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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 12, 2011·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Colorado Avalanche 3, Nashville Predators 5

Away

Colorado Avalanche

3

Final

Home

Nashville Predators

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 96% of the time.

NSH winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:11Shot by Legwand, saved by Budaj
  3. P1 2:44Shot by Spaling, saved by Budaj
  4. P1 3:49Shot by Jones, saved by Rinne
  5. P1 8:03Shot by Wilson, saved by Budaj
  6. P1 8:41Shot by McLeod, saved by Rinne
  7. P1 11:05Goal by Porter (Stastny, Hunwick)+20 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Smithson, Ward, Klein, Sulzer, Wilson · COL O'Byrne, Jones, Porter, Stastny, Wilson

  8. P1 11:16Goal by Weber (Erat, Suter)+20 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Erat, Suter, Weber, Kostitsyn · COL Forsberg, Hejduk, O'Byrne, Wilson, Duchene

  9. P1 12:21Shot by Halischuk, saved by Budaj
  10. P1 12:19Shot by Dumont, saved by Budaj
  11. P1 15:55Shot by Hejduk, saved by Rinne
  12. P1 16:14Shot by Fisher, saved by Budaj
  13. P1 17:23Shot by Ward, saved by Budaj
  14. P1 19:07Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Budaj
  15. P1 19:17Shot by Weber, saved by Budaj
  16. P1 0:00Period end
  17. P2 0:00Period start
  18. P2 0:34Shot by Smithson, saved by Budaj
  19. P2 2:40Shot by Sulzer, saved by Budaj
  20. P2 3:35Shot by Sullivan, saved by Budaj
  21. P2 3:36Shot by Legwand, saved by Budaj
  22. P2 3:45Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Rinne
  23. P2 3:53Jones: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Smithson, Ward, Suter, Weber, Spaling · COL Jones, Porter, Hunwick, Stastny, Shattenkirk

  24. P2 4:15Shot by O'Byrne, saved by Rinne5v4
  25. P2 4:34Shot by Erat, saved by Budaj5v4
  26. P2 4:36Goal by Erat (Hornqvist, Kostitsyn)+20 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Erat, Suter, Weber, Kostitsyn, Hornqvist · COL O'Byrne, Yip, Winnik, Wilson

  27. P2 5:55Shot by O'Brien, saved by Budaj
  28. P2 9:13Goal by Jones (Winnik, O'Reilly)+22 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Sullivan, Legwand, Smithson, O'Brien, Franson · COL O'Byrne, Jones, Winnik, Wilson, O'Reilly

  29. P2 9:33Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Budaj
  30. P2 10:06Shot by Klein, saved by Budaj
  31. P2 10:13Shot by Weber, saved by Budaj
  32. P2 10:16Shot by Erat, saved by Budaj
  33. P2 12:19Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Budaj
  34. P2 12:23Shot by Suter, saved by Budaj
  35. P2 13:09Forsberg: Interference (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NSH Sullivan, Fisher, Erat, Suter, Weber, Kostitsyn · COL Forsberg, Hejduk, Hunwick, Stastny, Shattenkirk

  36. P2 13:07Shot by Weber, saved by Budaj6v5
  37. P2 15:02Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Budaj5v4
  38. P2 15:18Sullivan: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Sullivan, Erat, Franson, Kostitsyn, Hornqvist · COL Forsberg, O'Byrne, Dupuis, Hunwick, Stastny

  39. P2 15:55Shot by Forsberg, saved by Rinne4v5
  40. P2 16:16Shot by Spaling, saved by Budaj4v5
  41. P2 17:49Shot by Winnik, saved by Rinne
  42. P2 18:38Shot by Wilson, saved by Budaj
  43. P2 18:40Shot by Wilson, saved by Budaj
  44. P2 19:16Forsberg: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NSH Erat, Smithson, Ward, Suter, Weber, Spaling · COL Forsberg, Hejduk, Liles, Stastny, Gaunce

  45. P2 0:00Period end
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 1:31Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Budaj
  48. P3 1:44Shot by Ward, saved by Budaj
  49. P3 2:54Goal by Duchene (Yip, Porter)+30 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Dumont, Suter, Weber, Halischuk, Spaling · COL Liles, O'Byrne, Porter, Yip, Duchene

  50. P3 3:22Shot by Suter, saved by Budaj
  51. P3 4:11Goal by Hornqvist (Legwand, Sullivan)+31 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Sullivan, Legwand, O'Brien, Franson, Hornqvist · COL Dupuis, Hunwick, Winnik, Wilson, Duchene

  52. P3 5:22Shot by Stastny, saved by Rinne
  53. P3 5:41Shot by O'Byrne, saved by Rinne
  54. P3 5:44Fisher: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Sullivan, Fisher, Klein, O'Brien, Kostitsyn · COL Hejduk, O'Byrne, Porter, Stastny, Wilson

  55. P3 6:18Shot by Smithson, saved by Budaj4v5
  56. P3 8:34Shot by Porter, saved by Rinne
  57. P3 8:58Shot by Forsberg, saved by Rinne
  58. P3 9:47Shot by Hunwick, saved by Rinne
  59. P3 10:44Shot by Porter, saved by Rinne
  60. P3 10:57Shot by Fisher, saved by Budaj
  61. P3 11:01Shot by Suter, saved by Budaj
  62. P3 12:26Shot by O'Brien, saved by Budaj
  63. P3 13:04Shot by O'Byrne, saved by Rinne
  64. P3 17:24Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Budaj
  65. P3 17:30Goal by Franson, unassisted+43 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Sullivan, Legwand, Sulzer, Franson, Hornqvist · COL O'Byrne, Hunwick, Yip, Winnik, O'Reilly

  66. P3 17:57Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Rinne
  67. P3 19:14Goal by Legwand (Erat, Fisher)5v6+5 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Fisher, Erat, Klein, Weber · COL Forsberg, Liles, Porter, Stastny, Shattenkirk, Duchene

  68. P3 0:00Period end
  69. P3 0:00Final