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Ice Lab

Right wing · #20

Colby Armstrong

Age
43
Shoots
Right
Height
188 cm
Weight
84 kg
Born
Lloydminster, CAN
Draft
2001, round 1, #21 (PIT)

Career · 2009–10 to 2012–13

Games
195
Goals
26
Points
60
TOI per game
13:38
xGF% (5v5)
45.5%
Goals above expected
+1.2

Season by season

The regular-season line for each season, with the total, by team for traded players.

2009–10ATL79151429+614:4810114.9%211.6–
2010–11TOR5081523−116:076911.6%08.747.5%
2011–12TOR29123−89:19147.1%01.841.5%
2012–13MTL37235+111:12336.1%02.743.6%
Total3 teams195263460−213:3821712.0%224.845.5%

Form

Rolling averages smooth out single games so the trend shows.

Form, ten-game rolling

Points and individual expected goals per game (left scale), averaged over the previous ten games. Ice time is on the second chart.

Points per gameixG per gameTOI per game (minutes)
00.20.40.60.8120406080100120140160180
6m8m10m12m14m16m18m20406080100120140160180Game

Player card

How 2009–10 to 2012–13 compares with everyone else at the position over the same seasons, and the players with the most similar profile.

Overall rating

4th line

31st percentile among qualified forwards, blending scoring 40%, play-driving 40%, usage 20%.

  1. 1st line
  2. 2nd line
  3. 3rd line
  4. 4th line
  5. Extra / AHL

Scoring

3rd line
  • Goals /600.5938th pct
  • Assists /600.7734th pct
  • ixG /600.5622nd pct
  • Goals above expected+1.265th pct

Play-driving

4th line
  • xGF% (5v5)45.5%20th pct
  • CF% (5v5)46.8%24th pct
  • Relative xGF%−3.427th pct
  • Penalty diff /600.5085th pct

Usage

4th line
  • TOI per game13:3847th pct
  • PP time share4.9%28th pct
  • Offensive zone starts44.2%18th pct
  • Quality of competition23.9%38th pct

Percentiles among forwards with 200+ minutes at 5-on-5 and 20+ games. Ratings rank each column's average percentile among the same players and read it as a role on a depth chart (how).

Faceoffs

How often Armstrong wins the draw over 2009–10 to 2012–13, against whom and where, and what a win leads to. Ranked among players with 727+ draws over the same seasons.

Win rate

43.3%

29–38 · below the 727 draws of a regular

Against an average centre

43.8%

Opponents won 50.5% of their draws; an average centre would have won 49.5% against them.

Wins above average

−4

Draws won beyond what an average centre facing the same opponents would have won.

Draws per game

1.4

67 draws in all.

By dot, attacking to the right

33%3 · +2.014%7 · −0.167%12 · +4.4100%1 · –50%4 · −2.333%6 · −2.729%7 · −1.543%7 · +5.145%20 · +3.7Attacking zone →← Defending zone

Win rate at each dot; the small numbers are draws and the xG swing (×100) of winning rather than losing there.

By zone

  • Offensive zone50.0% 10–10
  • Neutral zone38.1% 8–13
  • Defensive zone42.3% 11–15

By strength

  • Even strength41.5% 22–31
  • Power play100.0% 1–0
  • Shorthanded46.2% 6–7

What a win leads to

Shot attempts in the next 20 seconds, for minus against, per 100 draws: +17 after a win, −26 after a loss. Each win was worth 2.0 expected goals per 100 draws more than a loss.

Most-faced opponents

Season by season

SeasonDrawsWin rateAgainst average
2009–102050.0%50.9%
2010–11837.5%39.3%
2011–121838.9%38.0%
2012–132142.9%43.7%

Finishing

Did the goals match the chances?

Goals against expected goals

Cumulative goals (solid) and individual xG (dashed) through the season. The gap is finishing: above the dashed line, the player scored more than an average shooter would from the same chances.

+1.2 goals above expected

051015202550100150Game

Goals above expected, everyone at the same position with 20+ games

−200+20+40+60+80