Wed, Jan 12, 2011·United Center, Chicago
Colorado Avalanche 0, Chicago Blackhawks 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 67% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | 09 | 09 | 06 | 024 |
| CHI | 27 | 113 | 111 | 431 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:08CHITroy BrouwerGWGAssists: Duncan Keith, Patrick Kane · Backhand, 0.14 xG0–1
- P1 7:48CHIDave BollandAssists: Fernando Pisani, Brent Seabrook · Wrist, 0.09 xG0–2
- P2 10:17CHIFernando PisaniAssists: Dave Bolland · Wrist, 0.09 xG0–3
- P3 8:36CHIJack SkilleAssists: Brent Seabrook · Backhand, 0.21 xG0–4
Penalties (7)
- P1 3:14CHIViktor Stalberg: Interference2 min
- P1 12:57CHIPatrick Sharp: High sticking2 min
- P3 9:25CHIBryan Bickell: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 12:27COLMatt Hunwick: Hooking2 min
- P3 16:24CHITomas Kopecky: Hooking2 min
- P3 16:47COLPhilippe Dupuis: Tripping2 min
- P3 19:21COLAdam Foote: Elbowing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Duchene won the faceoff against Bolland
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Colorado Avalanche
Forward lines
- Winnik – Galiardi – O'Reilly2:06
xG 0.07–0.02 (77%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Yip – Winnik – O'Reilly4:40
xG 0.08–0.18 (32%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
- Hejduk – Fleischmann – Duchene2:59
xG 0.10–0.20 (34%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Mauldin – Dupuis – Yip2:06
xG 0.12–0.29 (29%)attempts 3–2goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Liles – O'Byrne10:22
xG 0.36–0.35 (50%)attempts 9–5goals 0–2
- O'Byrne – Hunwick6:19
xG 0.23–0.30 (43%)attempts 5–8goals 0–0
- Hunwick – Shattenkirk7:08
xG 0.03–0.34 (7%)attempts 1–6goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestPisani – Bolland – Bickell10:02
xG 0.69–0.20 (78%)attempts 14–4goals 2–0
- Dowell – Skille – Stalberg6:44
xG 0.63–0.18 (78%)attempts 8–2goals 1–0
- Brouwer – Toews – Kane8:28
xG 0.70–0.52 (57%)attempts 13–9goals 1–0
- Hossa – Kopecky – Sharp10:09
xG 0.21–0.14 (60%)attempts 8–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKeith – Seabrook16:59
xG 1.37–0.28 (83%)attempts 23–9goals 4–0
- Hendry – Leddy13:04
xG 0.69–0.21 (77%)attempts 11–10goals 0–0
- Campbell – Hjalmarsson14:39
xG 0.44–0.71 (38%)attempts 12–13goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it COL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 67% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − COL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).