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Ice Lab

Sun, Jan 16, 2011·Madison Square Garden, New York

Philadelphia Flyers 3, New York Rangers 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 74% of the time.

NYR winsPHI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:34Shot by Coburn, saved by Biron
  3. P1 0:50Shot by Meszaros, saved by Biron
  4. P1 3:44Shot by Dubinsky, saved by Boucher
  5. P1 4:02Dubinsky: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Gaborik, Dubinsky, Anisimov, McDonagh, Gilroy · PHI Walker, Zherdev, Richards, Carle, Nodl

  6. P1 4:11Shot by Prust, saved by Boucher4v5
  7. P1 6:14Goal by Carter (Carle, Leino)+19 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Drury, Eminger, Boyle, Dubinsky, Sauer · PHI Carter, Carle, Meszaros, van Riemsdyk, Leino

  8. P1 7:52van Riemsdyk: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Avery, Boyle, Prust, McDonagh, Gilroy · PHI Walker, Zherdev, Richards, Carle, van Riemsdyk

  9. P1 10:40Shot by Drury, saved by Boucher
  10. P1 12:20Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Biron
  11. P1 12:48Gilroy: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Fedotenko, Newbury, Wolski, McDonagh, Gilroy · PHI Timonen, Zherdev, Coburn, Richards, Nodl

  12. P1 14:17Shot by Richards, saved by Biron4v5
  13. P1 14:32Shot by Staal, saved by Boucher4v5
  14. P1 14:54Goal by Leino (Meszaros, Carle)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Fedotenko, Staal, Girardi, Anisimov, Gilroy · PHI Carter, Carle, Meszaros, van Riemsdyk, Leino

  15. P1 16:32Shot by Newbury, saved by Boucher
  16. P1 16:38Shot by Wolski, saved by Boucher
  17. P1 17:55Shot by Prust, saved by Boucher
  18. P1 18:08Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Biron
  19. P1 18:10Shot by Carter, saved by Biron
  20. P1 18:10Shot by Carter, saved by Biron
  21. P1 18:22Shot by Brière, saved by Biron
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:19Shot by Carter, saved by Biron
  25. P2 0:31Shot by Carter, saved by Biron
  26. P2 0:44Shot by Avery, saved by Boucher
  27. P2 0:51Shot by Walker, saved by Biron
  28. P2 1:08Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Boucher
  29. P2 2:34Meszaros: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Fedotenko, Eminger, Newbury, Wolski, Sauer · PHI O'Donnell, Brière, Hartnell, Meszaros, Leino

  30. P2 2:38Shot by Gilroy, saved by Boucher5v4
  31. P2 4:25Goal by Richards (Giroux)5v4+7 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Gaborik, Eminger, Stepan, Gilroy, Zuccarello · PHI Timonen, Coburn, Richards, Giroux

  32. P2 4:44Shot by Boyle, saved by Boucher
  33. P2 5:24Shot by McDonagh, saved by Boucher
  34. P2 5:30Shot by Prust, saved by Boucher
  35. P2 7:34Shot by Coburn, saved by Biron
  36. P2 7:50Shot by Betts, saved by Biron
  37. P2 8:32Carle: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NYR Avery, Eminger, Newbury, Dubinsky, Prust · PHI Shelley, Betts, Walker, Carle, Powe

  38. P2 8:32Avery: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NYR Avery, Eminger, Newbury, Dubinsky, Prust · PHI Shelley, Betts, Walker, Carle, Powe

  39. P2 8:32Newbury: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NYR Avery, Eminger, Newbury, Dubinsky, Prust · PHI Shelley, Betts, Walker, Carle, Powe

  40. P2 8:32Newbury: Roughing (2 min)3v5

    On ice: NYR Avery, Eminger, Newbury, Dubinsky, Prust · PHI Shelley, Betts, Walker, Carle, Powe

  41. P2 8:32Walker: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NYR Avery, Eminger, Newbury, Dubinsky, Prust · PHI Shelley, Betts, Walker, Carle, Powe

  42. P2 8:32Walker: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NYR Avery, Eminger, Newbury, Dubinsky, Prust · PHI Shelley, Betts, Walker, Carle, Powe

  43. P2 8:58Shot by Betts, saved by Biron
  44. P2 9:40Shot by Boyle, saved by Boucher
  45. P2 9:56Shot by Staal, saved by Boucher
  46. P2 10:07Shot by Anisimov, saved by Boucher
  47. P2 10:51Shot by Stepan, saved by Boucher
  48. P2 11:13Shot by Wolski, saved by Boucher
  49. P2 12:18Shot by Coburn, saved by Biron
  50. P2 13:35Shot by Timonen, saved by Biron
  51. P2 13:50Shot by Stepan, saved by Boucher
  52. P2 14:21Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Biron
  53. P2 15:00Shot by Coburn, saved by Biron
  54. P2 15:12Shot by Walker, saved by Biron
  55. P2 15:29Shot by Boyle, saved by Boucher
  56. P2 15:38Shot by Stepan, saved by Boucher
  57. P2 16:07Shot by Richards, saved by Biron
  58. P2 16:30Shot by Shelley, saved by Biron
  59. P2 17:53Shot by Dubinsky, saved by Boucher
  60. P2 18:03Shot by Boyle, saved by Boucher
  61. P2 18:21Shot by Stepan, saved by Boucher
  62. P2 18:22Shot by Wolski, saved by Boucher
  63. P2 19:58Shot by Eminger, saved by Boucher
  64. P2 0:00Period end
  65. P3 0:00Period start
  66. P3 0:33Shot by Carter, saved by Biron
  67. P3 0:58Shot by Boyle, saved by Boucher
  68. P3 1:01Prust: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Eminger, Boyle, Dubinsky, Prust, Sauer · PHI Timonen, Coburn, Carter, Giroux, van Riemsdyk

  69. P3 2:24Shot by Stepan, saved by Boucher4v5
  70. P3 2:25Meszaros: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NYR Eminger, Sauer, Anisimov, Stepan · PHI Carter, Carle, Meszaros, van Riemsdyk, Leino

  71. P3 5:07Shot by Brière, saved by Biron
  72. P3 6:28Newbury: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Newbury, Wolski, McDonagh, Gilroy, Zuccarello · PHI Shelley, Betts, Walker, Carle, Powe

  73. P3 7:58Shot by Gaborik, saved by Boucher4v5
  74. P3 9:13Goal by Wolski (Zuccarello, Stepan)+3 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Wolski, McDonagh, Stepan, Gilroy, Zuccarello · PHI Shelley, Betts, Carle, Meszaros, Powe

  75. P3 9:39Shot by Nodl, saved by Biron
  76. P3 11:09Shot by Stepan, saved by Boucher
  77. P3 11:37Goal by Stepan (Zuccarello, Wolski)+11 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Wolski, McDonagh, Stepan, Gilroy, Zuccarello · PHI Timonen, Zherdev, Coburn, Richards, Nodl

  78. P3 11:57Shot by Staal, saved by Boucher
  79. P3 14:25Shot by Boyle, saved by Boucher
  80. P3 15:11Shot by Boyle, saved by Boucher
  81. P3 16:37Shot by Gaborik, saved by Boucher
  82. P3 0:00Period end
  83. P3 0:00Final