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Ice Lab

Fri, Jan 7, 2011·Philips Arena, Atlanta

Toronto Maple Leafs 9, Atlanta Thrashers 3

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

9

Final

Home

Atlanta Thrashers

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 70% of the time.

ATL winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:05Shot by Antropov, saved by Reimer
  3. P1 0:39Shot by Versteeg, saved by Pavelec
  4. P1 0:56Shot by Little, saved by Reimer
  5. P1 1:00Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Reimer
  6. P1 1:34Shot by Kessel, saved by Pavelec
  7. P1 2:36Goal by Enstrom (Eager)+13 pts WP

    On ice: ATL Thorburn, Eager, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Cormier · TOR Beauchemin, Orr, Brent, Phaneuf, Lebda

  8. P1 2:38Boulton: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: ATL Boulton, Sopel, Antropov, Hainsey, Burmistrov · TOR Beauchemin, Orr, Brent, Phaneuf, Lebda

  9. P1 2:38Orr: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: ATL Boulton, Sopel, Antropov, Hainsey, Burmistrov · TOR Beauchemin, Orr, Brent, Phaneuf, Lebda

  10. P1 2:52Shot by Hainsey, saved by Reimer
  11. P1 2:58Shot by Cormier, saved by Reimer
  12. P1 4:03Shot by Grabovski, saved by Pavelec
  13. P1 4:49Shot by MacArthur, saved by Pavelec
  14. P1 5:47Shot by Lebda, saved by Pavelec
  15. P1 6:26Shot by Ladd, saved by Reimer
  16. P1 7:22Shot by Kulemin, saved by Pavelec
  17. P1 7:49Shot by Bergfors, saved by Reimer
  18. P1 8:21Shot by Bogosian, saved by Reimer
  19. P1 9:27Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Reimer
  20. P1 9:43Goal by Versteeg (Armstrong, Gunnarsson)+15 pts WP

    On ice: ATL Boulton, Antropov, Oduya, Bogosian, Burmistrov · TOR Komisarek, Armstrong, Boyce, Versteeg, Gunnarsson

  21. P1 10:29Shot by Bergfors, saved by Reimer
  22. P1 10:35Shot by Kessel, saved by Pavelec
  23. P1 10:49Komisarek: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: ATL Modin, Oduya, Stewart, Peverley, Bogosian · TOR Komisarek, Crabb, Kessel, Gunnarsson, Bozak

  24. P1 12:43Shot by Stewart, saved by Reimer5v4
  25. P1 12:44Shot by Stewart, saved by Reimer5v4
  26. P1 13:01Shot by Kessel, saved by Pavelec
  27. P1 13:03Shot by Kessel, saved by Pavelec
  28. P1 13:49Shot by Kaberle, saved by Pavelec5v6
  29. P1 13:52Eager: Cross checking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: ATL Thorburn, Oduya, Bogosian, Cormier, Burmistrov · TOR Kaberle, Crabb, Phaneuf, Grabovski, Kessel, Bozak

  30. P1 13:52Eager: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: ATL Thorburn, Oduya, Bogosian, Cormier, Burmistrov · TOR Kaberle, Crabb, Phaneuf, Grabovski, Kessel, Bozak

  31. P1 14:02Shot by MacArthur, saved by Pavelec4v5
  32. P1 15:07Shot by Kessel, saved by Pavelec4v5
  33. P1 15:08Goal by Grabovski (Kessel, Kaberle)4v5+21 pts WP

    On ice: ATL Modin, Sopel, Hainsey, Little · TOR Kaberle, MacArthur, Versteeg, Grabovski, Kessel

  34. P1 15:22Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Pavelec4v5
  35. P1 18:44Shot by Bozak, saved by Pavelec
  36. P1 0:00Period end
  37. P2 0:00Period start
  38. P2 1:14Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Reimer
  39. P2 1:37Shot by Little, saved by Reimer
  40. P2 3:05Shot by Schenn, saved by Pavelec
  41. P2 3:18Shot by Cormier, saved by Reimer
  42. P2 5:20Shot by Bergfors, saved by Reimer
  43. P2 8:42Grabovski: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: ATL Modin, Antropov, Stewart, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Peverley · TOR Kaberle, MacArthur, Grabovski, Kulemin, Schenn

  44. P2 8:58Shot by Antropov, saved by Reimer5v4
  45. P2 9:19Shot by Bozak, saved by Pavelec5v4
  46. P2 9:30Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Reimer5v4
  47. P2 11:02Shot by Sopel, saved by Reimer
  48. P2 11:04Shot by Cormier, saved by Reimer
  49. P2 11:14Shot by Cormier, saved by Reimer
  50. P2 11:29Shot by Eager, saved by Reimer
  51. P2 12:06Goal by Armstrong (Versteeg, Beauchemin)+14 pts WP

    On ice: ATL Boulton, Stewart, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Burmistrov · TOR Beauchemin, Armstrong, Phaneuf, Boyce, Versteeg

  52. P2 13:09Shot by Kaberle, saved by Pavelec
  53. P2 13:25Goal by Kulemin (Grabovski, Komisarek)+6 pts WP

    On ice: ATL Modin, Oduya, Peverley, Bergfors, Bogosian · TOR Komisarek, MacArthur, Grabovski, Kulemin, Gunnarsson

  54. P2 13:21Shot by Kulemin, saved by Pavelec
  55. P2 13:22Shot by Kulemin, saved by Pavelec
  56. P2 15:15Goal by Grabovski (MacArthur, Kulemin)+2 pts WP

    On ice: ATL Modin, Sopel, Hainsey, Peverley, Bergfors · TOR Kaberle, MacArthur, Grabovski, Kulemin, Schenn

  57. P2 16:08Shot by Hainsey, saved by Reimer
  58. P2 16:44Shot by Versteeg, saved by Mason
  59. P2 17:05Byfuglien: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: ATL Thorburn, Eager, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Little · TOR Kaberle, Armstrong, Phaneuf, Boyce, Versteeg

  60. P2 17:05Eager: Match penatly 10 minutes (10 min)4v5

    On ice: ATL Thorburn, Eager, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Little · TOR Kaberle, Armstrong, Phaneuf, Boyce, Versteeg

  61. P2 17:05Phaneuf: Roughing (2 min)3v5

    On ice: ATL Thorburn, Eager, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Little · TOR Kaberle, Armstrong, Phaneuf, Boyce, Versteeg

  62. P2 18:00Goal by Kulemin (Kaberle)4v50 pts WP

    On ice: ATL Sopel, Thorburn, Oduya, Peverley · TOR Kaberle, MacArthur, Versteeg, Grabovski, Kulemin

  63. P2 19:14Goal by MacArthur (Kulemin, Kaberle)4v50 pts WP

    On ice: ATL Oduya, Ladd, Little, Bogosian · TOR Kaberle, Crabb, Versteeg, Kessel, Bozak

  64. P2 19:49Goal by MacArthur (Versteeg, Kaberle)4v50 pts WP

    On ice: ATL Sopel, Thorburn, Oduya, Peverley · TOR Kaberle, MacArthur, Versteeg, Grabovski, Kulemin

  65. P2 0:00Period end
  66. P3 0:00Period start
  67. P3 1:14Shot by Grabovski, saved by Mason4v5
  68. P3 1:25Shot by Grabovski, saved by Mason4v5
  69. P3 1:32Goal by Kessel (Beauchemin, Bozak)4v50 pts WP

    On ice: ATL Thorburn, Oduya, Bogosian, Cormier · TOR Beauchemin, Crabb, Lebda, Kessel, Bozak

  70. P3 1:53Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Mason4v5
  71. P3 3:14Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Reimer
  72. P3 3:58Shot by Bergfors, saved by Reimer
  73. P3 4:24Shot by Grabovski, saved by Mason
  74. P3 4:58Shot by Peverley, saved by Reimer
  75. P3 5:08Crabb: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: ATL Thorburn, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Peverley, Cormier · TOR Kaberle, Crabb, Grabovski, Kulemin, Schenn

  76. P3 5:12Shot by Bogosian, saved by Reimer5v4
  77. P3 5:16Shot by Peverley, saved by Reimer5v4
  78. P3 5:31Shot by Thorburn, saved by Reimer5v4
  79. P3 5:40Shot by Ladd, saved by Reimer5v4
  80. P3 6:07Shot by Enstrom, saved by Reimer5v4
  81. P3 6:09Shot by Peverley, saved by Reimer5v4
  82. P3 7:00Shot by Little, saved by Reimer5v4
  83. P3 7:11Shot by Stewart, saved by Reimer5v4
  84. P3 7:22Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Reimer5v4
  85. P3 9:43Shot by Stewart, saved by Reimer
  86. P3 11:30Shot by Cormier, saved by Reimer
  87. P3 13:45Shot by Grabovski, saved by Mason
  88. P3 14:09Goal by Cormier, unassisted0 pts WP

    On ice: ATL Thorburn, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Cormier, Burmistrov · TOR Beauchemin, Brent, Phaneuf, Lebda, Versteeg

  89. P3 14:45Shot by Modin, saved by Reimer
  90. P3 17:03Shot by Stewart, saved by Reimer
  91. P3 17:54Shot by Modin, saved by Reimer
  92. P3 19:01Shot by Hainsey, saved by Reimer
  93. P3 19:12Goal by Ladd (Little, Bergfors)0 pts WP

    On ice: ATL Sopel, Hainsey, Ladd, Bergfors, Little · TOR Kaberle, Crabb, Boyce, Lebda, Schenn

  94. P3 0:00Period end
  95. P3 0:00Final