Sat, Jan 1, 2011·Scotiabank Place, Ottawa
Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Ottawa Senators 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 66% of the time.
26%
8%
9%
57%
OTT winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 22:40 | 0.04 | 64.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 21:18 | 0.04 | 74.4% | +1.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 20:32 | 0.00 | 66.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 20:02 | 0.07 | 68.9% | +18.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 18:32 | 0.23 | 78.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:30 | 0.17 | 59.1% | +3.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:26 | 0.02 | 31.6% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 17:23 | 0.56 | 79.5% | +22.6 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 17:22 | 0.15 | 75.5% | +22.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:14 | 0.26 | 70.6% | +3.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 16:43 | 0.66 | 73.7% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 15:15 | 0.02 | 77.3% | +1.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:52 | 0.00 | 15.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:46 | 0.00 | 3.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 12:33 | 0.68 | 64.6% | +22.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:38 | 0.16 | 60.6% | +3.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:16 | 0.10 | 14.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:35 | 0.00 | 3.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 33 | 32 | 1 | .970 | 2.33 | +1.3 | 59:56 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 25:18 | 0.18 | 66.7% | +0.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 22:16 | 0.02 | 29.6% | +0.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:52 | 0.00 | 55.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:07 | 0.02 | 28.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 17:39 | 0.03 | 31.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:57 | 0.18 | 66.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 16:33 | 0.21 | 7.8% | +0.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 16:09 | 0.28 | 12.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 15:48 | 0.08 | 29.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:44 | 0.02 | 43.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 15:12 | 0.22 | 42.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:40 | 0.03 | 44.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:25 | 0.04 | 61.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:53 | 0.42 | 81.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 12:17 | 0.13 | 36.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 11:11 | 0.15 | 47.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 10:49 | 0.18 | 30.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 10:10 | 0.16 | 39.7% | 0.0 |
| L | 7 | 4 | 3 | .571 | 0.86 | −2.1 | 16:10 | |
| – | 14 | 12 | 2 | .857 | 2.30 | +0.3 | 43:50 |