  22. P1 16:25Carkner: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: OTT Kovalev, Carkner, Kelly, Campoli, Michalek · TOR Kaberle, Orr, Sjostrom, Brent, Schenn

  23. P1 16:25Orr: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Kovalev, Carkner, Kelly, Campoli, Michalek · TOR Kaberle, Orr, Sjostrom, Brent, Schenn

  24. P1 16:25Carkner: Elbowing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Kovalev, Carkner, Kelly, Campoli, Michalek · TOR Kaberle, Orr, Sjostrom, Brent, Schenn

  25. P1 16:31Shot by Kessel, saved by Brodeur4v5
  26. P1 16:46Shot by Crabb, saved by Brodeur4v5
  27. P1 17:03Shot by MacArthur, saved by Brodeur4v5
  28. P1 19:05Boyce: Kneeing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Neil, Foligno, Smith, Karlsson · TOR Sjostrom, Armstrong, Boyce, Gunnarsson, Schenn

  29. P1 19:23Shot by Fisher, saved by Reimer5v4
  30. P1 19:43Grabovski: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: OTT Kovalev, Gonchar, Alfredsson, Fisher, Karlsson · TOR Beauchemin, Phaneuf, Grabovski, Kulemin

  31. P1 0:00Period end
  32. P2 0:00Period start
  33. P2 0:41Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Reimer5v3
  34. P2 0:58Shot by Gonchar, saved by Reimer5v3
  35. P2 1:41Shot by Fisher, saved by Reimer5v4
  36. P2 3:17Shot by Versteeg, saved by Brodeur
  37. P2 3:18Goal by Boyce (Versteeg, Armstrong)+3 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Kuba, Neil, Campoli, Foligno, Winchester · TOR Kaberle, Armstrong, Boyce, Versteeg, Schenn

  38. P2 4:22Shot by Shannon, saved by Reimer
  39. P2 5:16Shot by Kelly, saved by Reimer
  40. P2 5:46Goal by Schenn (Kaberle, Kulemin)+1 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Neil, Campoli, Foligno, Winchester · TOR Kaberle, MacArthur, Grabovski, Kulemin, Schenn

  41. P2 6:02Smith: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Kuba, Carkner, Shannon, O'Brien, Smith · TOR Komisarek, Armstrong, Boyce, Versteeg, Gunnarsson

  42. P2 8:54Shot by Neil, saved by Reimer
  43. P2 9:29Shot by Carkner, saved by Reimer
  44. P2 11:17Shot by MacArthur, saved by Brodeur
  45. P2 11:33Komisarek: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Neil, Campoli, Foligno, Winchester · TOR Komisarek, Armstrong, Boyce, Versteeg, Gunnarsson

  46. P2 11:49Shot by Bozak, saved by Brodeur5v4
  47. P2 12:50Beauchemin: High sticking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: OTT Kovalev, Gonchar, Kuba, Neil, Foligno · TOR Beauchemin, Phaneuf, Grabovski, Kulemin

  48. P2 13:00Goal by Gonchar (Karlsson, Alfredsson)5v3+1 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Kovalev, Gonchar, Alfredsson, Fisher, Karlsson · TOR Brent, Gunnarsson, Schenn

  49. P2 14:29Fisher: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Fisher, Neil, Karlsson · TOR Komisarek, Sjostrom, Brent, Phaneuf

  50. P2 14:29Alfredsson: Slashing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Fisher, Neil, Karlsson · TOR Komisarek, Sjostrom, Brent, Phaneuf

  51. P2 14:29Phaneuf: Roughing (2 min)3v4

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Fisher, Neil, Karlsson · TOR Komisarek, Sjostrom, Brent, Phaneuf

  52. P2 15:49Shot by Kessel, saved by Brodeur4v5
  53. P2 17:37Shot by O'Brien, saved by Reimer
  54. P2 17:41Shot by Carkner, saved by Reimer
  55. P2 17:52Shot by Kuba, saved by Reimer
  56. P2 0:00Period end
  57. P3 0:00Period start
  58. P3 2:10Shot by Carkner, saved by Reimer
  59. P3 3:10Shot by Neil, saved by Reimer
  60. P3 3:36Shot by Foligno, saved by Reimer
  61. P3 3:58Shot by Grabovski, saved by Brodeur
  62. P3 4:01Shot by MacArthur, saved by Brodeur
  63. P3 6:23Kovalev: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: OTT Kovalev, Gonchar, Campoli, Michalek, Winchester · TOR Beauchemin, Crabb, Brent, Phaneuf, Grabovski, Kessel

  64. P3 10:35Shot by O'Brien, saved by Reimer
  65. P3 11:39Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Brodeur
  66. P3 12:26Orr: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Neil, Campoli, Foligno, Winchester · TOR Beauchemin, Orr, Sjostrom, Brent, Phaneuf

  67. P3 12:26Neil: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Neil, Campoli, Foligno, Winchester · TOR Beauchemin, Orr, Sjostrom, Brent, Phaneuf

  68. P3 12:26Neil: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Neil, Campoli, Foligno, Winchester · TOR Beauchemin, Orr, Sjostrom, Brent, Phaneuf

  69. P3 12:26Phaneuf: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Neil, Campoli, Foligno, Winchester · TOR Beauchemin, Orr, Sjostrom, Brent, Phaneuf

  70. P3 12:26Orr: Cross checking (2 min)3v3

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Neil, Campoli, Foligno, Winchester · TOR Beauchemin, Orr, Sjostrom, Brent, Phaneuf

  71. P3 12:26Foligno: Roughing (2 min)4v3

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Neil, Campoli, Foligno, Winchester · TOR Beauchemin, Orr, Sjostrom, Brent, Phaneuf

  72. P3 12:26Orr: Misconduct (10 min)3v4

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Neil, Campoli, Foligno, Winchester · TOR Beauchemin, Orr, Sjostrom, Brent, Phaneuf

  73. P3 13:05Shot by Winchester, saved by Reimer5v4
  74. P3 13:55Shot by Karlsson, saved by Reimer5v4
  75. P3 14:45Shot by Kaberle, saved by Brodeur
  76. P3 16:06Shot by Gonchar, saved by Reimer
  77. P3 16:29Shot by Versteeg, saved by Brodeur
  78. P3 17:04Shot by Shannon, saved by Reimer
  79. P3 17:25Shot by Smith, saved by Reimer
  80. P3 17:52Shot by O'Brien, saved by Reimer
  81. P3 19:23Shot by Regin, saved by Reimer
  82. P3 0:00Period end
  83. P3 0:00Final